2021-12-26 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2150

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.64%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

36.5%

in alpha space · 40.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.3426	5.3466	+0.08%	5.2921	-0.95%	0.0080	✗	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081508	0.081564	+0.07%	0.081167	-0.42%	0.0033	✗	0.94	648k	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7893	0.789392	+0.01%	0.7943	+0.63%	0.0082	✓	1.22	7.3M	2021-12-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190018	0.190008	-0.01%	0.187814	-1.16%	0.0098	✓	1.09	5.5M	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,801.79	50,791.33	-0.02%	50,717.77	-0.17%	0.0002	✗	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.37	4.3691	-0.02%	4.744	+8.56%	0.0837	✗	0.81	719k	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	17.11	17.1058	-0.02%	16.84	-1.58%	0.0138	✓	1.13	4.8M	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.8982	9.8952	-0.03%	9.9988	+1.02%	0.0127	✗	1.36	285k	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.96	155.8749	-0.05%	155.78	-0.12%	0.0016	✗	1.36	54.4M	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.08	3.0781	-0.06%	3.39	+10.06%	0.0986	✗	1.26	3.0M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	187.2077	187.0891	-0.06%	211.5789	+13.02%	0.1246	✗	0.97	674k	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,065.91	4,063.33	-0.06%	4,038.64	-0.67%	0.0044	✓	1.02	760.7M	2021-12-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08785	0.087792	-0.07%	0.08443	-3.89%	0.0371	✓	1.18	21.7M	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.113	4.1103	-0.07%	4.361	+6.03%	0.0604	✗	0.71	473k	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.82	25.7995	-0.08%	26.71	+3.45%	0.0358	✗	0.70	2.2M	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.469	0.468615	-0.08%	0.4709	+0.41%	0.0072	✗	1.43	1.1M	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.29	37.2587	-0.08%	39.2	+5.12%	0.0525	✗	1.01	22.1M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2011	0.200929	-0.09%	0.21	+4.43%	0.0460	✗	1.14	3.9M	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	216.57	216.3482	-0.10%	220.72	+1.92%	0.0215	✗	0.91	2.7M	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00012144	0.000121315	-0.10%	0.00011859	-2.35%	0.0211	✓	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.72	26.6902	-0.11%	28.24	+5.69%	0.0587	✗	1.37	22.9M	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	50,987.30	50,924.59	-0.12%	51,195.60	+0.41%	0.0069	✗	0.98	8,566	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	451.86	451.2907	-0.13%	465.3	+2.97%	0.0322	✗	1.00	11.4M	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.92	37.8712	-0.13%	37.61	-0.82%	0.0053	✓	1.00	5.6M	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7502	6.7413	-0.13%	6.8395	+1.32%	0.0157	✗	0.74	4.3M	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.66	3.6551	-0.13%	3.6103	-1.36%	0.0103	✓	1.25	3.1M	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.219	0.218709	-0.13%	0.2194	+0.18%	0.0046	✗	0.85	748k	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.9487	-0.14%	8.01	+0.63%	0.0087	✗	0.63	986k	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.289	2.2857	-0.15%	2.337	+2.10%	0.0240	✗	1.09	3.3M	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01869	0.018662	-0.15%	0.01876	+0.37%	0.0073	✗	1.22	2.8M	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	194.3	194.0033	-0.15%	206.05	+6.05%	0.0618	✗	0.91	11.9M	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	198	197.6872	-0.16%	195.74	-1.14%	0.0084	✓	0.92	255.1M	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09987	0.099706	-0.16%	0.09816	-1.71%	0.0132	✓	1.46	4.8M	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1705	1.1685	-0.17%	1.3056	+11.54%	0.1134	✗	1.49	2.3M	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.113	0.112809	-0.17%	0.1161	+2.74%	0.0310	✗	1.38	2.5M	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.024422	0.02438	-0.17%	0.024165	-1.05%	0.0068	✓	1.22	2.3M	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4928	2.4884	-0.17%	2.5471	+2.18%	0.0251	✗	1.09	147k	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12458	0.124361	-0.18%	0.12484	+0.21%	0.0056	✗	1.08	29k	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.64	9.6229	-0.18%	9.45	-1.97%	0.0171	✓	0.65	952k	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.5	127.2714	-0.18%	127.41	-0.07%	0.0027	✗	0.97	3.2M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.24	6.2288	-0.18%	6.44	+3.21%	0.0352	✗	1.10	4.6M	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.76	2.755	-0.18%	2.8	+1.45%	0.0178	✗	0.97	4.1M	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.99	22.9482	-0.18%	23.02	+0.13%	0.0052	✗	1.23	69.7M	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.232	9.2152	-0.18%	10.034	+8.69%	0.0873	✗	1.28	411k	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	167.45	167.1425	-0.18%	169.76	+1.38%	0.0176	✗	1.23	11.8M	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.487	5.4769	-0.18%	5.5	+0.24%	0.0053	✗	0.63	798k	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06404	0.063922	-0.18%	0.063833	-0.32%	0.0009	✓	1.41	8.7M	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0896	0.089434	-0.19%	0.0897	+0.11%	0.0047	✗	1.05	18k	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20968	0.209288	-0.19%	0.22849	+8.97%	0.0904	✗	1.59	22k	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4826	3.4761	-0.19%	3.4608	-0.63%	0.0046	✓	-0.09	384k	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.59	42.5092	-0.19%	42.6	+0.02%	0.0038	✗	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	1.002	1	-0.20%	1.017	+1.50%	0.0192	✗	1.43	8.9M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.67	18.633	-0.20%	19.11	+2.36%	0.0274	✗	1.29	14.2M	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	149.09	148.7837	-0.21%	151.04	+1.31%	0.0171	✗	1.22	2.0M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05866	0.058539	-0.21%	0.05816	-0.85%	0.0048	✓	1.05	16k	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.85	5.8378	-0.21%	5.87	+0.34%	0.0074	✗	1.15	2.8M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.291987	0.29138	-0.21%	0.300288	+2.84%	0.0318	✗	0.99	34.1M	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.317	1.3142	-0.21%	1.325	+0.61%	0.0097	✗	0.94	3.4M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2394	0.238895	-0.21%	0.2391	-0.13%	0.0017	✓	0.48	392k	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.668	1.6645	-0.21%	1.686	+1.08%	0.0150	✗	1.29	4.3M	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	38.9	38.815	-0.22%	39.59	+1.77%	0.0221	✗	1.43	1.3M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7354	0.73378	-0.22%	0.7375	+0.29%	0.0070	✗	1.17	12.8M	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.898	22.8467	-0.22%	22.976	+0.34%	0.0084	✗	1.65	19.5M	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.879132	0.87709	-0.23%	0.876137	-0.34%	0.0006	✓	1.03	3.2M	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003825	0.000038161	-0.23%	0.00003905	+2.09%	0.0247	✗	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3933	1.3901	-0.23%	1.415	+1.56%	0.0195	✗	1.05	1.3M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	31.34	31.2657	-0.24%	30.97	-1.18%	0.0075	✓	1.23	77.1M	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.3773	-0.24%	9.33	-0.74%	0.0038	✓	0.74	934k	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.61	3.6013	-0.24%	3.6	-0.28%	0.0012	✓	0.96	1.2M	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.8689	3.8595	-0.24%	3.9652	+2.49%	0.0287	✗	1.04	798k	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01668	0.016638	-0.25%	0.01713	+2.70%	0.0306	✗	0.92	1.3M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.8179	6.8007	-0.25%	6.874	+0.82%	0.0126	✗	1.12	764k	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01937	0.019321	-0.25%	0.01908	-1.50%	0.0106	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3303	0.329458	-0.26%	0.3372	+2.09%	0.0253	✗	1.26	5.8M	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.4	34.3084	-0.27%	34.59	+0.55%	0.0092	✗	0.63	572k	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.371	0.37001	-0.27%	0.3756	+1.24%	0.0165	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4549	1.451	-0.27%	1.5164	+4.23%	0.0458	✗	1.03	120.2M	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.24	0.239352	-0.27%	0.2396	-0.17%	0.0030	✗	1.18	6.1M	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.03765	0.037545	-0.28%	0.037325	-0.86%	0.0042	✓	1.02	11.0M	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.67	12.6346	-0.28%	13.03	+2.84%	0.0304	✗	-0.26	4.5M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	235.5	234.808	-0.29%	237.34	+0.78%	0.0125	✗	1.07	236k	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.3	70.0896	-0.30%	70.72	+0.60%	0.0113	✗	1.41	1.3M	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8691	4.8541	-0.31%	5.1016	+4.78%	0.0519	✗	1.28	5.3M	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	10.41	10.3767	-0.32%	10.75	+3.27%	0.0371	✗	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.8093	0.806709	-0.32%	0.8111	+0.22%	0.0075	✗	1.28	3.8M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.92	16.8657	-0.32%	16.81	-0.65%	0.0022	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.279	3.2684	-0.32%	3.267	-0.37%	0.0009	✓	0.83	97k	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.25	11.2135	-0.32%	11.16	-0.80%	0.0035	✓	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01958	0.019515	-0.33%	0.02154	+10.01%	0.0996	✗	0.51	46k	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2.196	2.1886	-0.34%	2.0783	-5.36%	0.0505	✓	0.73	6.7M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1438	0.143312	-0.34%	0.1453	+1.04%	0.0155	✗	1.06	376k	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,193.34	31,087.41	-0.34%	31,759.20	+1.81%	0.0223	✗	0.54	8.3M	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9306	4.9138	-0.34%	4.9574	+0.54%	0.0099	✗	0.67	27k	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.942	1.9354	-0.34%	1.884	-2.99%	0.0248	✓	1.30	7.9M	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.61	10.5734	-0.34%	11.09	+4.52%	0.0493	✗	0.94	1.6M	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1412	0.140698	-0.36%	0.1391	-1.49%	0.0097	✓	1.05	178k	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.307	4.2916	-0.36%	4.312	+0.12%	0.0064	✗	1.00	3.5M	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.93	7.9013	-0.36%	9.15	+15.38%	0.1490	✗	1.36	15.1M	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.73	0.727295	-0.37%	0.723	-0.96%	0.0039	✓	1.21	3.0M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.66	45.4895	-0.37%	44.44	-2.67%	0.0203	✓	1.84	8.5M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4225	0.420916	-0.37%	0.4014	-4.99%	0.0451	✓	1.44	4.4M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	268.05	267.0288	-0.38%	277.6	+3.56%	0.0405	✗	1.03	11.4M	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	322.4	321.1592	-0.38%	322.27	-0.04%	0.0052	✗	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	107.53	107.1106	-0.39%	107.04	-0.46%	0.0009	✓	0.96	7.9M	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7712	-0.39%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0742	✗	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02201	0.021921	-0.40%	0.0262	+19.04%	0.1800	✗	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05082	0.050613	-0.41%	0.05341	+5.10%	0.0553	✗	0.89	10.6M	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11329	0.112824	-0.41%	0.11486	+1.39%	0.0188	✗	0.58	113k	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.7004	-0.41%	5.5	+16.53%	0.1587	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6079	1.6012	-0.42%	1.6631	+3.43%	0.0396	✗	1.03	31.7M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.727	9.6861	-0.42%	9.799	+0.74%	0.0127	✗	0.66	455k	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.28	1.2746	-0.42%	1.32	+3.12%	0.0367	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	43.55	43.3647	-0.43%	43.58	+0.07%	0.0078	✗	1.70	3.7M	2021-12-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	99.78	99.3551	-0.43%	91.01	-8.79%	0.0861	✓	1.00	4.9M	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0712	2.0622	-0.43%	2.0541	-0.83%	0.0028	✓	0.71	1.2M	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3907	1.3843	-0.46%	1.3793	-0.82%	0.0019	✓	1.01	22.8M	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.084	0.083612	-0.46%	0.0741	-11.79%	0.1186	✓	1.31	2.1M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	115.07	114.5299	-0.47%	113.96	-0.96%	0.0032	✓	1.06	127.7M	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.4265	0.424495	-0.47%	0.4183	-1.92%	0.0126	✓	1.28	5.3M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.81	3.7918	-0.48%	3.86	+1.31%	0.0195	✗	0.99	787k	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.862	3.8431	-0.49%	3.7429	-3.08%	0.0250	✓	0.88	8.3M	2021-12-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0806	1.0753	-0.49%	1.1	+1.80%	0.0244	✗	1.00	178k	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.3444	2.3326	-0.50%	2.2578	-3.69%	0.0294	✓	1.92	1.8M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3324	1.3255	-0.52%	1.3823	+3.74%	0.0448	✗	1.71	1.5M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6918	1.6831	-0.52%	1.7264	+2.04%	0.0271	✗	0.99	5.7M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.23	5.2014	-0.55%	5.06	-3.25%	0.0259	✓	1.00	5.7M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.17	31.9857	-0.57%	29.68	-7.74%	0.0734	✓	0.86	39.4M	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.7664	1.7555	-0.62%	1.852	+4.85%	0.0557	✗	1.30	8.3M	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.75	5.7134	-0.64%	5.28	-8.17%	0.0768	✓	1.27	28.7M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.1	13.0108	-0.68%	12.74	-2.75%	0.0202	✓	0.52	2.1M	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.19	3.1667	-0.73%	3.08	-3.45%	0.0262	✓	0.96	2.2M	2021-12-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7068	0.701314	-0.78%	0.8843	+25.11%	0.2347	✗	1.72	17.7M	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	2.22	2.2005	-0.88%	2.01	-9.46%	0.0877	✓	1.68	1.5M	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.17	15.0247	-0.96%	14.16	-6.66%	0.0593	✓	0.01	5.1M	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.136	14.9489	-1.24%	14.106	-6.80%	0.0581	✓	-0.04	133k	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.494	0.487846	-1.25%	0.466	-5.67%	0.0447	✓	0.70	45k	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.75	5.6402	-1.91%	5.18	-9.91%	0.0835	✓	1.00	12.3M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.