NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s1
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2265
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0464
actual -0.0266
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.02273 | 0.020273 | -10.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.02224 | 0.019639 | -11.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.019268 | -8.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.018371 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.017772 | -5.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.01725 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.018829 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018309 | -3.59% | 0.02273 | +19.69% | 0.1834 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.0195 | -4.18% | 0.02224 | +9.29% | 0.0925 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.021035 | -6.13% | 0.02115 | -5.62% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.02082 | -5.06% | 0.01957 | -10.76% | 0.0635 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.02266 | -7.76% | 0.018735 | -23.73% | 0.1605 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.024695 | -9.46% | 0.01787 | -34.48% | 0.2971 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.022089 | -5.92% | 0.01995 | -15.03% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.019746 | -1.69% | 0.01899 | -5.45% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.022464 | -5.07% | 0.02035 | -14.01% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.023166 | -6.76% | 0.02241 | -9.80% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.023349 | -7.07% | 0.02193 | -12.72% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019626 | -1.62% | 0.024565 | +23.13% | 0.2708 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019356 | -0.07% | 0.027275 | +40.81% | 0.3731 | ✗ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019556 | +0.08% | 0.02348 | +20.16% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020305 | -0.34% | 0.020085 | -1.42% | 0.0409 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022358 | -2.00% | 0.023665 | +3.73% | 0.0616 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.023526 | -2.89% | 0.024845 | +2.56% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022558 | -1.64% | 0.025125 | +9.55% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.021701 | -1.54% | 0.01995 | -9.48% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.028796 | -6.70% | 0.01937 | -37.24% | 0.4024 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.029186 | -7.04% | 0.01954 | -37.76% | 0.4089 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.028688 | -7.22% | 0.020375 | -34.10% | 0.3508 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.028493 | -7.49% | 0.022815 | -25.93% | 0.2069 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.033667 | -8.45% | 0.024225 | -34.13% | 0.2847 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.037673 | -9.16% | 0.022935 | -44.69% | 0.4428 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.035509 | -8.07% | 0.02204 | -42.94% | 0.5361 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.03969 | -8.79% | 0.030865 | -29.07% | 0.3079 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.042973 | -10.71% | 0.031395 | -34.76% | 0.3713 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.035734 | -7.90% | 0.03092 | -20.31% | 0.2680 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.036237 | -8.07% | 0.0308 | -21.87% | 0.2891 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.033604 | -6.93% | 0.036775 | +1.86% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.036544 | -7.79% | 0.04147 | +4.64% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.045967 | -10.28% | 0.038625 | -24.61% | 0.2457 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.044433 | -12.75% | 0.043515 | -14.55% | 0.0861 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.033283 | -8.08% | 0.048125 | +32.91% | 0.3069 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.030909 | -6.89% | 0.0388 | +16.89% | 0.2306 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.029009 | -5.80% | 0.03942 | +28.01% | 0.3460 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.03506 | -9.16% | 0.036105 | -6.45% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.030594 | -7.74% | 0.03963 | +19.51% | 0.2757 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.029628 | -9.88% | 0.051235 | +55.85% | 0.6141 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020408 | -2.35% | 0.050925 | +143.66% | 0.9614 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.021731 | -3.46% | 0.03621 | +60.86% | 0.5556 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018161 | -0.16% | 0.033195 | +82.49% | 0.7026 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016558 | -0.97% | 0.030795 | +84.18% | 0.6000 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020059 | -4.02% | 0.038595 | +84.67% | 0.6331 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.016863 | -0.60% | 0.03316 | +95.46% | 0.6643 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.015851 | -0.99% | 0.032875 | +105.34% | 0.6699 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.01538 | -0.45% | 0.0209 | +35.28% | 0.2704 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014074 | -0.29% | 0.02251 | +59.48% | 0.4279 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016701 | -0.50% | 0.01819 | +8.37% | 0.0653 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016437 | -1.04% | 0.01672 | +0.66% | 0.0530 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019237 | -3.33% | 0.0209 | +5.03% | 0.1068 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019185 | -3.30% | 0.016965 | -14.49% | 0.1142 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.019816 | -4.64% | 0.01601 | -22.95% | 0.2119 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.019498 | -5.35% | 0.01545 | -25.00% | 0.2584 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019138 | -4.93% | 0.014115 | -29.88% | 0.2935 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.016585 | -6.85% | 0.016785 | -5.73% | 0.1484 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.013824 | -4.92% | 0.01661 | +14.24% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014126 | -7.61% | 0.0199 | +30.15% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.014769 | -10.38% | 0.01984 | +20.39% | 0.1164 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.00945 | -2.68% | 0.02078 | +114.01% | 0.6163 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010031 | -3.27% | 0.0206 | +98.65% | 0.5603 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009259 | -2.59% | 0.02013 | +111.78% | 0.6030 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.00882 | -2.21% | 0.017805 | +97.39% | 0.5804 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011507 | -3.99% | 0.01454 | +21.32% | 0.1594 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.01203 | -5.05% | 0.01529 | +20.68% | 0.2249 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010519 | -3.76% | 0.01648 | +50.78% | 0.4405 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009548 | -3.02% | 0.00971 | -1.37% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.009917 | -3.20% | 0.01037 | +1.22% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010126 | -3.79% | 0.009505 | -9.69% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010221 | -2.84% | 0.00902 | -14.26% | 0.1093 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011282 | -3.45% | 0.011985 | +2.57% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.011905 | -3.56% | 0.01267 | +2.63% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.01123 | -3.23% | 0.01093 | -5.82% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.010963 | -2.98% | 0.009845 | -12.88% | 0.1310 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010743 | -2.60% | 0.010245 | -7.12% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012414 | -3.28% | 0.010525 | -18.00% | 0.1986 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.011816 | -3.39% | 0.01052 | -13.98% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012149 | -3.31% | 0.011685 | -7.00% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012576 | -3.26% | 0.012345 | -5.04% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.014851 | -3.94% | 0.011605 | -24.94% | 0.2414 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.014823 | -3.87% | 0.0113 | -26.72% | 0.2219 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.014925 | -3.74% | 0.01103 | -28.86% | 0.2604 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015349 | -3.89% | 0.012835 | -19.63% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.015397 | -4.36% | 0.01223 | -24.04% | 0.2252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.013905 | -4.07% | 0.012565 | -13.31% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.012194 | -2.68% | 0.013 | +3.75% | 0.1050 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015051 | -3.24% | 0.01546 | -0.61% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.017472 | -3.57% | 0.01542 | -14.90% | 0.1351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.017859 | -3.62% | 0.015505 | -16.32% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018086 | -3.70% | 0.01597 | -14.96% | 0.1274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.019546 | -3.88% | 0.0161 | -20.83% | 0.2138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021097 | -4.34% | 0.014495 | -34.28% | 0.3963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.022149 | -5.06% | 0.01253 | -46.29% | 0.5929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.017477 | -3.49% | 0.015555 | -14.11% | 0.1628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016396 | -3.01% | 0.01812 | +7.19% | 0.0853 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.017509 | -3.10% | 0.01853 | +2.55% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019367 | -3.33% | 0.01878 | -6.26% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.019963 | -3.28% | 0.020335 | -1.48% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.01969 | -3.10% | 0.022055 | +8.54% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.021969 | -3.60% | 0.02333 | +2.37% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020107 | -3.45% | 0.01811 | -13.04% | 0.0771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022281 | -3.46% | 0.016905 | -26.75% | 0.2786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.025426 | -4.13% | 0.01807 | -31.86% | 0.3523 | ✓ | 1.00 |