SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

168

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0604

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0081

actual -0.0125

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010331	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010608	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010855	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010894	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011488	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011548	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011748	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011568	-2.06%	0.010474	-11.33%	0.1126	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012502	-2.32%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1471	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012675	-2.43%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1416	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012623	-2.19%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1125	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012624	-2.28%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0601	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012599	-2.39%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0559	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012078	-2.16%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0106	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011985	-2.17%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0049	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012372	-1.76%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0608	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012505	-1.80%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0824	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012578	-1.79%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0563	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012402	-1.95%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0610	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012449	-2.24%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0578	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011958	-2.23%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0671	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012187	-2.50%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0083	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012116	-2.62%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0176	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.0123	-2.80%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0092	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013409	-2.98%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0683	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.01346	-2.83%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0658	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013088	-2.86%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0320	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012552	-2.80%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0312	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012172	-2.84%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0358	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012235	-2.65%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0456	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011905	-2.37%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.0972	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011329	-2.01%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1579	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011529	-2.07%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1442	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.01155	-2.07%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1133	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010655	-0.91%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.0933	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010587	-0.83%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0671	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010493	-0.75%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0511	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010619	-0.43%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0405	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.00982	+0.70%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1125	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.01079	-0.04%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0425	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010651	+0.34%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0599	✓	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.01037	+0.58%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0384	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010978	+0.41%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0039	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011269	+0.30%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0316	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.011033	+0.75%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0236	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010876	+1.10%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0672	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010528	+1.46%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0550	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.00998	+2.72%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.0899	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009834	+3.24%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1027	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008941	+1.79%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.1894	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009057	+1.35%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.2028	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008921	+1.45%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.1990	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008803	+1.13%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1703	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008483	+1.16%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1826	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.00829	+0.67%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1371	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008232	+1.07%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1341	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008159	+0.31%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0951	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007865	+0.26%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1417	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007813	+0.16%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1235	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007804	-0.20%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1101	✗	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007658	-0.65%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0758	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007704	-0.42%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0728	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007122	-1.30%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0409	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.00684	-2.39%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0381	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006442	-1.49%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0013	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006567	-1.60%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0368	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006554	-1.58%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0465	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006422	-1.43%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0290	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.0063	-1.38%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0241	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.0064	-1.20%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006447	-1.28%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0146	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006585	-1.50%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0268	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006693	-1.28%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0127	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006742	-1.72%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0228	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006718	-1.49%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0022	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006744	-1.33%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0209	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006487	-0.43%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0130	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006595	-0.61%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0108	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006635	+0.07%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0165	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006778	-0.03%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0075	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006789	-0.01%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0129	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006759	+0.13%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0286	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006856	-0.06%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0392	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007019	-0.50%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0666	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006981	-0.55%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0631	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007553	-0.81%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1339	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007631	-1.15%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1143	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008311	-0.94%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1716	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008213	-1.05%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1695	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008156	-1.03%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1512	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008361	-1.00%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1643	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008503	-0.90%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1548	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008571	-0.80%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0735	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008492	-0.86%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0700	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008344	-0.73%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0053	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008337	-0.69%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0039	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008467	-0.74%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0304	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008351	-0.53%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0102	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008609	-0.59%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0259	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.00863	-0.69%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0238	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008502	-0.61%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0442	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008524	-0.71%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0308	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008698	-0.88%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0536	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008691	-0.79%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0145	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008617	-0.61%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0368	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008537	-0.68%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0302	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.0086	-1.04%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0194	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008597	-0.49%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0269	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008612	-0.33%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008669	-0.35%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0005	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.00868	-0.35%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0203	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008628	-0.42%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0269	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008438	-0.03%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0249	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008183	+0.53%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0304	✗	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008571	+0.01%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0621	✗	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008336	+0.43%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0388	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.00845	+0.53%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0281	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008666	+0.30%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0409	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.00837	+0.60%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0022	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.00845	+0.54%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0177	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008769	+0.16%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0017	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009254	-0.49%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009076	+0.01%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0231	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009475	-0.26%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0461	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009313	-0.07%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0155	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009281	+0.02%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0546	✗	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009465	-0.27%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0597	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008849	+0.39%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0424	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008906	+0.23%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0845	✓	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.009015	+0.17%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0510	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008674	+0.68%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.0946	✓	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008676	+1.12%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0727	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008674	+1.22%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0797	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008467	+2.02%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0610	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008755	+1.75%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0619	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009232	+1.11%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0923	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008902	+1.63%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0296	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008867	+2.40%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0943	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.009053	+2.30%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0998	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009771	+1.15%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1271	✗	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.01061	+0.66%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.2013	✗	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010334	+0.23%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0832	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010908	-0.93%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0110	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011588	-2.62%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0616	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011502	-1.14%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0027	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011592	-1.22%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0001	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011418	-0.97%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0410	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.01191	-1.49%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0921	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.01212	-1.63%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0316	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012649	-2.02%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0208	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012512	-1.71%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0161	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012845	-1.84%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0422	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012552	-1.63%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0268	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013205	-2.26%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0601	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012741	-1.66%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.0126	-1.49%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012771	-1.64%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013171	-1.75%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013523	-2.01%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0141	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.01445	-2.10%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0776	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015541	-2.57%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.0955	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.01523	-2.31%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1387	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016116	-2.56%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016081	-2.27%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016043	-2.26%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1196	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015746	-2.32%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.0998	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015688	-2.32%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015419	-2.17%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015713	-2.22%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015632	-2.12%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0617	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015578	-2.21%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0315	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015177	-2.02%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015402	-2.02%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0208	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015333	-1.96%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015365	-2.01%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0219	✓	1.00