NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s1

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

109

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0958

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0104

actual -0.0059

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.020647	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020692	-2.16%	0.021	-0.71%	0.0192	✓	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019321	-1.27%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0711	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018531	-1.09%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0573	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017765	-0.58%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0431	✗	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019671	-1.40%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.0942	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018874	-0.61%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0654	✗	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020205	-0.71%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0710	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.02215	-1.16%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0605	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021744	-0.85%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0086	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024182	-1.56%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0633	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026656	-2.27%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.0948	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023165	-1.34%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1571	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020039	-0.23%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1439	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023422	-1.03%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1286	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024471	-1.51%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0014	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024672	-1.80%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0103	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019892	-0.29%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2458	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019382	+0.06%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0004	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019543	+0.02%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0127	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020376	+0.00%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0363	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022753	-0.27%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1321	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024119	-0.44%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0541	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022903	-0.14%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0530	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.022044	+0.02%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0584	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030533	-1.08%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3268	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031035	-1.15%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0115	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030616	-0.98%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0306	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030511	-0.94%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0132	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036303	-1.28%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1329	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.04072	-1.81%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.0952	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038165	-1.19%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0131	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.042837	-1.56%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1022	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.046808	-2.74%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0795	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038272	-1.36%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1581	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038793	-1.59%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0031	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035737	-1.02%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0891	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039148	-1.22%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0420	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.049983	-2.44%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2551	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.048779	-4.21%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0569	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035509	-1.94%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3596	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.03269	-1.52%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0908	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030487	-1.00%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1172	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.03757	-2.66%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.1960	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032433	-2.19%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1858	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031642	-3.75%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0699	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020773	-0.61%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4499	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022268	-1.07%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0662	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018147	-0.23%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2482	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016685	-0.21%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0052	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020561	-1.62%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2049	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016895	-0.41%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2393	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015935	-0.47%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0424	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015411	-0.25%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0512	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014098	-0.12%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0825	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016719	-0.39%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1189	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016537	-0.44%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0107	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019641	-1.30%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1780	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019585	-1.29%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0256	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020422	-1.72%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0559	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020164	-2.12%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0154	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019709	-2.09%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0729	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017325	-2.70%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0313	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014359	-1.25%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1493	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014936	-2.32%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1660	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015853	-3.80%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0426	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009668	-0.43%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5125	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010302	-0.65%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0569	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009463	-0.44%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0910	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008996	-0.27%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0612	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011893	-0.77%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2767	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012493	-1.40%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0400	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010828	-0.94%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1629	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009783	-0.63%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1284	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010179	-0.65%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0322	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010418	-1.02%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0170	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.01047	-0.48%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0062	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011612	-0.63%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0928	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012262	-0.68%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0582	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011535	-0.60%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0578	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011248	-0.46%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0318	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010997	-0.30%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0148	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012767	-0.53%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1452	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012174	-0.46%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0960	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012499	-0.53%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0406	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012935	-0.50%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0302	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015341	-0.77%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1691	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015319	-0.66%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0534	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015406	-0.64%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0272	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015849	-0.76%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015924	-1.09%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0179	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014347	-1.02%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1311	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012494	-0.29%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1550	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015479	-0.49%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2311	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018011	-0.60%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1548	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018417	-0.61%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018647	-0.71%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020177	-0.78%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.02183	-1.02%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022991	-1.45%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017962	-0.82%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016823	-0.48%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0971	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017981	-0.49%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019911	-0.62%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0914	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020516	-0.60%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020213	-0.53%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022618	-0.76%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020681	-0.69%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022929	-0.65%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026259	-0.98%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1369	✓	1.00