HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s1

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

195

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2723

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0332

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002552	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002535	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002543	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.00259	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002636	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002712	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002832	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002862	-2.37%	0.002587	-11.73%	0.1135	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002964	-2.67%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1417	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002524	-1.80%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0198	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002686	-2.09%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0085	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002862	-2.40%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0507	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003223	-3.01%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1429	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003246	-3.04%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1184	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003626	-3.73%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1967	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004092	-5.12%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2751	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003108	-2.97%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1519	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002885	-2.64%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0196	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002448	-2.29%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.1986	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.00228	-2.16%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.3966	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002237	-2.14%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4335	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002213	-2.06%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5346	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.0022	-1.98%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6576	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002201	-1.95%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3584	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002355	-2.13%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2147	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002589	-2.39%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0357	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002622	-2.62%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1211	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.00229	-1.94%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0048	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002311	-1.87%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0173	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002474	-2.13%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0806	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002408	-2.08%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0552	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002306	-1.53%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0297	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002317	-1.53%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1222	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002279	-1.18%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1539	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002347	-1.17%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0517	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002332	-1.11%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0416	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002144	-0.86%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0687	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002279	-0.62%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0128	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002142	-0.50%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0688	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002308	-0.51%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0009	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.00249	-0.91%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.1051	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002304	-0.59%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0316	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002295	+0.01%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0440	✓	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002461	-0.14%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.1034	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002468	-0.08%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0663	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.00239	+0.59%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.0798	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002114	+0.80%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.1102	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001942	+0.65%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2780	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.002005	+1.70%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1840	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.00194	-0.67%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1576	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002042	-0.43%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1769	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002153	+0.30%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1320	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002271	-0.07%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0027	✓	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002371	+0.08%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1513	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002277	-0.40%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.1988	✓	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002208	+0.32%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1317	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002557	-0.16%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2345	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002725	-0.59%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2613	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002789	-0.85%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2531	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002646	-1.23%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1508	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002575	-1.81%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1076	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002283	-1.68%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0118	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002149	-3.19%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1431	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.00202	-2.45%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0048	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002004	+0.13%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.0965	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002396	-1.57%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2783	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002669	-1.92%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.4950	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002679	-1.63%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.4933	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002728	-1.43%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6773	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002736	-1.35%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5528	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002861	-1.62%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5163	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002808	-1.49%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3757	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002828	-1.76%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1677	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002745	-1.40%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0566	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002942	-2.19%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0155	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002848	-1.75%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0290	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.002998	-2.13%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0518	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003407	-3.21%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1218	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003142	-2.43%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0815	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003441	-2.90%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1924	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003675	-3.20%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3193	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003775	-3.14%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2945	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003944	-3.48%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3730	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003876	-3.72%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2213	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003833	-3.66%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.1067	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003708	-3.45%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1471	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003914	-3.78%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0922	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003987	-4.13%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0106	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003827	-5.17%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0689	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003717	-5.01%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1386	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003847	-5.49%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0566	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004119	-5.93%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0394	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004596	-7.11%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.0909	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003875	-5.69%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.0946	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004078	-5.94%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0006	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004599	-7.40%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1155	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003757	-6.02%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0352	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003647	-5.32%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0740	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003731	-6.34%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1239	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003435	-5.92%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3242	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003773	-5.54%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0067	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004436	-7.36%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0505	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003901	-6.73%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2151	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003515	-6.91%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1348	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002938	-5.19%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2565	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002713	-3.72%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3243	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002943	-4.32%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.1768	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003732	-5.42%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1069	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004402	-5.92%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0808	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004279	-6.05%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0377	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005395	-7.44%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.3939	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005597	-7.09%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6313	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006518	-8.32%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.9007	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007079	-9.54%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9750	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007194	-11.90%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7106	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005545	-10.69%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.2792	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004126	-7.46%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0165	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003672	-6.45%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.3958	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003632	-6.39%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4586	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.00369	-8.59%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6979	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003169	-7.17%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0537	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003	-8.26%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1382	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002834	-7.43%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9213	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002774	-9.71%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.6295	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002357	-8.65%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6330	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002036	-6.34%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7556	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002669	-10.67%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.5216	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002332	-12.56%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4750	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001332	-7.83%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9765	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001021	-7.02%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1793	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000719845	-2.53%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4572	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.00068284	-2.00%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3314	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000638502	-1.80%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2454	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000562312	-0.86%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.5857	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000402462	+1.89%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7801	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000356291	+2.65%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3049	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000352686	+2.76%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0641	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000312686	+4.79%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7563	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.00034555	+4.71%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6289	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000378455	+3.94%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5480	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000400598	+4.02%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4222	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.00040274	+4.04%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1304	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000571828	+0.11%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3562	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000598738	-0.53%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3815	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000597828	-0.36%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4701	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000568214	+0.94%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3320	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.00084324	-3.41%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6845	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000859821	-1.73%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6382	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000918677	-2.32%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7267	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000897499	-2.23%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3619	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000908022	-2.47%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3603	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.00091799	-2.91%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3821	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000960013	-3.22%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5012	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001026	-4.01%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1018	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000879638	-2.80%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0415	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000829347	-2.89%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1393	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000832106	-2.56%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0939	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000844446	-2.60%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.1037	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000892514	-2.78%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0781	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001108	-4.52%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0673	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000838517	-2.33%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.3084	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000900586	-2.53%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0415	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000902962	-2.49%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0210	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000940892	-2.50%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0010	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000951276	-2.43%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0053	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001111	-3.13%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1325	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001098	-3.51%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0807	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.00095799	-3.18%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1339	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.000997789	-3.17%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0278	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001033	-3.65%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.1000	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.000989092	-3.50%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0668	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000963943	-3.80%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0703	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000865995	-3.78%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2354	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001058	-3.81%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0263	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001053	-4.43%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1539	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001025	-4.82%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1340	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001028	-3.97%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0710	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001391	-5.86%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3570	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.00142	-7.03%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3461	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001109	-6.28%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2275	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000938545	-3.64%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1444	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000945393	-3.63%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1788	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001104	-4.00%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001158	-4.58%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001132	-4.76%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2467	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001134	-4.73%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2342	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.00121	-5.26%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001134	-4.82%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001161	-5.21%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.2093	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001116	-5.27%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001138	-5.66%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.000997213	-4.39%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1570	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001016	-4.42%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1152	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001001	-4.44%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.2083	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001135	-6.02%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001019	-4.45%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1387	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.00101	-4.23%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.1021	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001012	-4.29%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1447	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001007	-3.94%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.001002	-3.86%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000957507	-3.28%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.001007	-3.54%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.0956	✗	1.00