ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s1
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
54.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1544
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0104
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.041895 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040602 | -3.72% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021373 | -0.27% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6486 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020826 | -0.11% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027602 | -0.25% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2993 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032884 | -0.92% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1691 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029303 | -0.25% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1434 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033548 | -0.33% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1500 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036088 | -0.43% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036393 | -0.38% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053198 | -1.09% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3307 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060291 | -1.56% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058589 | -2.02% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042079 | -0.80% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3319 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049842 | -1.07% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1304 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052793 | -1.14% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066835 | -1.27% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2212 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.09222 | -1.57% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.102853 | -3.04% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1199 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076737 | -1.61% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3201 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084505 | -2.03% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0762 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087206 | -3.05% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065738 | -1.70% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069755 | -1.70% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088914 | -3.22% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071591 | -2.20% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2489 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073451 | -3.14% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059958 | -2.17% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064286 | -2.76% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059612 | -2.23% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.07597 | -4.57% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053612 | -3.14% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.05328 | -4.44% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0390 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038461 | -2.51% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047805 | -5.24% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027303 | -4.36% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015729 | -2.17% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014015 | -1.40% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015131 | -1.44% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016954 | -1.63% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019279 | -2.01% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001629 | +0.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001129 | -0.08% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3775 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.13e-7 | -7.39% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4453 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001487 | +0.85% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6504 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010451 | -0.61% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9590 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009376 | -0.25% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1076 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010092 | -0.32% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0728 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010511 | -0.37% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010879 | -0.38% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010972 | -0.39% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011163 | -0.37% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.00001261 | -0.59% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1226 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011642 | -0.33% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009584 | +0.25% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1689 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010389 | +0.18% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0749 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011705 | +0.00% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1040 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011713 | +0.15% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012676 | +0.05% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0630 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013549 | -0.08% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014647 | -0.16% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015357 | -0.28% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015399 | -0.20% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015638 | -0.21% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014977 | +0.04% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015267 | +0.11% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016567 | +0.10% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0933 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016619 | +0.17% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0034 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017465 | +0.09% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017935 | +0.08% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017294 | +0.32% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019769 | +0.35% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2091 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023929 | +0.04% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027659 | -0.15% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029449 | -0.17% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032942 | -0.36% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031708 | -0.20% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033355 | -0.14% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0841 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035836 | -0.18% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038133 | -0.17% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040245 | -0.14% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040159 | -0.10% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042227 | -0.17% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044239 | -0.36% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045982 | -0.47% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042963 | -0.32% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041965 | -0.32% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040584 | -0.28% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039407 | -0.24% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.00004085 | -0.37% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041985 | -0.51% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036903 | -0.26% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046709 | -0.41% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055412 | -0.52% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1790 | ✓ | 1.00 |