PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1147

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0075

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.00142	+0.72%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002003	+0.78%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3414	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.00327	+0.11%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5490	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003635	-0.07%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.0991	✓	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003947	-0.12%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1114	✓	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004796	-0.70%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1879	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005029	-0.83%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0111	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004823	-0.64%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0240	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004319	-0.19%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1929	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004917	-0.37%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.1978	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005642	-1.12%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0357	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.00482	-0.28%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1306	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004963	-0.24%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0447	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005415	-0.41%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1283	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005432	-0.43%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0839	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005896	-0.76%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0406	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005685	-0.63%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0550	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005916	-0.77%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0057	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005928	-0.52%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0880	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.00689	-0.77%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1580	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007447	-0.83%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0515	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008002	-1.00%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1350	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007177	-0.71%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1235	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008196	-0.89%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1278	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008447	-0.86%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008855	-0.84%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010825	-1.07%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1962	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012828	-1.78%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1555	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010938	-1.40%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1772	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010038	-1.21%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1213	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010042	-1.42%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008887	-1.19%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0717	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008763	-1.11%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0269	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009801	-1.79%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007998	-1.09%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1638	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007469	-0.77%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0767	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007423	-0.63%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009086	-1.34%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1621	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007873	-0.78%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1390	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008314	-0.97%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008092	-1.12%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0361	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006714	-0.39%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1893	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006999	-0.32%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0152	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009149	-0.76%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2625	✓	1.00