ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s1
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4622
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0437
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.039332 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.037733 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.020898 | -2.48% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.02032 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.026921 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.031865 | -3.99% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.028773 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.032742 | -2.72% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2299 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035034 | -3.34% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1902 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.035107 | -3.90% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.4966 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.050402 | -6.29% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8438 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.056766 | -7.32% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.6809 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.055108 | -7.84% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.4812 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.039935 | -5.86% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3170 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.046807 | -7.10% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.2964 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.048955 | -8.32% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2586 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.06196 | -8.47% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4644 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.085754 | -8.47% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.095315 | -10.14% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4140 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.071263 | -8.62% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.078174 | -9.37% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5734 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.080527 | -10.48% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.060867 | -8.99% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.064106 | -9.67% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.081598 | -11.18% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.1143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.065732 | -10.20% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4747 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.067298 | -11.26% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.054999 | -10.26% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.058837 | -11.01% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4343 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.05422 | -11.07% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.068838 | -13.53% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.048891 | -11.67% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.048409 | -13.18% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.035285 | -10.56% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7261 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.043298 | -14.18% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2474 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.025046 | -12.26% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014802 | -7.93% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013284 | -6.54% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014354 | -6.49% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.2944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016038 | -6.95% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.1959 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.018178 | -7.61% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7285 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001624 | -0.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001082 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 3.90e-7 | -49.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001491 | +1.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010256 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.0000093 | -1.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009985 | -1.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010384 | -1.57% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8533 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010748 | -1.58% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2658 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010833 | -1.65% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6239 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011026 | -1.59% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 2.0011 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012398 | -2.26% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1574 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011531 | -1.28% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1933 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009682 | +1.28% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010471 | +0.97% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011727 | +0.19% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011806 | +0.95% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0911 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012713 | +0.34% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1309 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013513 | -0.35% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014574 | -0.65% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015215 | -1.20% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3948 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015293 | -0.89% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3318 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.00001553 | -0.89% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2361 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014994 | +0.16% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2103 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015314 | +0.42% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1698 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016624 | +0.45% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2129 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016726 | +0.82% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1397 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017513 | +0.36% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.00001798 | +0.33% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1399 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017487 | +1.43% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1213 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000020042 | +1.74% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3549 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023936 | +0.07% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4512 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027508 | -0.69% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029256 | -0.83% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032599 | -1.40% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.0000315 | -0.85% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033237 | -0.49% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.7010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035634 | -0.74% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5700 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037937 | -0.69% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.5014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040121 | -0.45% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040061 | -0.35% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3723 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042014 | -0.68% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043713 | -1.55% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.00004533 | -1.88% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042529 | -1.32% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041504 | -1.42% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040138 | -1.38% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039068 | -1.09% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040264 | -1.80% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1901 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041281 | -2.18% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036344 | -1.77% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3431 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045813 | -2.32% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0793 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000054337 | -2.45% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1494 | ✓ | 1.00 |