MON

Monad · native · gru_s1

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +1d

assessed

322

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0343

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0001

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.021792	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021956	-0.58%	0.021918	-0.75%	0.0029	✓	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020808	-0.44%	0.022084	+5.67%	0.0383	✗	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020975	-0.46%	0.0209	-0.82%	0.0003	✓	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021654	-0.42%	0.021073	-3.09%	0.0394	✓	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022739	-0.45%	0.021746	-4.80%	0.0423	✓	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022829	-0.48%	0.022843	-0.42%	0.0126	✗	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023967	-0.52%	0.022939	-4.79%	0.0547	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.024273	-0.52%	0.024094	-1.26%	0.0225	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.024136	-0.52%	0.024401	+0.57%	0.0156	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.027325	-0.81%	0.024261	-11.93%	0.0840	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.02498	-0.59%	0.027548	+9.63%	0.0843	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.024273	-0.58%	0.025129	+2.92%	0.0281	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023838	-0.58%	0.024415	+1.83%	0.0087	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.025276	-0.61%	0.023977	-5.72%	0.0250	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.028244	-0.64%	0.025431	-10.54%	0.0679	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.031244	-0.68%	0.028428	-9.64%	0.0911	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.033069	-0.81%	0.031459	-5.64%	0.0379	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.033597	-0.81%	0.03334	-1.57%	0.0366	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.032051	-0.81%	0.033871	+4.82%	0.0513	✗	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.03324	-1.26%	0.032313	-4.01%	0.0226	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.031403	-1.11%	0.033663	+6.00%	0.0482	✗	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.026664	-0.73%	0.031757	+18.24%	0.1762	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.028236	-1.06%	0.026859	-5.89%	0.0531	✓	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.02784	-0.96%	0.028539	+1.53%	0.0418	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.02653	-0.78%	0.02811	+5.13%	0.0571	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.026154	-0.94%	0.026738	+1.27%	0.0166	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024794	-0.74%	0.026401	+5.69%	0.0678	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023835	-0.68%	0.02498	+4.10%	0.0468	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.027029	-1.02%	0.023997	-12.12%	0.0896	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025406	-0.87%	0.027307	+6.55%	0.0785	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024816	-0.69%	0.025628	+2.56%	0.0640	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024638	-0.70%	0.02499	+0.72%	0.0155	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024502	-0.69%	0.024811	+0.56%	0.0061	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.023161	-0.40%	0.024673	+6.10%	0.0230	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022094	-0.22%	0.023255	+5.03%	0.0472	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021664	-0.09%	0.022142	+2.11%	0.0109	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022878	-0.16%	0.021684	-5.37%	0.0032	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022633	-0.06%	0.022915	+1.19%	0.0140	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.02313	-0.03%	0.022645	-2.13%	0.0122	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023312	+0.00%	0.023138	-0.74%	0.0085	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022936	+0.06%	0.023311	+1.69%	0.0032	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.02497	-0.03%	0.022922	-8.23%	0.0527	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025623	-0.04%	0.024977	-2.55%	0.0225	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026971	-0.13%	0.025632	-5.08%	0.0393	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027075	-0.11%	0.027005	-0.37%	0.0192	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024947	+0.06%	0.027105	+8.72%	0.0741	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025057	+0.08%	0.024932	-0.42%	0.0077	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027118	+0.06%	0.025037	-7.62%	0.0531	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.02536	-0.01%	0.027102	+6.85%	0.0015	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026451	-0.11%	0.025364	-4.21%	0.0404	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026433	-0.10%	0.026479	+0.08%	0.0202	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026507	-0.16%	0.026459	-0.34%	0.0163	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026673	-0.18%	0.02655	-0.64%	0.0047	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027246	-0.33%	0.026721	-2.25%	0.0259	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028485	-0.43%	0.027336	-4.45%	0.0020	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028426	-0.54%	0.028608	+0.09%	0.0137	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027594	-0.57%	0.028582	+2.99%	0.0271	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031256	-1.04%	0.027753	-12.13%	0.1115	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030116	-1.03%	0.031585	+3.80%	0.0272	✗	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027867	-0.95%	0.03043	+8.16%	0.0769	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028299	-1.23%	0.028133	-1.81%	0.0149	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026345	-1.40%	0.028652	+7.24%	0.0067	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.022382	-0.83%	0.026718	+18.38%	0.1158	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.021086	-0.67%	0.022569	+6.32%	0.0166	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021555	-0.97%	0.021228	-2.48%	0.0192	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.020175	-0.52%	0.021767	+7.33%	0.0449	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020761	-0.58%	0.02028	-2.88%	0.0199	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.021002	-0.56%	0.020882	-1.13%	0.0065	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.021393	-0.60%	0.02112	-1.87%	0.0043	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021668	-0.63%	0.021522	-1.29%	0.0070	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.021277	-0.60%	0.021804	+1.86%	0.0267	✗	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021572	-0.81%	0.021406	-1.57%	0.0006	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020857	-0.55%	0.021747	+3.70%	0.0598	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020755	-0.53%	0.020972	+0.51%	0.0115	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020776	-0.57%	0.020865	-0.14%	0.0039	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020335	-0.51%	0.020895	+2.23%	0.0152	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020865	-0.59%	0.020439	-2.62%	0.0141	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020427	-0.51%	0.020988	+2.23%	0.0165	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021405	-0.57%	0.020531	-4.63%	0.0532	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020857	-0.49%	0.021527	+2.71%	0.0323	✗	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020366	-0.46%	0.02096	+2.44%	0.0139	✗	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020606	-0.50%	0.02046	-1.21%	0.0059	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021581	-0.55%	0.02071	-4.56%	0.0037	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.02067	-0.43%	0.0217	+4.53%	0.0318	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.021147	-0.42%	0.02076	-2.24%	0.0195	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.020045	-0.32%	0.021235	+5.59%	0.0545	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.021278	-0.36%	0.02011	-5.83%	0.0231	✓	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020538	-0.30%	0.021355	+3.67%	0.0179	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021785	-0.34%	0.0206	-5.76%	0.0603	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022254	-0.36%	0.02186	-2.13%	0.0021	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022818	-0.44%	0.022335	-2.55%	0.0002	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022834	-0.44%	0.02292	-0.07%	0.0124	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022759	-0.48%	0.022935	+0.28%	0.0191	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.021153	-0.31%	0.02287	+7.78%	0.0671	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.0215	-0.33%	0.02122	-1.62%	0.0107	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021859	-0.37%	0.02157	-1.69%	0.0330	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.02149	-0.32%	0.02194	+1.76%	0.0180	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022209	-0.36%	0.02156	-3.28%	0.0090	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022572	-0.39%	0.02229	-1.63%	0.0067	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.022209	-0.36%	0.02266	+1.66%	0.0426	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022716	-0.39%	0.02229	-2.26%	0.0157	✗	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.022192	-0.35%	0.022805	+2.40%	0.0280	✗	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022871	-0.39%	0.02227	-3.01%	0.0181	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022987	-0.40%	0.02296	-0.52%	0.0245	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022984	-0.46%	0.02308	-0.04%	0.0196	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.024226	-0.63%	0.02309	-5.29%	0.0205	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.0247	-1.08%	0.02438	-2.36%	0.0037	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021498	-0.43%	0.02497	+15.66%	0.1392	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.021043	-0.36%	0.02159	+2.23%	0.0131	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020425	-0.37%	0.02112	+3.02%	0.0190	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019915	-0.35%	0.0205	+2.58%	0.0022	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019951	-0.45%	0.019985	-0.27%	0.0393	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018315	-0.08%	0.02004	+9.33%	0.0522	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018895	-0.13%	0.01833	-3.12%	0.0130	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018644	-0.08%	0.01892	+1.39%	0.0040	✓	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018812	-0.09%	0.01866	-0.90%	0.0044	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019313	-0.14%	0.01883	-2.64%	0.0235	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019126	-0.12%	0.01934	+0.99%	0.0030	✗	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019642	-0.17%	0.01915	-2.67%	0.0097	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020059	-0.18%	0.019675	-2.09%	0.0262	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020581	-0.24%	0.020095	-2.59%	0.0119	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020707	-0.21%	0.02063	-0.58%	0.0232	✓	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020545	-0.19%	0.02075	+0.80%	0.0365	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020623	-0.18%	0.020585	-0.36%	0.0221	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.02104	-0.19%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0347	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021715	-0.25%	0.02108	-3.17%	0.0135	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022947	-0.40%	0.02177	-5.51%	0.0211	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022528	-0.36%	0.02304	+1.90%	0.0397	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022413	-0.34%	0.02261	+0.53%	0.0062	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021755	-0.30%	0.02249	+3.07%	0.0009	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.021031	-0.23%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0125	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021543	-0.31%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0210	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.021009	-0.19%	0.02161	+2.66%	0.0322	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021218	-0.24%	0.02105	-1.03%	0.0010	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020816	-0.21%	0.02127	+1.97%	0.0615	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022079	-0.41%	0.02086	-5.91%	0.0500	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021068	-0.06%	0.02217	+5.17%	0.0195	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021037	-0.11%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0074	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021431	-0.46%	0.02106	-2.18%	0.0652	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020424	-0.08%	0.02153	+5.33%	0.0593	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020406	-0.21%	0.02044	-0.05%	0.0761	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022339	-0.76%	0.02045	-9.15%	0.0393	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023619	-0.68%	0.02251	-5.34%	0.0112	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.023095	-0.60%	0.02378	+2.35%	0.0341	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.023143	-0.59%	0.023235	-0.19%	0.0060	✓	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023515	-0.70%	0.02328	-1.69%	0.0064	✓	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.023173	-0.59%	0.02368	+1.59%	0.0412	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024849	-0.73%	0.02331	-6.87%	0.0281	✓	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.026046	-0.85%	0.02503	-4.72%	0.0076	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.02508	-0.75%	0.02627	+3.96%	0.0402	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025564	-0.80%	0.02527	-1.94%	0.0184	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025964	-0.71%	0.02577	-1.45%	0.0333	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.028335	-1.10%	0.02615	-8.73%	0.0364	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026684	-0.82%	0.02865	+6.49%	0.0696	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025725	-0.71%	0.026905	+3.84%	0.0302	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026768	-0.79%	0.02591	-3.97%	0.0288	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.027589	-0.76%	0.02698	-2.95%	0.0125	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.02755	-0.72%	0.0278	+0.18%	0.0237	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.028039	-0.85%	0.02775	-1.87%	0.0092	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.029523	-0.83%	0.02828	-5.01%	0.0025	✓	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029943	-0.85%	0.02977	-1.42%	0.0434	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.030615	-0.76%	0.0302	-2.11%	0.0112	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.033345	-0.82%	0.03085	-8.24%	0.0528	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.035156	-0.94%	0.03362	-5.27%	0.0356	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.034357	-0.90%	0.03549	+2.37%	0.0027	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033925	-0.95%	0.03467	+1.23%	0.0127	✗	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.032106	-0.85%	0.03425	+5.78%	0.0611	✗	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031988	-0.94%	0.03238	+0.28%	0.0358	✗	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.031028	-0.90%	0.03229	+3.13%	0.0320	✗	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.029229	-0.75%	0.03131	+6.32%	0.0539	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028968	-0.55%	0.02945	+1.10%	0.0021	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.02993	-0.60%	0.02913	-3.25%	0.0253	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.02987	-0.70%	0.03011	+0.10%	0.0015	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.027076	-0.31%	0.03008	+10.75%	0.0765	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026924	-0.28%	0.02716	+0.59%	0.0004	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.029031	-0.41%	0.027	-7.38%	0.0640	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.03047	-0.49%	0.02915	-4.80%	0.0287	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031911	-0.56%	0.03062	-4.58%	0.0219	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.03113	-0.54%	0.03209	+2.52%	0.0152	✗	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.030547	-0.47%	0.0313	+1.99%	0.0215	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.032303	-0.54%	0.03069	-5.51%	0.0389	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.033503	-0.63%	0.03248	-3.66%	0.0321	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.03254	-0.61%	0.033715	+2.98%	0.0073	✗	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.031709	-0.58%	0.03274	+2.65%	0.0245	✗	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029929	-0.50%	0.031895	+6.03%	0.0308	✗	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.032266	-0.57%	0.03008	-7.30%	0.0396	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.034548	-0.70%	0.03245	-6.73%	0.0415	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.034068	-0.68%	0.03479	+1.43%	0.0094	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.034888	-0.72%	0.0343	-2.39%	0.0222	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.034255	-0.71%	0.03514	+1.86%	0.0149	✗	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.035707	-0.90%	0.0345	-4.25%	0.0302	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.032485	-0.69%	0.03603	+10.15%	0.0441	✗	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.035284	-0.78%	0.03271	-8.01%	0.0385	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.03477	-0.97%	0.03556	+1.28%	0.0211	✗	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.03267	-0.88%	0.03511	+6.52%	0.0532	✗	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030855	-0.92%	0.03296	+5.84%	0.0547	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.030129	-0.89%	0.03114	+2.43%	0.0461	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026924	-0.65%	0.0304	+12.18%	0.0726	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.028067	-0.75%	0.0271	-4.17%	0.0326	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.027061	-0.73%	0.02828	+3.74%	0.0162	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.027006	-0.97%	0.02726	-0.04%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024822	-0.67%	0.02727	+9.12%	0.0930	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023687	-0.60%	0.02499	+4.87%	0.0742	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024697	-0.70%	0.02383	-4.18%	0.0339	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.02219	-0.54%	0.02487	+11.47%	0.0893	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021933	-0.48%	0.02231	+1.23%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.023145	-0.58%	0.02204	-5.33%	0.0427	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022284	-0.47%	0.02328	+3.97%	0.0443	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.02417	-0.62%	0.02239	-7.94%	0.0368	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.026151	-1.02%	0.02432	-7.95%	0.0331	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.023188	-0.63%	0.02642	+13.22%	0.1188	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021455	-0.49%	0.023335	+8.23%	0.0892	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020451	-0.39%	0.02156	+5.02%	0.0058	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021323	-0.41%	0.02053	-4.11%	0.0212	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.02234	-0.45%	0.02141	-4.59%	0.0182	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021887	-0.42%	0.02244	+2.09%	0.0161	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022946	-0.45%	0.02198	-4.64%	0.0224	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023498	-0.43%	0.02305	-2.33%	0.0218	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024623	-0.55%	0.0236	-4.68%	0.0280	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023349	-0.47%	0.02476	+5.54%	0.0271	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.022088	-0.42%	0.02346	+5.77%	0.0352	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021819	-0.44%	0.02218	+1.21%	0.0117	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.021117	-0.39%	0.021915	+3.37%	0.0303	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021328	-0.38%	0.0212	-0.98%	0.0114	✓	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021482	-0.41%	0.02141	-0.74%	0.0075	✓	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.021135	-0.45%	0.02157	+1.60%	0.0055	✓	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020355	-0.32%	0.02123	+3.97%	0.0004	✓	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021593	-0.40%	0.02042	-5.81%	0.0334	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021649	-0.42%	0.02168	-0.28%	0.0158	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021648	-0.42%	0.02174	+0.00%	0.0508	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022439	-0.54%	0.02174	-3.63%	0.0027	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020306	-0.36%	0.02256	+10.70%	0.0348	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.021121	-0.42%	0.02038	-3.91%	0.0276	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020773	-0.37%	0.02121	+1.73%	0.0297	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.021046	-0.40%	0.02085	-1.33%	0.0092	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020601	-0.34%	0.02113	+2.23%	0.0082	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020961	-0.37%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0112	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021462	-0.46%	0.02104	-2.41%	0.0122	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.01997	-0.30%	0.02156	+7.64%	0.0176	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020455	-0.37%	0.02003	-2.44%	0.0124	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019797	-0.29%	0.02053	+3.40%	0.0812	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020547	-0.35%	0.019855	-3.71%	0.0294	✓	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020958	-0.39%	0.02062	-2.00%	0.0159	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020375	-0.32%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0174	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.020102	-0.29%	0.02044	+1.39%	0.0085	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.02204	-0.41%	0.02016	-8.90%	0.0740	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023385	-0.53%	0.02213	-5.87%	0.0355	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023858	-0.68%	0.02351	-2.12%	0.0156	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.023234	-0.67%	0.02402	+2.69%	0.0472	✗	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022609	-0.75%	0.02339	+2.68%	0.0204	✗	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.020069	-0.40%	0.02278	+13.05%	0.0914	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018986	-0.34%	0.02015	+5.77%	0.0708	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019565	-0.63%	0.01905	-3.25%	0.0026	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017913	-0.26%	0.01969	+9.63%	0.1123	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.018076	-0.24%	0.01796	-0.88%	0.0040	✓	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018562	-0.26%	0.01812	-2.63%	0.0383	✓	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018499	-0.33%	0.01861	+0.27%	0.0236	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017249	+0.05%	0.01856	+7.66%	0.0473	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019631	-0.50%	0.01724	-12.62%	0.0433	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017496	-0.25%	0.01973	+12.49%	0.1676	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018397	-0.40%	0.01754	-5.04%	0.0041	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017784	-0.26%	0.01847	+3.59%	0.0078	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017985	-0.31%	0.01783	-1.16%	0.0215	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.020065	-0.62%	0.01804	-10.65%	0.0197	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019896	-0.57%	0.02019	+0.90%	0.0209	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.021114	-0.78%	0.02001	-5.97%	0.0174	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021916	-1.19%	0.02128	-4.06%	0.0301	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018682	-0.68%	0.02218	+17.92%	0.1593	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017683	-0.60%	0.01881	+5.73%	0.0382	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018939	-0.79%	0.01779	-6.81%	0.0286	✓	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.018176	-0.76%	0.01909	+4.23%	0.0543	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017967	-0.74%	0.018315	+1.19%	0.0191	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018602	-0.84%	0.0181	-3.52%	0.0287	✓	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017759	-0.73%	0.01876	+4.86%	0.0409	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019947	-0.86%	0.01789	-11.08%	0.0604	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.021566	-0.89%	0.02012	-7.54%	0.0580	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021912	-0.89%	0.02176	-1.58%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.022084	-0.93%	0.02211	-0.81%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021927	-0.92%	0.02229	+0.72%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.02297	-0.93%	0.02213	-4.55%	0.0234	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.024485	-1.07%	0.023185	-6.32%	0.0715	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.02285	-0.96%	0.02475	+7.28%	0.0370	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.023623	-0.91%	0.02307	-3.23%	0.0270	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.024033	-0.90%	0.02384	-1.69%	0.0134	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.025876	-0.93%	0.02425	-7.16%	0.0634	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.02752	-1.01%	0.02612	-6.04%	0.0470	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.02655	-0.97%	0.0278	+3.69%	0.0486	✗	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.02947	-1.24%	0.02681	-10.15%	0.0738	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.027999	-1.06%	0.02984	+5.44%	0.0649	✗	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.028423	-1.14%	0.0283	-1.57%	0.0264	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.028908	-1.40%	0.02875	-1.94%	0.0141	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.027426	-1.88%	0.02932	+4.90%	0.0607	✗	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.023428	-1.15%	0.02795	+17.93%	0.1669	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.022462	-1.05%	0.0237	+4.41%	0.0444	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.022364	-1.05%	0.0227	+0.44%	0.0218	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.021274	-0.91%	0.0226	+5.26%	0.0515	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.022218	-0.99%	0.02147	-4.32%	0.0291	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022865	-1.02%	0.02244	-2.86%	0.0192	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.023061	-1.15%	0.0231	-0.99%	0.0018	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022864	-1.24%	0.02333	+0.78%	0.0193	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.021461	-1.06%	0.02315	+6.73%	0.0789	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019627	-0.67%	0.02169	+9.77%	0.0979	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.019086	-0.65%	0.01976	+2.86%	0.0475	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.02034	-0.78%	0.01921	-6.29%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018676	-0.50%	0.0205	+9.22%	0.0896	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018954	-0.51%	0.01877	-1.47%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016884	-0.15%	0.01905	+12.66%	0.0904	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018677	-0.29%	0.01691	-9.72%	0.0906	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021431	-0.55%	0.01873	-13.09%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019803	-0.34%	0.02155	+8.45%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.02056	-0.39%	0.01987	-3.73%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.023384	-0.54%	0.02064	-12.21%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023944	-0.52%	0.02351	-2.33%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.026073	-0.64%	0.02407	-8.27%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026735	-0.65%	0.02624	-2.49%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.027187	-0.67%	0.02691	-1.68%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027909	-0.72%	0.02737	-2.63%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.02545	-0.51%	0.02811	+9.89%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.027053	-0.50%	0.02558	-5.92%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.027101	-0.47%	0.02719	-0.15%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.027557	-0.48%	0.02723	-1.66%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.030371	-0.55%	0.02769	-9.33%	0.0777	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.