TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4001

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0150

actual -0.3422

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009229	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.008992	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.008988	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008765	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008248	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007882	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007834	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008525	-1.89%	0.00942	+8.40%	0.0558	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010042	-3.21%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.0836	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010092	-3.06%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.0983	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.01196	-5.01%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2290	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.01064	-3.66%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.1841	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010297	-3.18%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2166	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010353	-3.11%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2796	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.011809	-4.53%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2465	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012027	-4.81%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0575	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013443	-6.02%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.1071	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014203	-9.19%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0173	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011121	-3.92%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.0530	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.010802	-3.55%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.0486	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014049	-8.48%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.1735	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008829	+0.56%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.3444	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008965	+0.90%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2953	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008941	+1.54%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.4123	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010812	+0.29%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.3203	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012197	+0.34%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.0602	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011878	+1.31%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.0687	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015663	-0.30%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0308	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018498	-0.98%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7354	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.02068	-2.04%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.8147	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.02052	-1.73%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.8091	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021107	-0.53%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.7118	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020463	-0.08%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.5593	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021044	+0.11%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6239	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.02245	+0.97%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.4571	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023993	+0.86%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.3530	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026873	+0.56%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.3728	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032505	-0.76%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.5449	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.02966	+0.31%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.3901	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033073	+0.10%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5294	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.030143	+0.48%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.4069	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.031029	+0.60%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.3308	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036523	+0.68%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.4010	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.048077	+0.52%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.5500	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.055674	+0.27%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.5188	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078536	-0.23%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9317	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094399	-0.49%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0171	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094461	-0.25%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1155	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114149	-0.30%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2486	✓	1.00