TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1294
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0660
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.844098 | -3.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.858024 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.865381 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.807399 | -3.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.845756 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.850572 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.994659 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.980475 | -4.81% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.964193 | -4.89% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.938343 | -4.95% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0265 | -5.54% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0666 | -6.18% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1738 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.998221 | -5.58% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.974949 | -5.87% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.016 | -6.44% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0648 | -6.86% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0367 | -6.99% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0824 | -7.40% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.0965 | -8.79% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.792552 | -5.76% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.802957 | -5.84% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2925 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.825878 | -5.95% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2771 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.936172 | -6.82% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0487 | -7.88% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.990497 | -8.75% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.847608 | -6.05% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.768636 | -6.17% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.00 |