META2

META2 · · gru_s1

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1982

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0184

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6712	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6381	-0.61%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0108	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5325	-0.59%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0030	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.575	-0.58%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0059	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7213	-0.59%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0112	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.577	-0.61%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0157	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6216	-0.70%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0125	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.507	-1.26%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0057	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6429	-1.27%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0275	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.6665	-1.60%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0083	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9794	-0.71%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0281	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9823	-0.74%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0046	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7552	-0.74%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0146	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7385	-0.73%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0045	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9831	-0.75%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0184	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9059	-1.16%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0492	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.8919	-1.61%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0159	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3406	-0.84%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0493	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1492	-0.91%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0102	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1279	-0.95%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0063	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.217	-1.01%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0106	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1278	-1.10%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0065	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.549	-1.12%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0431	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.9678	-2.64%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0401	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.8884	-1.21%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1068	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.3933	-1.19%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0411	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.6569	-1.28%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0098	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9017	-1.36%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0037	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.4433	-1.35%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0411	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.4607	-1.45%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0481	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0228	-1.57%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0494	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.7597	-1.53%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0035	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2767	-1.20%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1227	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9214	-1.73%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3493	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.8597	-1.88%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0727	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.8579	-1.99%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0147	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8355	-2.05%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0094	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8245	-2.24%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0845	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.784	-2.42%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0077	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.743	-2.66%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0381	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.9942	-2.83%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0664	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.837	-3.13%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0210	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.4808	-5.19%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0992	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.848	-3.59%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0370	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.5148	+0.18%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6892	✓	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.5294	+0.17%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0508	✓	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.7906	-3.20%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6424	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	4.0157	-0.07%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5131	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9991	-0.42%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.0914	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9785	-1.11%	4.016	-0.17%	0.2148	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.8767	-3.56%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0424	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.953	-2.47%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3276	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.2574	-1.29%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9435	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.5298	-1.49%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0435	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.319	-2.21%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0056	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.0083	-1.70%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.152	-1.27%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3891	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.2981	-3.37%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3633	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.1803	-1.79%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0690	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.6218	-2.32%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	49.7667	-5.07%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2132	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.1498	-1.58%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5696	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.2251	-1.76%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.1183	-1.93%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.8134	-2.41%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.3575	-4.09%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.8078	-2.43%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.6846	-2.91%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0317	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.0428	-5.21%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.1542	-0.19%	30.638	+493.30%	1.7895	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	29.931	-2.49%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7574	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.7	-3.37%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.8795	-3.33%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.7054	-3.54%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.6752	-3.87%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0380	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.3981	-1.61%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0151	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.