SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

146

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

72.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1699

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0246

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.010881	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.010867	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010455	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010564	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010619	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011099	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011149	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.01132	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011086	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.011911	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012007	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.011965	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.011944	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.011939	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011443	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011446	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.011821	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.011951	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012012	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.011797	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.011671	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011204	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011346	-9.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011268	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.0114	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.012327	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.01233	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012002	-10.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01159	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.01129	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.011375	-9.49%	0.011185	-11.01%	0.0054	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011074	-9.19%	0.011175	-8.35%	0.0386	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.010434	-9.76%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0097	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.010603	-9.93%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0304	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.010632	-9.86%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0258	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.009905	-7.88%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.1022	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.009889	-7.37%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.1074	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.009851	-6.82%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.1163	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.009929	-6.90%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.1331	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009266	-4.98%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2506	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010143	-6.04%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.1973	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010115	-4.71%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1707	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.009977	-3.23%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.1865	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010551	-3.49%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1555	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010871	-3.24%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.0921	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010697	-2.32%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.0900	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010679	-0.72%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.1065	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010416	+0.38%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1353	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009909	+1.98%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1829	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009821	+3.11%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2143	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009072	+3.28%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2560	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009247	+3.48%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.1928	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009254	+5.23%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2460	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.009202	+5.71%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2357	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.009013	+7.48%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.2789	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008918	+8.29%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.3621	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.009014	+10.67%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.3812	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.009032	+11.05%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.3399	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008617	+9.85%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3346	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008611	+10.40%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3109	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.008491	+8.60%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.2903	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.00847	+9.88%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.2496	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008517	+10.10%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.2705	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007578	+5.01%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3356	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.007062	+0.78%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3540	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.00619	-5.35%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3826	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006306	-5.51%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3552	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006244	-6.24%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3329	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.00613	-5.91%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3271	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006044	-5.39%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2696	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006155	-4.97%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3508	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006234	-4.55%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3150	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006404	-4.21%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2698	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006549	-3.40%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2845	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006742	-1.73%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.2983	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.00677	-0.74%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2610	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006792	-0.62%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2215	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006473	-0.64%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2336	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006621	-0.21%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1524	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006577	-0.80%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1087	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006745	-0.52%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0449	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006711	-1.17%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0671	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006676	-1.10%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0245	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.00671	-2.19%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0231	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006857	-2.81%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0131	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006838	-2.59%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007328	-3.77%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1493	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007397	-4.18%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1454	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.007995	-4.70%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2156	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.007893	-4.91%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2387	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007855	-4.67%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2164	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008072	-4.42%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2316	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008265	-3.68%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2516	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008375	-3.07%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2506	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008299	-3.10%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2343	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008147	-3.07%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2197	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008196	-2.37%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.2001	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008367	-1.91%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.2102	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008233	-1.93%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2212	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008508	-1.76%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2574	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008574	-1.34%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2542	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.00837	-2.17%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2684	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008452	-1.55%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2308	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008618	-1.79%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2423	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008592	-1.92%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2378	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008508	-1.87%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2520	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.00845	-1.69%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2598	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.0086	-1.03%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2947	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008513	-1.47%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2600	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008494	-1.69%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2562	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008559	-1.62%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2400	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008569	-1.62%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2508	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008527	-1.60%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2578	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008275	-1.96%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2419	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.007974	-2.04%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2380	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008391	-2.09%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2467	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008136	-1.97%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1455	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008232	-2.06%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1322	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008469	-1.97%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1049	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008222	-1.18%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0724	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008314	-1.09%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0645	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008677	-0.89%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0693	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009214	-0.93%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.1072	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008993	-0.90%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0947	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009386	-1.20%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.1079	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009233	-0.93%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1139	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009231	-0.53%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1267	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009448	-0.44%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0930	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008887	+0.81%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0242	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008975	+1.01%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0083	✓	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.009082	+0.91%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0314	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008741	+1.46%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0169	✓	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008694	+1.33%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0162	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008685	+1.34%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0066	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.00846	+1.93%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0127	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008734	+1.50%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0339	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009177	+0.51%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0512	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008846	+0.99%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0182	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008821	+1.86%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0786	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008998	+1.67%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0875	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009625	-0.36%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0889	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010362	-1.69%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1480	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010107	-1.97%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0498	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010613	-3.61%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0374	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.01136	-4.53%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0012	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011068	-4.87%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0419	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011153	-4.96%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0123	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.010974	-4.83%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0335	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011431	-5.45%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0281	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011599	-5.85%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0264	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012075	-6.47%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0135	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.011915	-6.40%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0063	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012202	-6.75%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0034	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.011946	-6.38%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0192	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012554	-7.07%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0124	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012094	-6.64%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.011965	-6.45%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.01214	-6.51%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0690	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012492	-6.81%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.1834	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.012842	-6.94%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2042	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.013655	-7.49%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2319	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.014769	-7.40%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3092	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014353	-7.94%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.2930	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015204	-8.07%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3373	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015248	-7.34%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3230	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015307	-6.75%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.014959	-7.20%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2477	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.014901	-7.22%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.2948	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.014668	-6.93%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2533	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015095	-6.07%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.014982	-6.19%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2014	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.014902	-6.45%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1256	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014461	-6.64%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.1741	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.014709	-6.43%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.1914	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.014657	-6.29%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.014631	-6.69%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.1954	✓	1.00