TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0655
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0128
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.869219 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.884944 | -0.71% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.892927 | -0.77% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.832378 | -0.63% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0775 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.873971 | -0.67% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0410 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.881126 | -0.65% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0343 | -0.86% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0205 | -0.92% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0045 | -0.91% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.978756 | -0.86% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0758 | -1.01% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.12 | -1.48% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0464 | -1.03% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0252 | -1.02% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0735 | -1.15% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1282 | -1.30% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0997 | -1.33% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1521 | -1.44% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1699 | -2.69% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.832109 | -1.05% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.843759 | -1.06% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.868779 | -1.07% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.989932 | -1.47% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1141 | -2.13% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0521 | -3.07% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.887367 | -1.64% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.801439 | -2.17% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1146 | ✗ | 1.00 |