MON

Monad · native · gru_s1

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +7d

assessed

316

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

51.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0949

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual +0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.021519	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021692	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020594	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020751	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021407	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022443	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022495	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023594	-2.07%	0.021918	-9.03%	0.0955	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023878	-2.15%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0749	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023687	-2.37%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1271	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026773	-2.81%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2093	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024463	-2.65%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0904	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023709	-2.89%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0186	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.02324	-3.08%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0207	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024611	-3.22%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0087	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027546	-3.10%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0813	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.030498	-3.06%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1627	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.03231	-3.09%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1140	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.03279	-3.19%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2355	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.031257	-3.27%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2141	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.032412	-3.72%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2484	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030601	-3.64%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1804	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025982	-3.26%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0588	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027497	-3.65%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.0963	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027161	-3.38%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1709	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025909	-3.10%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2625	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025547	-3.23%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2280	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024256	-2.90%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3198	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023347	-2.71%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3218	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026472	-3.06%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0560	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024933	-2.71%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1859	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024364	-2.50%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0838	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024231	-2.34%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0416	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024146	-2.13%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0322	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.023006	-1.07%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0676	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022091	-0.23%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0702	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.02175	+0.30%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0328	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.02292	+0.02%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0414	✗	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022744	+0.43%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0120	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023257	+0.51%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0097	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023472	+0.69%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0191	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023132	+0.91%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0090	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025126	+0.60%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0861	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025773	+0.55%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1195	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027097	+0.34%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1511	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027263	+0.58%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1229	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025258	+1.31%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0421	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025406	+1.47%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0423	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027567	+1.72%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1032	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025598	+0.92%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0409	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026641	+0.61%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0560	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026659	+0.76%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0046	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026623	+0.28%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0249	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026808	+0.32%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.0984	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027265	-0.26%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1150	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028499	-0.38%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0658	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028281	-1.05%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0807	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027389	-1.31%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0154	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.030925	-2.09%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1492	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029774	-2.16%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1135	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027576	-1.98%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0508	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028011	-2.24%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0165	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025905	-3.04%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0231	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.02196	-2.70%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1093	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020672	-2.62%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0566	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021119	-2.98%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1505	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019837	-2.18%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1718	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020394	-2.34%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0792	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020632	-2.31%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0657	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.021002	-2.41%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0712	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021273	-2.43%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0494	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020904	-2.35%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0059	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021185	-2.58%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0166	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020533	-2.09%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0266	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.02044	-2.04%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0581	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020462	-2.07%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0690	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020051	-1.90%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0872	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020561	-2.03%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0819	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020169	-1.77%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0695	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021115	-1.91%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0207	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020601	-1.71%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0091	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020129	-1.62%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0068	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020355	-1.71%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0149	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021307	-1.81%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0327	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020463	-1.43%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0109	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.02096	-1.30%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0248	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019911	-0.99%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0828	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.021124	-1.08%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0297	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020409	-0.93%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0341	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.02162	-1.10%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0167	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022079	-1.14%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0106	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022633	-1.25%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0412	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022659	-1.20%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0101	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022572	-1.30%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0836	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.021021	-0.94%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0022	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021353	-1.01%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0254	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.02169	-1.14%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0036	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021328	-1.07%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0178	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022035	-1.14%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0099	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022402	-1.14%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0090	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.02203	-1.16%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0303	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022532	-1.20%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0816	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.022023	-1.11%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0449	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022685	-1.20%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0277	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022792	-1.25%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0702	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.02278	-1.34%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0838	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023984	-1.62%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0981	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024418	-2.21%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0478	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021369	-1.03%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0611	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.02093	-0.90%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0447	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020329	-0.83%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0811	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019837	-0.74%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1081	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019886	-0.77%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0884	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018365	+0.19%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1605	✓	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018911	-0.05%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1809	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018687	+0.14%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0360	✓	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018843	+0.07%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0311	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019326	-0.07%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0079	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019157	+0.04%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0055	✗	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019649	-0.13%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0477	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020039	-0.28%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0262	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020535	-0.46%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0242	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020667	-0.40%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0044	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020502	-0.41%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0335	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.02058	-0.39%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0353	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020984	-0.46%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0009	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021608	-0.74%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0032	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.02278	-1.13%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0443	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022361	-1.10%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0191	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022238	-1.12%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0029	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021604	-0.99%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0427	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020914	-0.79%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0105	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021386	-1.04%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0045	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020936	-0.54%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0459	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021133	-0.65%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0235	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.02072	-0.67%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0026	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021907	-1.19%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0404	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021114	+0.16%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0691	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021096	+0.17%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0731	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021342	-0.87%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0196	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020494	+0.26%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1007	✓	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020373	-0.38%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1872	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.021981	-2.35%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1801	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023174	-2.55%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2415	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022671	-2.43%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2776	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022721	-2.40%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2573	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023063	-2.60%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1869	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022737	-2.46%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1612	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024268	-3.04%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0584	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.02536	-3.47%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0190	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024428	-3.33%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0513	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.02489	-3.42%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0073	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025328	-3.14%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0389	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027519	-3.95%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0651	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.025976	-3.45%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0418	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025104	-3.11%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0167	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026099	-3.27%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0001	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026886	-3.29%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0529	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026823	-3.34%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0094	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.02725	-3.64%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0343	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.028667	-3.71%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0710	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029134	-3.53%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0407	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029805	-3.39%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0616	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032454	-3.47%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0865	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.03423	-3.55%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1141	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033459	-3.49%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1367	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033051	-3.50%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1338	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031336	-3.22%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0718	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031236	-3.26%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0018	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030345	-3.08%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0229	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028697	-2.56%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1321	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028532	-2.05%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1665	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029453	-2.18%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1348	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029418	-2.20%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1240	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026901	-0.95%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1309	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026778	-0.82%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1039	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028749	-1.38%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0182	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.030095	-1.72%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0578	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031445	-2.01%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0748	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030693	-1.94%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0345	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.030125	-1.84%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0132	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.03179	-2.13%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1275	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032919	-2.36%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1609	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031955	-2.40%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0914	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.031126	-2.41%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0393	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.02936	-2.39%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0125	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031566	-2.72%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0383	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033762	-2.95%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.1010	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.03327	-3.00%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0726	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.034059	-3.08%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0629	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033429	-3.10%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0555	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.03485	-3.27%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1109	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031718	-3.03%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1027	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034427	-3.19%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.1000	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.033953	-3.30%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.031908	-3.19%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0202	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030143	-3.20%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.0952	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.02946	-3.09%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1226	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.02636	-2.73%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2247	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027461	-2.90%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1467	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026484	-2.85%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2032	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026422	-3.11%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1890	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024351	-2.56%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2246	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023263	-2.38%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2428	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024242	-2.53%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1659	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021835	-2.13%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1809	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.0216	-1.99%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2183	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022783	-2.14%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1629	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021967	-1.89%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2060	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023799	-2.14%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0795	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025719	-2.65%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0263	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022884	-1.93%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1190	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021221	-1.57%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1150	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020245	-1.39%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1153	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021094	-1.48%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1396	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022084	-1.59%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0786	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021645	-1.53%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1342	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022693	-1.55%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1512	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023273	-1.38%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0548	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024385	-1.51%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0610	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023125	-1.43%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0386	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021888	-1.32%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0154	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021628	-1.31%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0442	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020949	-1.18%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0581	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021156	-1.19%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0686	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.0213	-1.25%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0379	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020957	-1.29%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0610	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020219	-0.98%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0340	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021402	-1.28%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0307	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021452	-1.33%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0253	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021457	-1.30%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0062	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022231	-1.46%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020151	-1.13%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0412	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020932	-1.31%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0207	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020611	-1.15%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0127	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020868	-1.24%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0337	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.02045	-1.07%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0266	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020777	-1.25%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0053	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021251	-1.44%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0091	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019853	-0.88%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0378	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020313	-1.06%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0190	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019664	-0.96%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0860	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020374	-1.19%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0509	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020762	-1.32%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0270	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020202	-1.16%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0330	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019941	-1.09%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0550	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.02176	-1.67%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023008	-2.13%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0530	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023417	-2.51%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1484	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.0228	-2.52%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0747	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022206	-2.52%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0423	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019845	-1.51%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0190	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018798	-1.32%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0783	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019321	-1.88%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1538	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017774	-1.04%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2966	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017936	-1.02%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3123	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018417	-1.04%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2316	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018339	-1.19%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2406	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017377	+0.79%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.0931	✓	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.0194	-1.67%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0799	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017361	-1.02%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2517	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018176	-1.59%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1414	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017639	-1.07%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1458	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017798	-1.34%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2150	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.01969	-2.48%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1684	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019515	-2.47%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2608	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020617	-3.11%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2217	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021356	-3.72%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0207	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018278	-2.83%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1550	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017305	-2.73%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1745	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018462	-3.29%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1242	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017693	-3.39%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.2059	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017466	-3.50%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.2040	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018068	-3.69%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1663	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.01727	-3.46%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2396	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019341	-3.87%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0213	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020903	-3.94%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0836	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021205	-4.09%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021335	-4.28%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021151	-4.42%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0897	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022153	-4.45%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0867	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.023636	-4.50%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.1984	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022052	-4.41%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.1059	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.022797	-4.37%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0753	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.02317	-4.46%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0961	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.024941	-4.51%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1636	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.02653	-4.57%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2270	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.025563	-4.65%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1545	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.028415	-4.78%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1520	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.027	-4.59%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1341	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.027381	-4.76%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1326	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.02781	-5.15%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1348	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026364	-5.67%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0146	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022649	-4.43%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.1871	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021764	-4.12%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1807	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021672	-4.11%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.2806	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020675	-3.70%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2682	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021566	-3.89%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2636	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022186	-3.95%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2602	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.022376	-4.09%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2045	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022209	-4.06%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0544	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020935	-3.48%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0818	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019276	-2.45%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1481	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018762	-2.33%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1513	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019965	-2.61%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1255	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018445	-1.73%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2309	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018735	-1.65%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2284	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016858	-0.31%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2974	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018557	-0.92%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1399	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021156	-1.83%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0634	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019659	-1.06%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020366	-1.33%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.023061	-1.91%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1843	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023609	-1.92%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1900	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025636	-2.30%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3365	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026284	-2.33%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2734	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026718	-2.38%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1614	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.02745	-2.35%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.025107	-1.85%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1709	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026701	-1.80%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1383	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026753	-1.75%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.1161	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.027148	-1.96%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029869	-2.20%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0890	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.