INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s1

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2079

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0449

actual -0.0144

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.111948	-11.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.112271	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.109552	-11.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.111614	-11.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.109968	-11.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.111046	-11.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.124252	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.112102	-11.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.110009	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.107277	-11.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.105628	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.10514	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.098497	-10.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.102097	-10.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.105355	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.10386	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.108668	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.108356	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.103274	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.10115	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.095873	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.09399	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.092966	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.082169	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.082717	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.086237	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.091354	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.091259	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.08188	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.084108	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.078829	-4.62%	0.12675	+53.36%	0.5134	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.07108	-3.42%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5666	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.07357	-2.94%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5139	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074287	-2.38%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5187	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.072201	-5.00%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.4924	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.066245	-3.01%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.5872	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.065089	-3.14%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7132	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.066984	-3.90%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6062	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.062546	-3.40%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6283	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.066599	-4.93%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5568	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.066962	-4.61%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.5095	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.066734	-4.80%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5149	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.064064	-3.01%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4996	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.064208	-2.57%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5482	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.06598	-2.11%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5336	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067335	-0.32%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4678	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067841	+0.21%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5054	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.064085	+1.08%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5462	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.06409	+3.62%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5332	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061598	+0.57%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5060	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060654	+2.20%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4698	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.06151	+4.61%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.4722	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.056317	+3.71%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5366	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.059532	+4.35%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3526	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.055839	+4.18%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4026	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.05875	+7.50%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4272	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.057712	+5.51%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.4924	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.056688	+5.56%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5011	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.058032	+6.58%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3600	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.059576	+4.89%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3107	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.057442	+3.59%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2468	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.061322	+6.19%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1472	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054074	-1.41%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.2283	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.050676	-5.01%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2392	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.047002	-8.11%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2888	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.047015	-8.44%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1800	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.04613	-9.37%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.1580	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.046421	-9.86%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.1522	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.045865	-10.42%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.1109	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.045942	-10.97%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1878	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.045226	-11.67%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.2005	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.046114	-12.00%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.2008	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.046159	-12.16%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.1170	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.047284	-11.95%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.1091	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.046332	-12.75%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.1432	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.044296	-13.32%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.1832	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.043802	-13.86%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.1882	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.044107	-12.92%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.1258	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.043055	-12.84%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.1098	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.043579	-12.49%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.1243	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.044069	-12.04%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0813	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.045273	-11.92%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0127	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.043699	-11.45%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0172	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.043135	-10.88%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0609	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.043131	-10.33%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.044377	-10.08%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.0506	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.046075	-9.48%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.0742	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.04973	-8.58%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1230	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.05042	-8.99%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.1491	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.050536	-8.28%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.0955	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.051927	-6.94%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1201	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.052493	-5.59%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.0878	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.052533	-4.75%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0573	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.05103	-5.50%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0189	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.049573	-5.30%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0313	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.050098	-4.94%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0299	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.050212	-4.45%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0318	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.050912	-3.94%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0240	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.052906	-2.93%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0036	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.053656	-2.18%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0129	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.051772	-3.05%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0314	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.053958	-2.25%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0257	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055022	-2.18%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0483	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.055644	-2.29%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0481	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054179	-2.38%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0503	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.053376	-2.42%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.0908	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.053752	-2.27%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0722	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.055786	-2.73%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1070	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.056189	-3.12%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1362	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.056265	-3.66%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1281	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.056209	-3.59%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1302	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.055185	-3.35%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.0911	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.05546	-3.38%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1631	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.05154	-1.64%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1553	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.052629	-1.72%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1456	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051447	-1.16%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1047	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051853	-1.23%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0722	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054207	-1.71%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0716	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051238	-0.99%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0135	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052572	-1.55%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0017	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.05733	-3.16%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0574	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.056552	-3.33%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0435	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054078	-2.91%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0202	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.055078	-3.29%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0321	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.055946	-3.29%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.0817	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.057655	-3.34%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1148	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.05757	-3.73%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.0841	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.057832	-4.09%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0629	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.056463	-3.81%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0138	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.057402	-3.85%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0356	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.056926	-3.27%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0344	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058412	-3.05%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0593	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056457	-2.66%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0066	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054031	-0.86%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0169	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056119	-1.46%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0310	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.056619	-2.55%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0234	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053205	-1.84%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0329	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052834	-0.69%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0392	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.054692	-1.28%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0236	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.056825	-3.03%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0369	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.061828	-4.88%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0414	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.060518	-5.29%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0020	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.066315	-7.90%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0688	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.0676	-8.65%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1599	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.063386	-7.74%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0712	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.05847	-6.89%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0135	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.05919	-6.35%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0218	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.062735	-6.57%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0305	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.071293	-8.31%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2293	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.074452	-8.87%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2552	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074409	-8.48%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1594	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.075904	-8.55%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.1929	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.074794	-7.55%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2290	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.07951	-7.55%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2694	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.079018	-7.04%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2443	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.077496	-6.69%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.1952	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.078855	-6.46%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2104	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.07874	-6.54%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.1961	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.079828	-6.36%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2376	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.083548	-5.54%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.2896	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.089951	-5.27%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3754	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.092191	-5.64%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.3816	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.0983	-5.66%	0.058	-44.34%	0.4874	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.097913	-4.01%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5487	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.10179	-3.24%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5431	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.105316	-4.95%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5561	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.098829	-3.49%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5688	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.104657	-4.81%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6414	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097197	-2.66%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4523	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.088877	-1.90%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2769	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.08797	-2.26%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1668	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.08594	-3.44%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.1939	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.086035	-3.44%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1175	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.087411	-3.41%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1278	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.086996	-4.30%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2104	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.086538	-4.80%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.2965	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.089818	-5.11%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3221	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.086567	-4.19%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2221	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.087633	-3.38%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.0903	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.085912	-3.74%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0462	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.088793	-4.37%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.0832	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.082122	-3.50%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0273	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.084691	-4.30%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0173	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.085048	-5.40%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0014	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.089076	-5.89%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0638	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08303	-6.08%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0316	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.089222	-5.18%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0696	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.086136	-4.72%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0254	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.082256	-5.34%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0046	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.078632	-5.77%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0733	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.075781	-5.39%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1543	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.075826	-4.86%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.2029	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.070672	-7.62%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2807	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.076438	-7.46%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1976	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.07748	-7.43%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.2095	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.074413	-7.22%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.3044	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.075945	-7.44%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.2013	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.076037	-7.16%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2823	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.078114	-8.15%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.1018	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.073223	-8.13%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0770	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.074747	-8.73%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0382	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.075323	-8.70%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0288	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.073612	-8.39%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0506	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.072372	-7.87%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.1019	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.069775	-7.46%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1658	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.070738	-8.13%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1375	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.071486	-8.47%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1500	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.072517	-8.78%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0822	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.070523	-8.29%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.1000	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.076549	-8.22%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0491	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.076053	-7.25%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1262	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.078059	-7.95%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0063	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.074724	-7.41%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0815	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.070918	-7.54%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1327	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.071458	-7.20%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1959	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.074257	-6.71%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1338	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.07609	-6.64%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1417	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.080279	-6.11%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0473	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.088576	-4.55%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0337	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.086748	-3.51%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0382	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.087822	-4.54%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1090	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.086392	-5.58%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1217	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.080389	-4.86%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0471	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.084425	-5.78%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0553	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.083905	-6.25%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0394	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.079819	-5.43%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0196	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.076866	-5.45%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0296	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.076311	-5.91%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0122	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.079782	-5.70%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0415	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.082121	-5.72%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0422	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.07802	-3.68%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0999	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.076819	-2.64%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1533	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.07954	-4.97%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0336	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.076916	-4.21%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0325	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.072296	-4.12%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.075906	-4.70%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0181	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.0768	-5.18%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0152	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.07745	-5.20%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0454	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.077454	-5.25%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0197	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.07724	-5.69%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0066	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.080074	-6.35%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0909	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.083404	-7.07%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0327	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.086649	-8.06%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1200	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.091357	-9.14%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1725	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.091581	-9.37%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2068	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.092046	-9.58%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2165	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.100475	-11.40%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2481	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.10973	-13.80%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2857	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.09639	-11.73%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.1137	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.068821	-2.73%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1887	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068165	-1.57%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2366	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069731	-1.92%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.1870	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069321	-1.95%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1333	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.06484	-1.38%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.2945	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065182	-2.06%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3153	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.06618	-2.46%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2485	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.068385	-3.41%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1870	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.066946	-3.67%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2713	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.060804	-0.57%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2474	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.068563	-4.91%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3316	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.073314	-6.13%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1844	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.075377	-7.23%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1492	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.076104	-7.30%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2512	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.080999	-7.32%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1728	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.096571	-9.92%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0423	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.082216	-7.10%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2450	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.09011	-7.58%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2368	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.085625	-6.93%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2773	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.083671	-6.62%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2782	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.083808	-7.19%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3301	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.082937	-7.33%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.4181	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.075976	-6.66%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.5054	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.074898	-6.96%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5613	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.07462	-7.65%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.6303	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.072852	-7.90%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6651	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.078681	-7.65%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6598	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.086664	-7.61%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6670	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.085915	-7.12%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7876	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.090483	-5.65%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5908	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.089805	-5.57%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1482	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.087649	-5.35%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1917	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.084116	-6.75%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2858	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.074826	-8.64%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.3113	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.079371	-8.45%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1522	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.081219	-8.74%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.1161	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.083471	-8.58%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.1245	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.084533	-8.12%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1915	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.085127	-8.17%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2995	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.090346	-6.28%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3952	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.091708	-6.23%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2534	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.09154	-6.78%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.2230	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.089799	-7.04%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1855	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.087674	-7.03%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2497	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.08402	-6.75%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2804	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.081813	-6.18%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3483	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.084017	-5.81%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1415	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.084212	-5.70%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.1006	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.08356	-5.15%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0685	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.088855	-4.76%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0015	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.097483	-5.90%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0599	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087264	-4.00%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0172	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081014	-3.21%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0369	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.080963	-2.92%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0511	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082407	-2.25%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0377	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082105	-1.91%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0299	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085491	-1.85%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0974	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083588	-1.20%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0069	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076007	-1.16%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0142	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080117	-1.82%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0219	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084438	-2.04%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0482	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081792	-1.57%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.1030	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083631	-1.49%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0812	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087636	-1.64%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0882	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085364	-1.31%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0024	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089689	-1.01%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0397	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092455	-1.33%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0209	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.096542	-1.89%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0118	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092271	-1.73%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0091	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089147	-1.50%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0065	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.096463	-2.76%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0889	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.097666	-2.72%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0433	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.099833	-2.89%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0011	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.098876	-3.44%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0324	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.101115	-2.77%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0545	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.099205	-2.55%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1607	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.111132	-4.32%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1702	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.109444	-4.58%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1101	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.111971	-4.30%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1641	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.116274	-4.65%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1327	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.106345	-3.93%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0514	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107107	-0.50%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1602	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106063	-1.52%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2202	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.10603	-0.72%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2561	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.105084	+0.46%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3245	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.112117	+1.14%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3877	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.128768	+0.01%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.4374	✗	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119527	+0.11%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2479	✗	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.119175	+0.36%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.2189	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.119675	+0.74%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.2089	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120826	+0.44%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1537	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125333	+0.07%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1447	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.121601	+0.87%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1757	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.124875	+0.67%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0590	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.12713	+0.50%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0469	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123987	+0.52%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0053	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132379	-0.09%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0617	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.13194	+0.11%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0615	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130417	-0.48%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0284	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.132331	-0.54%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0077	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.116845	+0.25%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.1974	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120038	+0.70%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2562	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.117441	+1.33%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1465	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122931	+0.48%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2156	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.138193	+0.36%	0.104	-24.47%	0.2977	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.138445	+1.35%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4373	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135587	+0.70%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4402	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.138702	+1.21%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3566	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.157334	+1.54%	0.117	-24.49%	0.2943	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.162706	+2.36%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3714	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.165386	+1.71%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3210	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.176457	+1.38%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3494	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.17166	+0.80%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2779	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.1739	+0.96%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.2936	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.167906	+0.94%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3583	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.16149	+1.12%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3681	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167722	+0.10%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4506	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.178972	-0.98%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1954	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.178853	-1.10%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0791	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.173888	-0.75%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0927	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.171768	-0.80%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0236	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.174121	-1.82%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0582	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.179597	-2.68%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.1040	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.191539	-2.35%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0342	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.204503	-2.78%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0844	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.188165	-2.78%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0766	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.170164	-2.32%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1124	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.186712	-3.91%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1122	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.295355	-4.09%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4110	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.310526	-3.59%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4426	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.299152	-4.24%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4538	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.327593	-3.36%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5191	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.312592	-2.44%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4690	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.317468	-2.44%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5775	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.331597	-1.47%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.6046	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.335166	-2.03%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6467	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.313594	-3.18%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6260	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.297575	-4.30%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6280	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.298844	-4.25%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5419	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.303546	-5.16%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6663	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.29313	-4.81%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7109	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.297503	-4.84%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6696	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.284705	-4.77%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.5873	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.306828	-5.48%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5123	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.301368	-5.11%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5398	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.3086	-5.26%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5135	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.339381	-6.20%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5150	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.345638	-6.25%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5084	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.347432	-6.57%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4617	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.367111	-7.40%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4703	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.343272	-7.70%	0.17315	-53.44%	0.4083	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.