2021-12-25 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1780

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.63%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.8%

in alpha space · 45.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2814	5.2855	+0.08%	5.3426	+1.16%	0.0008	✓	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081715	0.081766	+0.06%	0.081508	-0.25%	0.0101	✗	0.94	655k	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.46	16.4625	+0.02%	17.11	+3.95%	0.0303	✓	1.12	4.9M	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.28	4.2797	-0.01%	4.37	+2.10%	0.0149	✗	0.81	719k	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,428.31	50,420.68	-0.02%	50,801.79	+0.74%	0.0002	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190748	0.190711	-0.02%	0.190018	-0.38%	0.0117	✓	1.10	6.1M	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7916	0.791442	-0.02%	0.7893	-0.29%	0.0117	✓	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.05	4.0479	-0.05%	4.113	+1.56%	0.0107	✗	0.71	473k	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	10.0526	10.0462	-0.06%	9.8982	-1.54%	0.0249	✓	1.37	309k	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.88	5.876	-0.07%	6.24	+6.12%	0.0520	✗	1.09	4.6M	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,097.43	4,094.50	-0.07%	4,065.91	-0.77%	0.0145	✓	1.02	768.5M	2021-12-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.389	6.3839	-0.08%	6.7502	+5.65%	0.0504	✗	0.74	4.3M	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.02	36.9899	-0.08%	37.29	+0.73%	0.0007	✓	1.00	22.7M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.5458	185.3881	-0.08%	187.2077	+0.90%	0.0026	✗	0.97	704k	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	158	157.8626	-0.09%	155.96	-1.29%	0.0222	✓	1.37	56.9M	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	211.35	211.1644	-0.09%	216.57	+2.47%	0.0186	✗	0.91	2.8M	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.62	25.5955	-0.10%	25.82	+0.78%	0.0035	✗	0.70	2.7M	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011988	0.000119756	-0.10%	0.00012144	+1.30%	0.0067	✗	0.98	11.6M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4703	0.469801	-0.11%	0.469	-0.28%	0.0122	✓	1.42	1.1M	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.13	3.1266	-0.11%	3.08	-1.60%	0.0244	✓	1.27	3.2M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.941	0.939913	-0.12%	1.002	+6.48%	0.0535	✗	1.42	8.9M	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2174	0.217143	-0.12%	0.219	+0.74%	0.0023	✗	0.85	756k	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.4483	-0.12%	18.67	+6.87%	0.0583	✗	1.28	14.6M	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	455.36	454.7533	-0.13%	451.86	-0.77%	0.0138	✓	1.00	13.1M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.73	2.7263	-0.14%	2.76	+1.10%	0.0051	✗	0.97	4.4M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023808	0.023775	-0.14%	0.024422	+2.58%	0.0178	✗	1.22	2.2M	2021-12-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,009.40	50,939.65	-0.14%	50,987.30	-0.04%	0.0063	✓	0.98	8,566	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	38.1	38.0473	-0.14%	37.92	-0.47%	0.0107	✓	1.00	5.9M	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1181	1.1165	-0.14%	1.1705	+4.69%	0.0363	✗	1.48	2.4M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5842	3.5791	-0.14%	3.66	+2.11%	0.0132	✗	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.86	28.8187	-0.14%	31.34	+8.59%	0.0749	✗	1.22	77.3M	2021-12-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08801	0.087884	-0.14%	0.08785	-0.18%	0.0091	✓	1.19	21.7M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	195.44	195.1521	-0.15%	194.3	-0.58%	0.0111	✓	0.92	12.0M	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	193.06	192.7752	-0.15%	198	+2.56%	0.0200	✗	0.91	257.1M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.001	8.9875	-0.15%	9.232	+2.57%	0.0174	✗	1.28	455k	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.12	22.0845	-0.16%	22.99	+3.93%	0.0312	✗	1.22	69.7M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.31	2.3061	-0.17%	2.289	-0.91%	0.0155	✓	1.09	3.3M	2021-12-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.05	8.0362	-0.17%	7.96	-1.12%	0.0142	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12333	0.123115	-0.17%	0.12458	+1.01%	0.0039	✗	1.08	29k	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.29	27.2417	-0.18%	26.72	-2.09%	0.0295	✓	1.37	24.1M	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		128.21	127.9794	-0.18%	127.5	-0.55%	0.0109	✓	0.97	3.2M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2058	0.205429	-0.18%	0.2011	-2.28%	0.0297	✓	1.14	4.2M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01881	0.018776	-0.18%	0.01869	-0.64%	0.0136	✓	1.22	2.9M	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2	1.9964	-0.18%	2.196	+9.80%	0.0900	✗	0.72	7.5M	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0895	0.089336	-0.18%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0048	✓	1.05	19k	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.74	42.6601	-0.19%	42.59	-0.35%	0.0090	✓	1.00	21.2M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.64	169.3204	-0.19%	167.45	-1.29%	0.0202	✓	1.23	12.7M	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1109	0.11069	-0.19%	0.113	+1.89%	0.0105	✗	1.37	3.0M	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4595	-0.19%	5.487	+0.31%	0.0004	✓	0.63	846k	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5524	3.5456	-0.19%	3.4826	-1.96%	0.0173	✓	-0.09	384k	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7199	0.718489	-0.20%	0.7354	+2.15%	0.0147	✗	1.16	13.2M	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.75	5.7387	-0.20%	5.85	+1.74%	0.0108	✗	1.15	3.0M	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.639	1.6358	-0.20%	1.668	+1.77%	0.0100	✗	1.29	4.8M	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5192	2.5142	-0.20%	2.4928	-1.05%	0.0166	✓	1.09	147k	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.302	1.2994	-0.20%	1.317	+1.15%	0.0065	✗	0.94	3.7M	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01838	0.018342	-0.21%	0.01937	+5.39%	0.0458	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290047	0.289439	-0.21%	0.291987	+0.67%	0.0014	✓	0.99	35.1M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21629	0.215836	-0.21%	0.20968	-3.06%	0.0407	✓	1.59	23k	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.78	9.7593	-0.21%	10.41	+6.44%	0.0566	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06464	0.064499	-0.22%	0.06404	-0.93%	0.0176	✓	1.41	9.2M	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05902	0.058891	-0.22%	0.05866	-0.61%	0.0117	✓	1.05	16k	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5838	4.5736	-0.22%	4.8691	+6.22%	0.0532	✗	1.27	5.4M	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.78	3.7716	-0.22%	3.8689	+2.35%	0.0178	✗	1.04	819k	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.862461	0.860525	-0.22%	0.879132	+1.93%	0.0138	✗	1.03	3.4M	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	150	149.663	-0.22%	149.09	-0.61%	0.0129	✓	1.23	2.1M	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.55	3.542	-0.23%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0119	✗	0.96	1.2M	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.241836	-0.23%	0.2394	-1.24%	0.0137	✓	0.49	393k	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.92	22.8664	-0.23%	22.898	-0.10%	0.0108	✓	1.66	20.1M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.34	9.3179	-0.24%	9.4	+0.64%	0.0033	✗	0.74	934k	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003772	0.000037627	-0.25%	0.00003825	+1.41%	0.0091	✗	1.00	2.1M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3183	0.317504	-0.25%	0.3303	+3.77%	0.0302	✗	1.26	5.8M	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	293.74	292.9932	-0.25%	322.4	+9.76%	0.0878	✗	1.06	1.5M	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.57	12.5376	-0.26%	12.67	+0.80%	0.0125	✗	-0.27	4.9M	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4098	1.4061	-0.26%	1.3933	-1.17%	0.0169	✓	1.05	1.3M	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.44	34.3493	-0.26%	34.4	-0.12%	0.0032	✓	0.63	611k	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01675	0.016706	-0.27%	0.01668	-0.42%	0.0084	✓	0.92	1.3M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3659	0.364916	-0.27%	0.371	+1.39%	0.0098	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	228.44	227.8108	-0.28%	235.5	+3.09%	0.0254	✗	1.06	239k	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2345	0.233848	-0.28%	0.24	+2.35%	0.0173	✗	1.18	6.2M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3974	0.396279	-0.28%	0.4265	+7.32%	0.0641	✗	1.27	5.3M	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10179	0.101499	-0.29%	0.09987	-1.89%	0.0270	✓	1.47	4.8M	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.86	6.8403	-0.29%	6.8179	-0.61%	0.0115	✓	1.12	819k	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4542	1.45	-0.29%	1.4549	+0.05%	0.0042	✓	1.03	120.7M	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037845	0.037727	-0.31%	0.03765	-0.52%	0.0096	✓	1.03	11.6M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7869	0.784403	-0.32%	0.8093	+2.85%	0.0218	✗	1.27	4.0M	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1406	0.14014	-0.33%	0.1438	+2.28%	0.0180	✗	1.06	413k	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.137	0.136544	-0.33%	0.1412	+3.07%	0.0258	✗	1.05	199k	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.77	70.5329	-0.33%	70.3	-0.66%	0.0137	✓	1.41	1.3M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.18	11.1424	-0.34%	11.25	+0.63%	0.0039	✗	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.95	9.9163	-0.34%	9.64	-3.12%	0.0331	✓	0.66	1.0M	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.952	1.9453	-0.34%	1.942	-0.51%	0.0113	✓	1.30	7.9M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.41	39.2726	-0.35%	38.9	-1.29%	0.0201	✓	1.44	1.3M	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,196.71	31,087.58	-0.35%	31,193.34	-0.01%	0.0006	✓	0.54	7.7M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.01	16.9503	-0.35%	16.92	-0.53%	0.0068	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.331	3.319	-0.36%	3.279	-1.56%	0.0183	✓	0.84	99k	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04956	0.049378	-0.37%	0.05082	+2.54%	0.0222	✗	0.89	11.3M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01996	0.019885	-0.37%	0.01958	-1.90%	0.0193	✓	0.51	53k	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.1706	5.1509	-0.38%	4.9306	-4.64%	0.0487	✓	0.68	28k	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.65	7.6207	-0.38%	7.93	+3.66%	0.0298	✗	1.36	15.1M	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.91	4.8909	-0.39%	4.79	-2.44%	0.0282	✓	1.00	1.3M	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.315	1.3098	-0.40%	1.3907	+5.76%	0.0525	✗	1.01	22.8M	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5756	-0.40%	3.81	+6.13%	0.0562	✗	0.99	787k	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	46.41	46.2228	-0.40%	45.66	-1.62%	0.0259	✓	1.85	8.6M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.27	1.2649	-0.40%	1.28	+0.79%	0.0045	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11267	0.112213	-0.41%	0.11329	+0.55%	0.0053	✗	0.58	113k	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.7005	-0.41%	4.72	+0.00%	0.0032	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.721	0.718001	-0.42%	0.73	+1.25%	0.0076	✗	1.21	3.0M	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5748	1.5682	-0.42%	1.6079	+2.10%	0.0174	✗	1.03	33.5M	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0162	2.0077	-0.42%	2.0712	+2.73%	0.0259	✗	0.71	1.3M	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.292	4.2735	-0.43%	4.307	+0.35%	0.0004	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	109.28	108.7961	-0.44%	107.53	-1.60%	0.0188	✓	0.97	8.4M	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02284	0.022738	-0.45%	0.02201	-3.63%	0.0399	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	98.4	97.9578	-0.45%	99.78	+1.40%	0.0111	✗	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.94	1.9312	-0.46%	2.22	+14.43%	0.1271	✗	1.66	1.5M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.952	9.9066	-0.46%	9.727	-2.26%	0.0232	✓	0.67	388k	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4176	0.415681	-0.46%	0.4225	+1.17%	0.0056	✗	1.44	4.4M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.86	114.3303	-0.46%	115.07	+0.18%	0.0014	✓	1.07	136.0M	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2841	2.2734	-0.47%	2.3444	+2.64%	0.0166	✗	1.92	1.9M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7481	3.7299	-0.49%	3.862	+3.04%	0.0283	✗	0.88	8.6M	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	263.91	262.6165	-0.49%	268.05	+1.57%	0.0129	✗	1.03	11.4M	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.79	29.643	-0.49%	32.17	+7.99%	0.0755	✗	0.85	39.4M	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.08	11.0249	-0.50%	10.61	-4.24%	0.0454	✓	0.95	2.0M	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.57	44.3472	-0.50%	43.55	-2.29%	0.0307	✓	1.71	4.2M	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0826	0.082165	-0.53%	0.084	+1.69%	0.0124	✗	1.31	2.3M	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6509	1.6422	-0.53%	1.7664	+7.00%	0.0634	✗	1.30	8.6M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3389	1.3318	-0.53%	1.3324	-0.49%	0.0122	✓	1.72	1.6M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7241	1.7147	-0.54%	1.6918	-1.87%	0.0208	✓	1.00	6.2M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.29	5.2611	-0.55%	5.23	-1.13%	0.0133	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1799	1.1734	-0.55%	1.0806	-8.42%	0.0898	✓	1.00	184k	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.84	5.7949	-0.77%	5.75	-1.54%	0.0172	✓	1.28	28.7M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.23	13.1255	-0.79%	13.1	-0.98%	0.0058	✓	0.52	2.7M	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.134	3.1081	-0.83%	3.19	+1.79%	0.0189	✗	0.96	2.2M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7354	0.728791	-0.90%	0.7068	-3.89%	0.0434	✓	1.73	17.7M	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.01	4.9369	-1.46%	5.75	+14.77%	0.1451	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	16.15	15.9024	-1.53%	15.17	-6.07%	0.0473	✓	0.03	5.1M	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		16.057	15.774	-1.76%	15.136	-5.74%	0.0410	✓	-0.03	134k	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.536	0.519553	-3.07%	0.494	-7.84%	0.0557	✓	0.72	45k	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.