TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1094

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009377	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.00914	-0.44%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0394	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009137	-0.47%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0374	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008906	-0.44%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0369	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008353	-0.27%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0446	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007972	-0.16%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0539	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007937	-0.16%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0302	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008667	-0.26%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1082	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010315	-0.58%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1130	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010353	-0.55%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0495	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012428	-1.29%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1059	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010961	-0.76%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1112	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010575	-0.56%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0304	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.01062	-0.60%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0291	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012236	-1.08%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0798	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012501	-1.06%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0732	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.01408	-1.57%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1007	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.01507	-3.64%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0248	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011451	-1.07%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2552	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011083	-1.05%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0358	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014792	-3.64%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2674	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008795	+0.17%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5245	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008904	+0.21%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0119	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008835	+0.34%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0010	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010771	-0.09%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1771	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012147	-0.06%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1205	✓	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011747	+0.19%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0264	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015674	-0.23%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2835	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018616	-0.34%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1698	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020969	-0.67%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0943	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020768	-0.54%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021174	-0.22%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0788	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020461	-0.09%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021013	-0.04%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022268	+0.15%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023822	+0.14%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026743	+0.07%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1244	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032633	-0.37%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1660	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029569	-0.00%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033005	-0.11%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1039	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.03003	+0.10%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030903	+0.19%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036349	+0.20%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1416	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047888	+0.12%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2756	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.055568	+0.08%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1418	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078627	-0.11%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3322	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094656	-0.22%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1908	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094577	-0.13%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114172	-0.28%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1672	✓	1.00