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2021-12-23 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1409
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.5%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.238+0.14%5.014-4.15%0.0439✗1.365.2M2021-12-24
TRXTRONTron0.082610.082649+0.05%0.080892-2.08%0.0217✗0.96708k2021-12-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.372155+0.04%0.368-1.08%0.0114✗0.7646k2021-12-24
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.1624+0.01%15.83-2.04%0.0210✗1.145.3M2021-12-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,830.96-0.02%50,851.38+0.02%0.0002✓1.00750.8M2021-12-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.184892-0.02%0.186316+0.75%0.0075✗1.115.5M2021-12-24
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000114322-0.09%0.0001173+2.52%0.0255✗0.9911.7M2021-12-24
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,109.53-0.09%4,049.65-1.54%0.0149✓1.05768.5M2021-12-24
QTUMQtumQtum10.047610.0387-0.09%9.7921-2.54%0.0251✓1.45349k2021-12-24
GTGateEthereum6.2596.253-0.10%6.3128+0.86%0.0094✗0.804.6M2021-12-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,935.53-0.10%50,714.60-0.53%0.0045✓0.9810k2021-12-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3537.3128-0.10%36.47-2.36%0.0230✓1.0223.1M2021-12-24
XMRMoneroMonero210.04209.8252-0.10%204.44-2.67%0.0262✓0.992.8M2021-12-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.3261-0.11%4.157-4.02%0.0400✓0.83714k2021-12-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.213742-0.12%0.2162+1.03%0.0113✗0.87776k2021-12-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7455.1308-0.12%452.27-0.75%0.0065✓1.0314.2M2021-12-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5637.5113-0.13%37.42-0.37%0.0026✓1.056.2M2021-12-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.8162-0.13%25.34-1.97%0.0188✓1.072.7M2021-12-24
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792189.0115-0.14%188.1748-0.58%0.0046✓1.14728k2021-12-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.2668-0.14%9.05-2.48%0.0238✓0.681.1M2021-12-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.024078-0.14%0.02326-3.54%0.0348✓1.212.1M2021-12-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.8388-0.15%8.681-1.93%0.0183✓1.33560k2021-12-24
QNTQuantEthereum195.7195.3931-0.16%199.57+1.98%0.0210✗0.9412.0M2021-12-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74163.481-0.16%161.35-1.46%0.0134✓1.3959.6M2021-12-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.3913-0.16%5.275-2.31%0.0219✓0.65936k2021-12-24
SOLSolanaSolana190.07189.7587-0.16%190.65+0.31%0.0045✗1.02265.5M2021-12-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.475989-0.17%0.4629-2.92%0.0281✓1.431.3M2021-12-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.120584-0.17%0.1219+0.92%0.0107✗1.1030k2021-12-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.1075-0.17%1.1183+0.80%0.0095✗1.482.7M2021-12-24
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.953327-0.18%0.909-4.82%0.0479✓1.4710.8M2021-12-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.6001-0.18%3.5814-0.70%0.0052✓-0.09384k2021-12-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3296-0.19%2.266-2.91%0.0279✓1.113.4M2021-12-24
ZECZcashZcash167.41167.0845-0.19%165.18-1.33%0.0117✓1.3213.6M2021-12-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1729.1125-0.20%28.17-3.43%0.0331✓1.2577.3M2021-12-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.089622-0.20%0.0888-1.11%0.0094✓1.0922k2021-12-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2983-0.20%1.287-1.08%0.0089✓0.974.4M2021-12-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.5075-0.20%2.5759+2.52%0.0267✗1.18172k2021-12-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.5069-0.21%3.4093-2.98%0.0284✓1.254.0M2021-12-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.6416-0.21%1.593-3.16%0.0303✓1.315.2M2021-12-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81129.5402-0.21%129.58-0.18%0.0001✓0.993.1M2021-12-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.2732-0.21%3.08-6.10%0.0611✓1.293.2M2021-12-24
FTTFTXEthereum43.0842.9894-0.21%42.68-0.93%0.0074✓1.0621.8M2021-12-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.815555-0.21%0.7966-2.53%0.0237✓1.257.7M2021-12-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.1501-0.22%9.07-1.09%0.0089✓0.78836k2021-12-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1479-0.22%4.004-3.68%0.0354✓0.72487k2021-12-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.28714-0.22%0.278628-3.18%0.0303✓1.0137.2M2021-12-24
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.7421-0.22%3.6421-2.89%0.0273✓1.06819k2021-12-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.096532-0.23%0.09257-4.32%0.0422✓1.485.9M2021-12-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1834.103-0.23%34.01-0.50%0.0029✓0.67711k2021-12-24
XVGVergenative0.018430.018388-0.23%0.01798-2.44%0.0227✓1.192.8M2021-12-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.063046-0.23%0.062217-1.54%0.0135✓1.479.8M2021-12-24
KSMKusamaHydration291.44290.7735-0.23%288.88-0.88%0.0067✓1.091.5M2021-12-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.1312-0.23%7.76-4.79%0.0468✓0.641.1M2021-12-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.059142-0.23%0.05798-2.19%0.0200✓1.1217k2021-12-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.076.0556-0.24%5.72-5.77%0.0572✓1.125.3M2021-12-24
BANDBandEthereum5.735.7164-0.24%5.63-1.75%0.0155✓1.193.0M2021-12-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.731851-0.24%0.697-4.99%0.0490✓1.2814.9M2021-12-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.018536-0.24%0.01876+0.97%0.0118✗1.253.5M2021-12-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1922.1369-0.24%21.47-3.24%0.0308✓1.3169.7M2021-12-24
DASHDashDash146.65146.2971-0.24%149.49+1.94%0.0214✗1.272.2M2021-12-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5212.4895-0.24%12.34-1.44%0.0120✓-0.285.3M2021-12-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.5612-0.25%3.53-1.12%0.0090✓0.991.3M2021-12-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.069923-0.25%0.0781+11.41%0.1104✗1.302.5M2021-12-24
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.761-0.25%4.4901-5.93%0.0588✓1.295.4M2021-12-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1137.0149-0.26%34.92-5.90%0.0585✓1.521.4M2021-12-24
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1818.133-0.26%17.5-3.74%0.0358✓1.3114.2M2021-12-24
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.1029-0.26%3.139+0.90%0.0114✗0.85101k2021-12-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.4343-0.26%1.3856-3.65%0.0348✓1.081.4M2021-12-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.7454-0.26%1.7-2.86%0.0267✓1.711.6M2021-12-24
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.8037-0.27%9.56-2.75%0.0254✓1.084.1M2021-12-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.387906-0.28%0.3826-1.65%0.0140✓1.286.4M2021-12-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.9339-0.28%27.63+2.30%0.0253✗1.4022.9M2021-12-24
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.251082-0.29%0.2445-2.90%0.0266✓0.47410k2021-12-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.8217-0.29%2.75-2.83%0.0259✓1.024.7M2021-12-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.361706-0.30%0.3611-0.47%0.0018✓0.91401k2021-12-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11265.0972-0.30%5.219+2.08%0.0235✗0.7530k2021-12-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.8264-0.30%3.793-1.17%0.0089✓1.003.6M2021-12-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.228993-0.31%0.2171-5.49%0.0536✓1.236.8M2021-12-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.089669-0.31%0.08284-7.90%0.0794✓1.2122.6M2021-12-24
KCSKuCoinnative23.31623.2431-0.31%22.81-2.17%0.0191✓1.6921.7M2021-12-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.883313-0.32%0.850611-4.01%0.0379✓1.084.3M2021-12-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.216432-0.32%0.21483-1.06%0.0077✓1.6229k2021-12-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.312093-0.32%0.3016-3.67%0.0344✓1.286.6M2021-12-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.111237-0.33%0.1086-2.69%0.0242✓1.373.1M2021-12-24
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.016994-0.33%0.01651-3.17%0.0291✓0.941.5M2021-12-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.138911-0.35%0.1379-1.08%0.0075✓1.06445k2021-12-24
XEMNEMnative0.13930.138807-0.35%0.1359-2.44%0.0214✓1.10202k2021-12-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4643-0.37%1.576+7.23%0.0733✗1.0734.9M2021-12-24
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4689-0.37%1.3935-5.48%0.0529✓1.07130.4M2021-12-24
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55229.7017-0.37%230.2-0.15%0.0020✓1.10239k2021-12-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000038537-0.37%0.00003614-6.57%0.0644✓1.002.1M2021-12-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.686339-0.39%0.673-2.32%0.0199✓1.243.2M2021-12-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.26910.2279-0.40%10.023-2.40%0.0204✓0.63455k2021-12-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.050278-0.40%0.04944-2.06%0.0170✓0.9214.3M2021-12-24
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.7505-0.41%4.63-2.94%0.0259✓1.002.5M2021-12-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.8751-0.42%6.6807-3.23%0.0289✓1.19876k2021-12-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2646-0.43%1.23-3.15%0.0279✓1.002.4M2021-12-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.7783-0.43%16.74-0.65%0.0024✓0.691.5M2021-12-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.780052-0.43%0.7596-3.04%0.0268✓1.286.5M2021-12-24
API3Api3Ethereum5.185.1575-0.44%4.83-6.76%0.0658✓1.001.7M2021-12-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.9222-0.44%11.08+1.00%0.0142✗0.771.6M2021-12-24
ZENHorizenBase72.4572.1327-0.44%70.53-2.65%0.0227✓1.511.5M2021-12-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9742-0.44%1.999+0.81%0.0122✗1.317.6M2021-12-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2894-0.45%1.2849-0.80%0.0037✓1.0423.6M2021-12-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4106.9149-0.45%104.62-2.59%0.0219✓0.969.0M2021-12-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.113213-0.46%0.11016-3.15%0.0274✓0.57143k2021-12-24
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.4711-0.47%10.85+3.14%0.0354✗0.951.7M2021-12-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.038826-0.47%0.038247-1.95%0.0152✓1.0213.0M2021-12-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5631,410.06-0.47%32,577.63+3.23%0.0364✗0.526.9M2021-12-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3828.2386-0.50%26.87-5.32%0.0498✓0.8641.0M2021-12-24
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6898-0.54%3.54-4.58%0.0416✓1.02807k2021-12-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.021045-0.54%0.01972-6.81%0.0651✓0.5961k2021-12-24
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.3033-0.55%2.2129-4.45%0.0404✓1.952.2M2021-12-24
STORJStorjEthereum2.08462.073-0.56%1.9469-6.61%0.0629✓0.711.3M2021-12-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.9172-0.58%3.77-4.31%0.0385✓1.0012.1M2021-12-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5449.2502-0.58%45.72-7.71%0.0747✓1.869.4M2021-12-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37120.6536-0.59%114.93-5.31%0.0488✓1.14148.6M2021-12-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.884-0.61%5.51-6.93%0.0659✓1.006.6M2021-12-24
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.6571-0.62%3.5-4.89%0.0441✓0.889.0M2021-12-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.6804-0.62%1.751+3.56%0.0410✗1.007.2M2021-12-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.383667-0.63%0.4062+5.21%0.0568✗1.524.4M2021-12-24
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.2534-0.64%7.94+8.77%0.0902✗1.3714.6M2021-12-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.219781-0.64%0.2028-8.32%0.0806✓1.154.3M2021-12-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7511.6737-0.65%12.11+3.06%0.0366✗0.532.7M2021-12-24
HIVEHivenative1.65031.6396-0.65%1.593-3.47%0.0290✓1.3211.4M2021-12-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4344.1385-0.66%44.15-0.63%0.0000✓1.725.2M2021-12-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.023522-0.67%0.02191-7.47%0.0712✓1.0035.6M2021-12-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.2205-0.68%1.8967-15.16%0.1577✓0.678.3M2021-12-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.3331-0.70%1.3138-2.13%0.0149✓1.771.8M2021-12-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.1525-0.72%5.19+0.00%0.0070✓1.3228.7M2021-12-24
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2245.294-0.77%270.33+9.36%0.0970✗1.0711.4M2021-12-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.9468-0.85%2.793-6.02%0.0538✓0.982.3M2021-12-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.3568-0.96%1.189-13.21%0.1322✓1.00193k2021-12-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.7726-0.99%15.7+32.04%0.2879✗-0.034.6M2021-12-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.659546-1.04%0.7622+14.36%0.1443✗1.7512.6M2021-12-24
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76411.6385-1.07%15.611+32.70%0.2937✗-0.09129k2021-12-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.