META2

META2 · · gru_s1

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4924

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0795

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.2972	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.2252	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.1242	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.1639	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.2984	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.1308	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.1352	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	16.9913	-4.17%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0289	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.1237	-4.18%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0381	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.1092	-4.71%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0290	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.4699	-3.52%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0372	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.4501	-3.68%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0446	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.2136	-3.76%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0429	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.1811	-3.85%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0258	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.3992	-3.98%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0456	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.2971	-4.52%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0728	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.2549	-5.11%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1070	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.727	-3.98%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0132	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.4929	-4.30%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0096	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.4481	-4.47%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0017	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.508	-4.66%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0182	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.393	-4.90%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0103	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.7941	-5.15%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0137	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.1355	-7.15%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0211	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.1845	-5.33%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1505	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.6838	-5.47%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.2029	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	15.914	-5.69%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1861	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.1267	-5.89%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1771	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.6576	-6.06%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2265	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.6318	-6.42%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2326	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.1738	-6.79%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2588	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	13.9751	-6.76%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1391	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.5238	-6.81%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2193	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	17.853	-7.28%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1192	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	17.7831	-7.48%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.1994	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.7488	-7.75%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2297	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.6992	-7.96%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2697	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.608	-8.56%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2702	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.5331	-8.92%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2581	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.4431	-9.41%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3554	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.702	-9.81%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0537	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.4896	-10.45%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1579	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.9458	-13.52%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2457	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.5931	-10.37%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2267	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.499	-0.27%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7448	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4946	-0.82%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.8697	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.5943	-9.71%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2686	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.929	-2.23%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.6767	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.7714	-6.09%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.8485	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.4976	-13.06%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.6060	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	2.7958	-30.45%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.8288	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	4.6839	-23.26%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.3182	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.5681	-5.43%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5609	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.7077	-5.92%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8480	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.3934	-6.88%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3762	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.1621	-6.24%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2638	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.7317	-6.43%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8337	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	36.836	-9.43%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2007	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	35.8075	-7.90%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7640	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	36.8641	-9.12%	40.783	+0.55%	0.1019	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	45.8813	-12.48%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1242	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.4368	-7.17%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3777	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.335	-7.91%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2673	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.1677	-8.29%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1553	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	27.8868	-8.71%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1834	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.1726	-11.23%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1553	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.9125	-8.64%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1610	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.6135	-9.68%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4400	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.7582	-12.66%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.9311	-4.51%	30.768	+495.82%	1.6902	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.2749	-7.88%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.9315	-9.13%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	28.0994	-9.09%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.8475	-9.58%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1242	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	27.7691	-10.05%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1258	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	28.8984	-6.47%	30.638	-0.84%	0.0884	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.