8=======>

2021-12-26 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1273
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.9%
in alpha space · 41.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.755.5958-2.68%5.18-9.91%0.0756✓1.0012.3M2021-12-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.1909-1.31%2.01-9.46%0.0833✓1.721.5M2021-12-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.697643-1.30%0.8843+25.11%0.2400✗1.7517.7M2021-12-27
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13614.9497-1.23%14.106-6.80%0.0582✓-0.09133k2021-12-27
HIVEHivenative1.76641.7459-1.16%1.852+4.85%0.0612✗1.328.3M2021-12-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.021765-1.11%0.0262+19.04%0.1871✗1.0034.3M2021-12-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1962.1716-1.11%2.0783-5.36%0.0428✓0.676.7M2021-12-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.366894-1.11%0.3756+1.24%0.0250✗0.91356k2021-12-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1715.0093-1.06%14.16-6.66%0.0583✓-0.035.1M2021-12-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3074.2638-1.00%4.312+0.12%0.0129✗1.003.5M2021-12-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.802617-0.83%0.8111+0.22%0.0126✗1.283.8M2021-12-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.6779-0.82%1.7264+2.04%0.0301✗0.995.7M2021-12-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.8306-0.81%3.7429-3.08%0.0217✓0.888.3M2021-12-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6645.2957-0.80%44.44-2.67%0.0160✓1.848.5M2021-12-27
UMAUMAEthereum10.4110.3298-0.77%10.75+3.27%0.0417✗1.084.1M2021-12-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.423221-0.77%0.4183-1.92%0.0096✓1.285.3M2021-12-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07114.1939-0.76%113.96-0.96%0.0002✓1.13127.7M2021-12-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.113.0031-0.74%12.74-2.75%0.0196✓0.522.1M2021-12-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.7088-0.72%5.28-8.17%0.0759✓1.3028.7M2021-12-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5543.2422-0.71%43.58+0.07%0.0106✗1.713.7M2021-12-27
XVGVergenative0.019370.019234-0.70%0.01908-1.50%0.0061✓1.192.8M2021-12-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.419576-0.69%0.4014-4.99%0.0418✓1.524.4M2021-12-27
STORJStorjEthereum2.07122.0573-0.67%2.0541-0.83%0.0004✓0.701.2M2021-12-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.725391-0.63%0.723-0.96%0.0013✓1.243.0M2021-12-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000038009-0.63%0.00003905+2.09%0.0287✗1.002.2M2021-12-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08061.074-0.61%1.1+1.80%0.0255✗1.00178k2021-12-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.3309-0.58%2.2578-3.69%0.0286✓1.941.8M2021-12-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.199951-0.57%0.21+4.43%0.0509✗1.143.9M2021-12-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.7627-0.57%5.13+7.10%0.0760✗1.001.2M2021-12-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.7892-0.55%3.86+1.31%0.0202✗1.02787k2021-12-27
LUNATerraTerra 299.7899.2358-0.55%91.01-8.79%0.0849✓1.004.9M2021-12-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1731.9973-0.54%29.68-7.74%0.0737✓0.8639.4M2021-12-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.193.1729-0.53%3.08-3.45%0.0281✓0.972.2M2021-12-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3834-0.52%1.3793-0.82%0.0013✓1.0522.8M2021-12-27
ZENHorizenBase70.369.9354-0.52%70.72+0.60%0.0137✗1.511.3M2021-12-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.3256-0.51%1.3823+3.74%0.0447✗1.761.5M2021-12-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.491512-0.50%0.466-5.67%0.0521✓0.7145k2021-12-27
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05266.7121-0.50%277.6+3.56%0.0418✗1.0711.4M2021-12-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.208645-0.49%0.22849+8.97%0.0935✗1.6122k2021-12-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2737-0.49%1.32+3.12%0.0374✗1.002.3M2021-12-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.037465-0.49%0.037325-0.86%0.0020✓1.0211.0M2021-12-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.1647-0.49%1.3056+11.54%0.1166✗1.492.3M2021-12-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.235.2044-0.49%5.06-3.25%0.0265✓1.005.7M2021-12-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.112472-0.47%0.1161+2.74%0.0340✗1.362.5M2021-12-27
KCSKuCoinnative22.89822.7914-0.47%22.976+0.34%0.0108✗1.6819.5M2021-12-27
KSMKusamaHydration322.4320.9485-0.45%322.27-0.04%0.0059✗1.101.5M2021-12-27
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.016606-0.44%0.01713+2.70%0.0326✗0.931.3M2021-12-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.875292-0.44%0.876137-0.34%0.0028✓1.083.2M2021-12-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6995-0.43%5.5+16.53%0.1589✗1.002.5M2021-12-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.083646-0.42%0.0741-11.79%0.1190✓1.312.1M2021-12-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3431,064.63-0.41%31,759.20+1.81%0.0230✗0.528.3M2021-12-27
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.5683-0.39%11.09+4.52%0.0498✗0.941.6M2021-12-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.78624-0.39%0.7943+0.63%0.0123✗1.257.3M2021-12-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.6019-0.37%1.6631+3.43%0.0393✗1.0731.7M2021-12-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.112879-0.36%0.11486+1.39%0.0183✗0.57113k2021-12-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.329116-0.36%0.3372+2.09%0.0264✗1.285.8M2021-12-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.6937-0.34%9.799+0.74%0.0118✗0.62455k2021-12-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.019513-0.34%0.02154+10.01%0.0998✗0.5946k2021-12-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.063823-0.34%0.063833-0.32%0.0026✓1.468.7M2021-12-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.467412-0.34%0.4709+0.41%0.0098✗1.431.1M2021-12-27
ZECZcashZcash167.45166.8934-0.33%169.76+1.38%0.0192✗1.3111.8M2021-12-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.733014-0.32%0.7375+0.29%0.0082✗1.2812.8M2021-12-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.239246-0.31%0.2396-0.17%0.0035✗1.226.1M2021-12-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2511.2148-0.31%11.16-0.80%0.0036✓0.771.4M2021-12-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.938.7822-0.30%39.59+1.77%0.0231✗1.511.3M2021-12-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.143387-0.29%0.1453+1.04%0.0150✗1.06376k2021-12-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4856-0.29%2.5471+2.18%0.0264✗1.18147k2021-12-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.7986-0.28%6.874+0.82%0.0130✗1.19764k2021-12-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.3134-0.27%1.325+0.61%0.0104✗0.973.4M2021-12-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6712.6363-0.27%13.03+2.84%0.0302✗-0.284.5M2021-12-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53107.2475-0.26%107.04-0.46%0.0004✓0.967.9M2021-12-27
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.91-0.25%9.15+15.38%0.1479✗1.3815.1M2021-12-27
GTGateEthereum6.75026.7338-0.24%6.8395+1.32%0.0169✗0.814.3M2021-12-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.6513-0.24%3.6103-1.36%0.0092✓1.253.1M2021-12-27
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077186.7895-0.22%211.5789+13.02%0.1265✗1.14674k2021-12-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.475-0.22%3.4608-0.63%0.0043✓-0.09384k2021-12-27
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.999904-0.21%1.017+1.50%0.0194✗1.478.9M2021-12-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.050715-0.21%0.05341+5.10%0.0533✗0.9210.6M2021-12-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018655-0.19%0.01876+0.37%0.0077✗1.252.8M2021-12-27
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.8603-0.18%5.1016+4.78%0.0506✗1.305.3M2021-12-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3431.2831-0.18%30.97-1.18%0.0080✓1.2677.1M2021-12-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3623-0.18%4.744+8.56%0.0853✗0.83719k2021-12-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.2295-0.17%6.44+3.21%0.0351✗1.124.6M2021-12-27
BANDBandEthereum5.855.8402-0.17%5.87+0.34%0.0071✗1.192.8M2021-12-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.6041-0.16%3.6-0.28%0.0005✓0.991.2M2021-12-27
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.2738-0.16%3.267-0.37%0.0007✓0.8497k2021-12-27
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.291521-0.16%0.300288+2.84%0.0313✗1.0034.1M2021-12-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.9229-0.16%4.9574+0.54%0.0082✗0.7427k2021-12-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.939-0.15%1.884-2.99%0.0266✓1.317.9M2021-12-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.087724-0.14%0.08443-3.89%0.0363✓1.2021.7M2021-12-27
XEMNEMnative0.14120.141002-0.14%0.1391-1.49%0.0118✓1.10178k2021-12-27
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5235.1983-0.13%237.34+0.78%0.0109✗1.10236k2021-12-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3916-0.12%1.415+1.56%0.0185✗1.071.3M2021-12-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.8992-0.12%16.81-0.65%0.0042✓0.691.4M2021-12-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.7893-0.12%26.71+3.45%0.0369✗1.072.2M2021-12-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.3364-0.12%5.2921-0.95%0.0061✓1.355.4M2021-12-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.124444-0.11%0.12484+0.21%0.0050✗1.1029k2021-12-27
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000121311-0.11%0.00011859-2.35%0.0211✓0.9911.0M2021-12-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96155.7995-0.10%155.78-0.12%0.0022✗1.3954.4M2021-12-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.218782-0.10%0.2194+0.18%0.0043✗0.87748k2021-12-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86451.4116-0.10%465.3+2.97%0.0320✗1.0211.4M2021-12-27
SOLSolanaSolana198197.81-0.10%195.74-1.14%0.0088✓1.02255.1M2021-12-27
FTTFTXEthereum42.5942.5515-0.09%42.6+0.02%0.0029✗1.0620.7M2021-12-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.099787-0.08%0.09816-1.71%0.0140✓1.464.8M2021-12-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.9536-0.08%8.01+0.63%0.0081✗0.63986k2021-12-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.058615-0.08%0.05816-0.85%0.0059✓1.1116k2021-12-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6668-0.07%1.686+1.08%0.0136✗1.304.3M2021-12-27
XMRMoneroMonero216.57216.4216-0.07%220.72+1.92%0.0213✗0.992.7M2021-12-27
QNTQuantEthereum194.3194.1762-0.06%206.05+6.05%0.0609✗0.9411.9M2021-12-27
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.454-0.06%1.5164+4.23%0.0438✗1.06120.2M2021-12-27
DASHDashDash149.09149.012-0.05%151.04+1.31%0.0156✗1.262.0M2021-12-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9237.9011-0.05%37.61-0.82%0.0060✓1.055.6M2021-12-27
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,064.01-0.05%4,038.64-0.67%0.0045✓1.04760.7M2021-12-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.434.3885-0.03%34.59+0.55%0.0069✗0.67572k2021-12-27
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.6641-0.03%19.11+2.36%0.0258✗1.3214.2M2021-12-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.089573-0.03%0.0897+0.11%0.0032✗1.0918k2021-12-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2329.2296-0.03%10.034+8.69%0.0858✗1.33411k2021-12-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.112-0.03%4.361+6.03%0.0600✗0.72473k2021-12-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0793-0.02%3.39+10.06%0.0982✗1.283.0M2021-12-27
XVSVenusEthereum17.1117.1087-0.01%16.84-1.58%0.0139✓1.144.8M2021-12-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.9946+0.02%23.02+0.13%0.0033✓1.3169.7M2021-12-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.7271+0.03%28.24+5.69%0.0574✓1.4022.9M2021-12-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.4029+0.03%9.33-0.74%0.0065✗0.77934k2021-12-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4891+0.04%5.5+0.24%0.0030✓0.65798k2021-12-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5127.5793+0.06%127.41-0.07%0.0003✓0.993.2M2021-12-27
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.9046+0.07%9.9988+1.02%0.0118✓1.44285k2021-12-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.19016+0.08%0.187814-1.16%0.0106✗1.115.5M2021-12-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.6494+0.10%9.45-1.97%0.0198✗0.67952k2021-12-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.763+0.11%2.8+1.45%0.0150✓1.024.1M2021-12-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3051,047.28+0.12%51,195.60+0.41%0.0045✓0.988,5662021-12-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,866.39+0.13%50,717.77-0.17%0.0013✓1.00744.5M2021-12-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.024454+0.13%0.024165-1.05%0.0099✗1.202.3M2021-12-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2922+0.14%2.337+2.10%0.0212✓1.103.3M2021-12-27
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.8748+0.15%3.9652+2.49%0.0248✓1.06798k2021-12-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2937.3479+0.16%39.2+5.12%0.0501✓1.0122.1M2021-12-27
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.239787+0.16%0.2391-0.13%0.0021✗0.47392k2021-12-27
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.081695+0.23%0.081167-0.42%0.0049✗0.96648k2021-12-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.