8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1638
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.0%
in alpha space · 82.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.861021-2.63%0.7896-10.71%0.0268✗1.7523.5M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025667-2.03%0.02187-16.53%0.0955✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.0984-1.58%4.38-15.44%0.0872✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2904-1.16%1.2569-3.73%0.0705✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.831-1.13%1.6115-12.99%0.0421✓1.327.3M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.371647-1.05%0.342-8.95%0.0244✓0.91328k2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.0541-1.05%9.06-0.98%0.0902✗1.3915.8M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789209.4349-1.01%190.178-10.11%0.0228✓1.14674k2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.9635-1.01%14.59+3.43%0.0378✗-0.09129k2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.4461-0.98%4.87-11.45%0.0472✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2708-0.96%3.891-9.76%0.0285✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.226327-0.95%0.2085-8.75%0.0223✗1.6118k2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.7032-0.86%5.349+12.75%0.1826✗0.83719k2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1614.0409-0.84%14.64+3.39%0.0395✗-0.034.8M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7121-0.83%1.6826-2.54%0.0468✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.0615-0.81%1.71-17.72%0.1438✓0.676.3M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.804694-0.79%0.7106-12.39%0.0416✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.208365-0.78%0.1923-8.43%0.0066✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.6696-0.75%9.59-10.79%0.0365✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.7158-0.72%3.3399-10.77%0.0501✓0.878.0M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4444.1187-0.72%39.7-10.67%0.0131✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.2709-0.71%38.45-11.77%0.0078✓1.713.1M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.1625-0.70%107.05-6.06%0.0174✗1.13127.7M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.0943-0.70%4.56-11.11%0.0462✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0924-0.69%1.027-6.64%0.0029✓1.00165k2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.6526-0.69%11.57-9.18%0.0556✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8338-0.68%3.52-8.81%0.0192✓1.02787k2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021402-0.64%0.01993-7.47%0.0333✓0.5946k2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038803-0.63%0.00003492-10.58%0.0408✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6275.8416-0.63%252.64-8.99%0.0185✓1.0711.4M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3739-0.60%1.2203-11.71%0.0049✓1.761.5M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3124-0.58%1.18-10.61%0.0417✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.115459-0.55%0.1045-9.99%0.0115✓1.372.5M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.719009-0.55%0.64-11.48%0.0365✓1.242.9M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0429-0.55%1.8135-11.71%0.0738✓0.701.2M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.018976-0.54%0.0176-7.76%0.0017✓1.192.8M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.3423-0.53%63.32-10.46%0.0077✓1.511.2M2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3379-0.53%4.564+4.65%0.0971✗0.72487k2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,596.63-0.51%28,691.22-9.66%0.0627✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.0333-0.51%11.66+5.14%0.1163✗0.951.3M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.399421-0.49%0.3781-5.80%0.0433✗1.524.7M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.017048-0.48%0.01563-8.76%0.0265✓0.931.2M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.8683-0.47%21.506-6.40%0.0471✗1.6818.6M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2555-0.46%4.72-10.61%0.0234✓1.3026.8M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.037154-0.46%0.033967-9.00%0.0238✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.0369-0.46%4.5-11.07%0.0481✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2478-0.44%2.0752-8.09%0.0456✗1.941.6M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6559-0.43%1.4667-11.81%0.0519✓1.0731.7M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0667-0.43%2.754-10.58%0.0449✓0.972.2M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.012.0015-0.42%1.77-11.94%0.0121✓1.711.5M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.872475-0.42%0.798687-8.84%0.0185✓1.083.0M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.790982-0.42%0.7165-9.79%0.0181✓1.256.8M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.9783-0.40%12.05-7.52%0.0924✓-0.284.5M2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.335901-0.39%0.3033-10.05%0.0194✓1.285.8M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3742-0.37%1.4291+3.61%0.1068✗1.0523.6M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76169.1407-0.36%149.45-11.96%0.0389✓1.3111.8M2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.6857-0.36%85.17-6.42%0.0019✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063614-0.34%0.05923-7.21%0.0229✗1.468.2M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.469283-0.34%0.4301-8.66%0.0050✗1.431.0M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27321.2012-0.33%294.8-8.52%0.0145✓1.101.5M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.416968-0.32%0.3842-8.15%0.0009✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.735234-0.31%0.6659-9.71%0.0163✓1.2812.5M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5393-0.31%2.4846-2.45%0.0546✗1.18147k2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.053249-0.30%0.05063-5.21%0.0089✗0.9210.6M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.1277-0.29%10.76-3.58%0.0164✗0.771.4M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.238906-0.29%0.2199-8.22%0.0039✓1.226.1M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.114535-0.28%0.10316-10.19%0.0677✓0.57113k2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.144893-0.28%0.1358-6.54%0.0037✗1.06376k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.7715-0.28%9.798-0.01%0.0431✗0.62455k2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.8549-0.28%6.2683-8.81%0.0127✓1.19764k2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.481-0.28%35.02-11.54%0.0224✓1.511.3M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3214-0.27%1.28-3.40%0.0306✗0.973.1M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.821-0.27%6.459-5.56%0.0025✓0.814.3M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04106.7535-0.27%99.74-6.82%0.0062✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.03410.0077-0.26%10.128+0.94%0.0982✗1.33411k2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.382-0.24%3.03-10.62%0.0269✓1.283.0M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.6128-0.23%26.57-10.48%0.0527✓0.8640.2M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4531-0.22%3.6+4.02%0.0359✗-0.09395k2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.299641-0.22%0.274101-8.72%0.0242✓1.0033.6M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.6027-0.21%3.3661-6.76%0.0131✗1.253.1M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0909-0.21%4.4909-11.97%0.0415✓1.305.3M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.4266-0.21%5.85-9.16%0.0217✓1.125.1M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018723-0.20%0.01651-11.99%0.0452✓1.252.8M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8602-0.17%5.34-9.03%0.0158✓1.192.6M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.9493-0.16%4.8047-3.08%0.0183✗0.7427k2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5943-0.16%3.34-7.22%0.0095✓0.991.2M2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2618-0.16%2.98-8.78%0.0361✓0.8495k2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.6701-0.15%25.42-4.83%0.0214✗1.071.6M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3464.6393-0.14%438.74-5.71%0.0089✗1.0212.3M2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05205.7597-0.14%188.78-8.38%0.0254✓0.9411.9M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.465355-0.14%0.423-9.23%0.0494✓0.7145k2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4131-0.13%1.3011-8.05%0.0134✓1.071.2M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.074004-0.13%0.0659-11.07%0.0318✓1.302.1M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34237.0438-0.12%209-11.94%0.0547✓1.10239k2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.219134-0.12%0.1998-8.93%0.0363✓0.87701k2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.7901-0.12%16.17-3.81%0.0068✗0.691.4M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8818-0.12%1.664-11.68%0.0383✓1.317.9M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0158-0.11%0.911-10.42%0.0138✓1.479.2M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.018.001-0.11%7.57-5.49%0.0147✓0.631.0M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.5147-0.11%1.3998-7.69%0.0101✓1.06120.2M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4941-0.11%5.695+3.55%0.0777✗0.65798k2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78155.6136-0.11%145.67-6.49%0.0236✗1.3954.4M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.124709-0.11%0.11446-8.31%0.0147✓1.1029k2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2866-0.10%5.0292-4.97%0.0377✗1.365.2M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72220.5008-0.10%208.62-5.48%0.0086✗0.992.8M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.2126-0.10%24.71-12.50%0.0422✓1.4022.9M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.5592-0.10%40.01-6.08%0.0065✗1.0620.7M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04150.9055-0.09%134.75-10.79%0.0315✓1.262.0M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6846-0.08%1.537-8.84%0.0074✓1.304.1M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.6092-0.07%177.27-9.44%0.0325✓1.02255.1M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118514-0.06%0.00010951-7.66%0.0151✓0.9910.2M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.0982-0.06%18.4-3.72%0.0480✗1.3214.6M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.098102-0.06%0.08977-8.55%0.0058✗1.464.8M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.139022-0.06%0.1284-7.69%0.0085✓1.10175k2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.5909-0.05%34.96-7.05%0.0050✓1.055.1M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.9549-0.05%27.84-10.11%0.0247✓1.2677.1M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.084389-0.05%0.07538-10.72%0.0354✓1.2021.1M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,037.26-0.03%3,793.67-6.07%0.0051✗1.04760.7M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.5788-0.03%33.51-3.12%0.0118✗0.67572k2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.089683-0.02%0.0838-6.58%0.0026✗1.0918k2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.058154-0.01%0.05427-6.69%0.0028✗1.1116k2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.8446+0.03%15.54-7.72%0.0071✗1.144.8M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.3335+0.04%9.08-2.68%0.0225✓0.771.1M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.998810.0028+0.04%9.0923-9.07%0.0025✗1.44299k2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.239198+0.04%0.2158-9.74%0.0727✗0.47392k2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0223.0324+0.05%20.36-11.56%0.0387✗1.3169.7M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.2218+0.06%36.25-7.53%0.0131✗1.0222.1M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41127.4835+0.06%121.77-4.43%0.0179✓0.993.7M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187943+0.07%0.173745-7.49%0.0070✗1.115.5M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.8024+0.09%2.54-9.29%0.0326✗1.024.4M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3395+0.11%2.108-9.80%0.0328✗1.103.3M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,257.06+0.12%47,383.60-7.45%0.0151✗0.988,5662021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4622+0.13%9.7+2.65%0.0678✓0.661.0M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,786.03+0.13%47,543.09-6.26%0.0013✓1.00744.5M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9708+0.14%3.7465-5.51%0.0106✓1.06798k2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024202+0.15%0.021978-9.05%0.0186✗1.202.3M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081363+0.24%0.077218-4.87%0.0098✓0.96648k2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.