INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s1

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0977

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0216

actual -0.0065

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.121303	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.121572	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.118491	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.120547	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.118875	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.120117	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.133777	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.120991	-4.54%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0388	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.118211	-4.59%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0745	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.115104	-4.68%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0709	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.112918	-4.06%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1222	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.112351	-4.63%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.1119	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.105408	-3.91%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1832	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.109374	-4.52%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2538	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.112092	-4.19%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1360	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.108978	-3.39%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1478	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.113927	-4.02%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0900	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.11293	-4.01%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0641	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.107937	-4.35%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.1021	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.105464	-4.25%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0551	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.100875	-3.97%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1528	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.09895	-4.58%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1698	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.097359	-5.43%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1323	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.086266	-3.83%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2999	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.086729	-3.31%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2878	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.090636	-3.78%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2165	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.095699	-4.16%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1371	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.09532	-4.58%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0932	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.085332	-3.80%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.2022	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086608	-3.98%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1954	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.079671	-3.60%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1494	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.072362	-1.68%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1866	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.074589	-1.60%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2060	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074909	-1.57%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2593	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.074217	-2.35%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2187	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.067865	-0.64%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1883	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.06672	-0.71%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2019	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.068853	-1.22%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1066	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064299	-0.70%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0964	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.068911	-1.63%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0613	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.068997	-1.71%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0665	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.068688	-2.01%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1028	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065463	-0.89%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0624	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065384	-0.78%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0556	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.066864	-0.79%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0504	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067239	-0.46%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0031	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067224	-0.70%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0659	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063434	+0.05%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1248	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062266	+0.67%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1651	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061057	-0.32%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0680	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059257	-0.16%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0946	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058778	-0.04%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1314	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054463	+0.30%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1849	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057081	+0.05%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1527	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053786	+0.35%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1440	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055198	+1.00%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.1028	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054869	+0.31%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1298	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053724	+0.05%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.1128	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054397	-0.10%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0830	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056212	-1.03%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0338	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.054837	-1.10%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.056935	-1.41%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0542	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.053486	-2.49%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0758	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.05154	-3.39%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.0828	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049125	-3.96%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1352	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049298	-4.00%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1366	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048729	-4.26%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.0980	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049273	-4.32%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1191	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048724	-4.84%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.0871	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.048998	-5.04%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0541	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.048569	-5.14%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0140	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.04948	-5.57%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0122	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.049653	-5.51%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0231	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.05052	-5.92%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0444	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049538	-6.71%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0735	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.047936	-6.19%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0994	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.0475	-6.59%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0978	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.047586	-6.05%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0942	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046324	-6.23%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.1319	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047066	-5.49%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.1026	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047379	-5.43%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.1023	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048678	-5.30%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0497	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046777	-5.21%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0526	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.045926	-5.11%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.1100	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045951	-4.47%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0849	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047074	-4.61%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0446	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.048859	-4.01%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0232	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.052293	-3.87%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0118	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053134	-4.09%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0067	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.052934	-3.93%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0483	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.053496	-4.13%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.0945	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.053534	-3.71%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0707	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.053384	-3.20%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0344	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052082	-3.55%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0016	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.051204	-2.19%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0502	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.05167	-1.95%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0779	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.051705	-1.61%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0604	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052245	-1.42%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0448	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.053814	-1.26%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0103	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054247	-1.10%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0085	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052861	-1.01%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0301	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054639	-1.02%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0590	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055654	-1.06%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0719	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056287	-1.16%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0646	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054914	-1.06%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0459	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054149	-1.01%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0377	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054389	-1.11%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0209	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056487	-1.51%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0255	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057027	-1.68%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0350	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057351	-1.80%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0303	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057253	-1.80%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0301	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056205	-1.57%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0390	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056648	-1.31%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0720	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052415	+0.03%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0243	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053364	-0.35%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0149	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.052072	+0.04%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0484	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052447	-0.10%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0624	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054886	-0.48%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0241	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051821	+0.14%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0714	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053199	-0.38%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0914	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058328	-1.47%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0524	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057467	-1.77%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0212	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.05501	-1.24%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0070	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056041	-1.60%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0094	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.056976	-1.51%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0131	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058646	-1.68%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0822	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058594	-2.02%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0467	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.058859	-2.39%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0453	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057368	-2.27%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0520	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.05829	-2.36%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0110	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057755	-1.86%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0113	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058868	-2.29%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0166	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057179	-1.42%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0518	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054526	+0.05%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0525	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056683	-0.47%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0104	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057781	-0.55%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0261	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054659	+0.85%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0561	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.054373	+2.20%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0306	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.056528	+2.04%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0293	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.059093	+0.84%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0155	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.064822	-0.27%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1436	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.063551	-0.55%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0520	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069448	-3.54%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1248	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.07085	-4.26%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2056	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066629	-3.01%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1331	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062543	-0.41%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0311	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063104	-0.15%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0060	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066676	-0.71%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0429	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.076157	-2.05%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1264	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.079463	-2.74%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0726	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079318	-2.44%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0542	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.080971	-2.44%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1501	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.079586	-1.62%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2265	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.084129	-2.18%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2678	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.083305	-1.99%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.2015	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.081884	-1.40%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0477	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.083055	-1.48%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0179	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.082918	-1.58%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0173	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083787	-1.72%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0014	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.086946	-1.70%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0603	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093014	-2.04%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0689	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095514	-2.24%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1121	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101612	-2.48%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1937	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.100066	-1.90%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1636	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.103213	-1.89%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1951	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.107702	-2.80%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2287	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.100381	-1.97%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1246	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.106133	-3.47%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1131	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097984	-1.87%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0073	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089632	-1.07%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1537	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089015	-1.09%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1219	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087819	-1.33%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1523	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087828	-1.43%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2171	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.089069	-1.58%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1239	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089133	-1.94%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1739	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.088984	-2.11%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0607	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092288	-2.50%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0643	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.088454	-2.10%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0078	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.088866	-2.02%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0027	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.08729	-2.20%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0101	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090474	-2.56%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0075	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.083443	-1.95%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.1058	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086529	-2.23%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0745	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.087557	-2.61%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0782	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.091834	-2.98%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0321	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.085802	-2.94%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0037	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.090957	-3.34%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0392	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088022	-2.63%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0496	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084447	-2.82%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0253	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.080969	-2.97%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0533	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.077938	-2.70%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1197	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077681	-2.53%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1824	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073943	-3.34%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1431	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079674	-3.54%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1374	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080745	-3.53%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0686	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.07754	-3.32%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0771	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.079178	-3.50%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0109	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.07906	-3.47%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0121	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.081435	-4.25%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.0884	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.076721	-3.74%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0243	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.078794	-3.79%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.079287	-3.90%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0204	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.077188	-3.94%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.075836	-3.45%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0412	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072934	-3.27%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0696	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.074516	-3.23%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.1043	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.07553	-3.29%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0133	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.076745	-3.47%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0520	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.074409	-3.24%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0951	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.080355	-3.65%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0237	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.079167	-3.45%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0327	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.081073	-4.40%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0429	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078086	-3.24%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0396	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.074401	-3.00%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0735	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.074863	-2.78%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0941	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.077408	-2.75%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0467	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.079219	-2.80%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0661	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.083075	-2.84%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0137	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.090226	-2.77%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0203	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.087883	-2.24%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0356	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.089409	-2.82%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0878	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.088609	-3.16%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1096	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.08233	-2.57%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0278	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.086467	-3.50%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0509	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.086629	-3.21%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.082248	-2.55%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0688	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.079403	-2.33%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0397	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.079219	-2.32%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0545	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.08237	-2.64%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0501	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.083789	-3.80%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0297	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079568	-1.77%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1237	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077711	-1.51%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1759	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.081904	-2.15%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0041	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078812	-1.85%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0374	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074675	-0.96%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0793	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078417	-1.55%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0712	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079701	-1.60%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0519	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.080196	-1.84%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0441	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080238	-1.85%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0904	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080751	-1.40%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0400	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083889	-1.88%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1173	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.08732	-2.71%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1144	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091187	-3.25%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1182	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.096467	-4.06%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1379	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.09706	-3.95%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1813	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.097333	-4.39%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2025	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.106962	-5.68%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2109	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.115237	-9.48%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2312	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.099768	-8.64%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.0877	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.070234	-0.73%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3237	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069191	-0.09%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.3873	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.071094	-0.01%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3383	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070664	-0.05%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3754	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.066443	+1.05%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5575	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066889	+0.51%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6644	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.06802	+0.25%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.4985	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070771	-0.04%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0096	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069576	+0.11%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0246	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.063279	+3.48%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0527	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071644	-0.63%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1003	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076723	-1.76%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0308	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079324	-2.37%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0247	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080348	-2.13%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0501	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.085045	-2.69%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0100	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.101402	-5.41%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1703	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.085975	-2.85%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0125	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.093473	-4.13%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0329	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.089045	-3.21%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0598	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086911	-3.00%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0655	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.086695	-3.99%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0845	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.086177	-3.71%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1646	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079179	-2.73%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3778	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.0783	-2.73%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1911	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.078364	-3.01%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2212	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076715	-3.02%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1706	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082291	-3.41%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1429	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090179	-3.86%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0967	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.08937	-3.38%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0814	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.092795	-3.24%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0510	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.091327	-3.97%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0448	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.089349	-3.51%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0010	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.086843	-3.72%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0024	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.07861	-4.02%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0627	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.082602	-4.73%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0905	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.085615	-3.80%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0140	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.087732	-3.91%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0187	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.088539	-3.76%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0056	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.089248	-3.72%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0806	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.093161	-3.36%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0668	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.09462	-3.25%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0874	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.094536	-3.73%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0728	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.09319	-3.53%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0410	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.091045	-3.45%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0096	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.087082	-3.35%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0041	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084616	-2.96%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0076	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086542	-2.98%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0086	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.086567	-3.06%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0253	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085911	-2.49%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0540	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090618	-2.87%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0028	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.098559	-4.87%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1035	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087831	-3.38%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0094	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.082013	-2.02%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0638	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.08219	-1.45%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0601	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082938	-1.62%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1065	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082656	-1.25%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0809	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085532	-1.80%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.0987	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083238	-1.61%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2370	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.077083	+0.24%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1258	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.081753	+0.19%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0082	✗	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.085978	-0.26%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0208	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.083268	+0.20%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0360	✗	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.084781	-0.14%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0234	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088628	-0.53%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0258	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086237	-0.30%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0297	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089985	-0.68%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0022	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092893	-0.86%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0019	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097115	-1.31%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0115	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092992	-0.97%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0170	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089699	-0.88%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0053	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098152	-1.06%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1192	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099208	-1.19%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1584	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101249	-1.51%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1212	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100544	-1.81%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0385	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102333	-1.60%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0712	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101118	-0.67%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1863	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.113683	-2.12%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2289	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.112351	-2.05%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0858	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.114584	-2.06%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0935	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.11872	-2.65%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1629	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.108738	-1.77%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1305	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107706	+0.05%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1340	✗	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107313	-0.36%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0021	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106975	+0.16%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0083	✗	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.105869	+1.21%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0829	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.112016	+1.05%	0.117	+5.55%	0.1104	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.128198	-0.43%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1723	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119824	+0.36%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0508	✗	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.119231	+0.40%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0604	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.119587	+0.66%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0073	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120798	+0.41%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.0925	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125396	+0.12%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1386	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.121569	+0.85%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.1860	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123897	-0.12%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4358	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126055	-0.35%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2468	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123123	-0.18%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2607	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131605	-0.68%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3029	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.130743	-0.80%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2250	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.131516	+0.36%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1527	✓	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.133174	+0.09%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1590	✓	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.118696	+1.84%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.0918	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120892	+1.42%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1080	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.118617	+2.34%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0044	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.123655	+1.07%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.0856	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137776	+0.06%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1210	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.137238	+0.47%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1779	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135374	+0.54%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1648	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.1381	+0.77%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0384	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.15536	+0.26%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0867	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.159187	+0.15%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0147	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162481	-0.07%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0710	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.173395	-0.38%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1197	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.17008	-0.13%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1732	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172059	-0.11%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.2024	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166447	+0.06%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1419	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160419	+0.45%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1060	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167611	+0.04%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1837	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.179205	-0.85%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.1964	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.179737	-0.62%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.1962	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.174617	-0.33%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1521	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.173194	+0.03%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1360	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176525	-0.47%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1141	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.183108	-0.78%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0437	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.194128	-1.03%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0129	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.207178	-1.51%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0054	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.191095	-1.27%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1233	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.174132	-0.04%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1079	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.19244	-0.96%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0786	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.301174	-2.20%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2577	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.314818	-2.26%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2895	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.304992	-2.37%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2496	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.330939	-2.38%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2414	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.312487	-2.47%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2904	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.319301	-1.87%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3347	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.329175	-2.19%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3123	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.330244	-3.47%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0946	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.315975	-2.45%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0872	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.30524	-1.84%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1538	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.305992	-1.96%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1556	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.312971	-2.21%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2714	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.302369	-1.81%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2668	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.306427	-1.99%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2424	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.294013	-1.65%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1595	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.317257	-2.26%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1242	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.311156	-2.03%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0583	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.318416	-2.25%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0646	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.351884	-2.74%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0112	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.357797	-2.96%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0144	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.359263	-3.38%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0237	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.380344	-4.06%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0228	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.358536	-3.59%	0.3246	-12.72%	0.0157	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.