PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2767

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0463

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.001191	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.00121	+0.31%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002047	+2.97%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003261	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003599	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003894	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00465	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004858	-4.20%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.4931	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004699	-3.19%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.4736	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004257	-1.61%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7535	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004813	-2.48%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.3926	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005429	-4.85%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3158	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004743	-1.87%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1056	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004887	-1.76%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0407	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005309	-2.37%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0679	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005314	-2.59%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0010	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005708	-3.93%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1495	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005521	-3.50%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.1000	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005726	-3.94%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1441	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.00576	-3.34%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.0762	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006637	-4.42%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1816	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007146	-4.83%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.1020	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007657	-5.26%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3234	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.006885	-4.76%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2525	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.007822	-5.42%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3399	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008042	-5.61%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3233	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008403	-5.90%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3476	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010227	-6.53%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.3921	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012056	-7.69%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.4790	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010341	-6.78%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2366	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.00953	-6.21%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2463	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.009533	-6.42%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008441	-6.14%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008325	-6.05%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.00924	-7.41%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.1301	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007666	-5.20%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4327	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007205	-4.28%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3289	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007168	-4.05%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.2176	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.00866	-5.96%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.00759	-4.35%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.1145	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.007998	-4.74%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0524	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.007809	-4.58%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1989	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006544	-2.90%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.2140	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006825	-2.80%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.00888	-3.68%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1357	✓	1.00