HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s1

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0858

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual +0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002579	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002561	-0.27%	0.002587	+0.75%	0.0124	✗	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.00257	-0.27%	0.002568	-0.36%	0.0112	✓	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.00262	-0.28%	0.002577	-1.91%	0.0148	✓	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002671	-0.33%	0.002627	-1.96%	0.0230	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002755	-0.39%	0.00268	-3.10%	0.0264	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002883	-0.44%	0.002766	-4.48%	0.0344	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002917	-0.48%	0.002896	-1.21%	0.0137	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.003026	-0.64%	0.002931	-3.75%	0.0147	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002562	-0.31%	0.003045	+18.48%	0.1588	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002734	-0.35%	0.00257	-6.31%	0.0458	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.00292	-0.41%	0.002744	-6.43%	0.0697	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003303	-0.61%	0.002932	-11.78%	0.1227	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003329	-0.57%	0.003323	-0.74%	0.0097	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003736	-0.82%	0.003348	-11.10%	0.0946	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004241	-1.68%	0.003766	-12.67%	0.0997	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003178	-0.80%	0.004313	+34.62%	0.3073	✗	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002942	-0.72%	0.003204	+8.13%	0.0934	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002491	-0.58%	0.002963	+18.27%	0.1566	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002318	-0.52%	0.002505	+7.52%	0.0754	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002275	-0.49%	0.00233	+1.91%	0.0271	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002249	-0.46%	0.002286	+1.20%	0.0045	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002236	-0.40%	0.002259	+0.63%	0.0110	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002236	-0.40%	0.002245	+0.02%	0.0028	✓	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002395	-0.48%	0.002244	-6.74%	0.0576	✓	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002637	-0.60%	0.002407	-9.28%	0.0917	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002672	-0.77%	0.002653	-1.49%	0.0095	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002324	-0.46%	0.002693	+15.32%	0.1492	✗	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002345	-0.43%	0.002335	-0.87%	0.0044	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002515	-0.55%	0.002356	-6.83%	0.0534	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002445	-0.57%	0.002528	+2.81%	0.0354	✗	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002333	-0.39%	0.002459	+5.01%	0.0317	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002342	-0.45%	0.002342	-0.47%	0.0001	✓	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002299	-0.30%	0.002353	+2.04%	0.0217	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002367	-0.31%	0.002306	-2.90%	0.0532	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.00235	-0.32%	0.002375	+0.70%	0.0089	✗	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002158	-0.21%	0.002358	+9.05%	0.0833	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002288	-0.22%	0.002162	-5.70%	0.0357	✓	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.00215	-0.14%	0.002293	+6.52%	0.0580	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002315	-0.19%	0.002153	-7.18%	0.0702	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002503	-0.40%	0.002319	-7.70%	0.0765	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002312	-0.28%	0.002513	+8.41%	0.0782	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002292	-0.15%	0.002318	+1.00%	0.0253	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002458	-0.26%	0.002295	-6.87%	0.0672	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002461	-0.36%	0.002464	-0.24%	0.0063	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002372	-0.16%	0.00247	+3.96%	0.0490	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002096	-0.05%	0.002376	+13.28%	0.1218	✗	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001929	-0.03%	0.002098	+8.71%	0.0825	✗	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.001974	+0.14%	0.00193	-2.12%	0.0101	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001948	-0.26%	0.001971	+0.93%	0.0293	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002046	-0.24%	0.001953	-4.75%	0.0454	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002145	-0.10%	0.002051	-4.48%	0.0330	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002268	-0.20%	0.002147	-5.54%	0.0712	✓	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002363	-0.25%	0.002273	-4.07%	0.0286	✓	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002279	-0.33%	0.002369	+3.62%	0.0317	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002198	-0.14%	0.002286	+3.86%	0.0849	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002553	-0.31%	0.002201	-14.04%	0.1729	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002726	-0.54%	0.002561	-6.58%	0.0728	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002792	-0.73%	0.002741	-2.56%	0.0092	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002659	-0.74%	0.002813	+5.00%	0.0308	✗	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002597	-0.97%	0.002679	+2.15%	0.0171	✗	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002299	-0.95%	0.002623	+12.98%	0.1585	✗	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002195	-1.13%	0.002321	+4.58%	0.0677	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002055	-0.78%	0.00222	+7.20%	0.0188	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002	-0.03%	0.002071	+3.48%	0.1113	✓	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002424	-0.46%	0.002001	-17.82%	0.1984	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002705	-0.60%	0.002435	-10.52%	0.1655	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.00271	-0.51%	0.002721	-0.10%	0.0109	✗	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002756	-0.43%	0.002724	-1.59%	0.0134	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002763	-0.38%	0.002768	-0.22%	0.0190	✗	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002895	-0.44%	0.002774	-4.61%	0.0432	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.00284	-0.39%	0.002908	+2.01%	0.0277	✗	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002865	-0.47%	0.002851	-0.98%	0.0071	✗	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002776	-0.30%	0.002879	+3.40%	0.0666	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002992	-0.52%	0.002784	-7.44%	0.0701	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002889	-0.35%	0.003008	+3.76%	0.0399	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.003051	-0.39%	0.002899	-5.36%	0.0700	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003493	-0.76%	0.003063	-12.98%	0.1212	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003206	-0.44%	0.00352	+9.30%	0.0765	✗	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003524	-0.58%	0.00322	-9.13%	0.1081	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.00377	-0.67%	0.003544	-6.63%	0.0608	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003872	-0.66%	0.003796	-2.60%	0.0431	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.004056	-0.75%	0.003897	-4.63%	0.0379	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003994	-0.79%	0.004087	+1.52%	0.0823	✗	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003947	-0.79%	0.004026	+1.19%	0.0053	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003815	-0.67%	0.003978	+3.60%	0.0406	✗	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.004036	-0.76%	0.00384	-5.58%	0.0545	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.004123	-0.85%	0.004067	-2.20%	0.0397	✗	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003994	-1.05%	0.004159	+3.03%	0.0064	✓	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003879	-0.87%	0.004036	+3.14%	0.0323	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.004031	-0.99%	0.003914	-3.87%	0.0038	✓	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004334	-1.03%	0.004071	-7.03%	0.0277	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004854	-1.88%	0.004379	-11.48%	0.0890	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.004066	-1.05%	0.004947	+20.39%	0.1572	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004288	-1.09%	0.004109	-5.21%	0.0589	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004864	-2.05%	0.004335	-12.70%	0.1118	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003946	-1.30%	0.004966	+24.21%	0.2037	✗	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003811	-1.06%	0.003998	+3.81%	0.0446	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003926	-1.46%	0.003851	-3.33%	0.0064	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.00361	-1.15%	0.003984	+9.10%	0.1060	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003952	-1.04%	0.003652	-8.57%	0.1644	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004691	-2.04%	0.003994	-16.59%	0.1170	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.00411	-1.73%	0.004789	+14.48%	0.1535	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003706	-1.85%	0.004183	+10.79%	0.1301	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.003061	-1.21%	0.003775	+21.83%	0.1869	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002801	-0.57%	0.003099	+9.99%	0.0780	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.003057	-0.62%	0.002817	-8.41%	0.0558	✓	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.00391	-0.93%	0.003076	-22.05%	0.2246	✓	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004623	-1.20%	0.003946	-15.66%	0.1672	✓	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004506	-1.07%	0.004679	+2.72%	0.0268	✗	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005722	-1.84%	0.004555	-21.85%	0.2412	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005928	-1.59%	0.005829	-3.24%	0.0416	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006954	-2.19%	0.006024	-15.27%	0.1853	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007605	-2.82%	0.00711	-9.15%	0.1110	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.00781	-4.35%	0.007826	-4.16%	0.0511	✗	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005963	-3.96%	0.008166	+31.51%	0.2955	✗	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004356	-2.31%	0.006209	+39.25%	0.3668	✗	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003855	-1.80%	0.004459	+13.59%	0.1474	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.00381	-1.78%	0.003925	+1.18%	0.0217	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.00391	-3.15%	0.00388	-3.90%	0.0451	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003334	-2.34%	0.004037	+18.25%	0.2504	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003172	-3.01%	0.003414	+4.39%	0.1198	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002984	-2.51%	0.00327	+6.84%	0.0665	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002951	-3.95%	0.003061	-0.36%	0.0714	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.00249	-3.49%	0.003072	+19.05%	0.1843	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002127	-2.18%	0.002581	+18.70%	0.1732	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.00285	-4.61%	0.002174	-27.23%	0.2227	✓	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002511	-5.84%	0.002988	+12.03%	0.2102	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001395	-3.48%	0.002667	+84.50%	0.6700	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001062	-3.33%	0.001445	+31.63%	0.2903	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000729798	-1.18%	0.001098	+48.69%	0.3715	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000689598	-1.03%	0.0007385	+5.98%	0.0424	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000643246	-1.07%	0.0006968	+7.17%	0.0807	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000562019	-0.91%	0.0006502	+14.63%	0.0857	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000395395	+0.10%	0.0005672	+43.59%	0.3678	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000348375	+0.37%	0.000395	+13.80%	0.1680	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000344454	+0.37%	0.0003471	+1.14%	0.0150	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000300901	+0.84%	0.0003432	+15.01%	0.0603	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000332691	+0.82%	0.0002984	-9.58%	0.1034	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000366536	+0.67%	0.00033	-9.37%	0.0249	✗	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000387742	+0.69%	0.0003641	-5.45%	0.0563	✗	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.00038988	+0.72%	0.0003851	-0.52%	0.0651	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000569904	-0.23%	0.0003871	-32.23%	0.3082	✓	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.00059938	-0.42%	0.0005712	-5.10%	0.0118	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000597938	-0.34%	0.0006019	+0.32%	0.0097	✗	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000563711	+0.14%	0.0006	+6.59%	0.0561	✓	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000860631	-1.42%	0.0005629	-35.52%	0.4224	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000871967	-0.35%	0.000873	-0.23%	0.0132	✗	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000935553	-0.53%	0.000875	-6.96%	0.0454	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000912753	-0.57%	0.0009405	+2.45%	0.0509	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000926052	-0.53%	0.000918	-1.40%	0.0127	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000939142	-0.67%	0.000931	-1.53%	0.0135	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000984572	-0.75%	0.0009455	-4.69%	0.0591	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001056	-1.26%	0.000992	-7.20%	0.0313	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.00089885	-0.68%	0.001069	+18.12%	0.1723	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000847486	-0.76%	0.000905	+5.97%	0.0556	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000849361	-0.54%	0.000854	+0.00%	0.0080	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000862358	-0.54%	0.000854	-1.50%	0.0031	✓	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000912486	-0.60%	0.000867	-5.56%	0.0414	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001141	-1.68%	0.000918	-20.86%	0.2060	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000854422	-0.47%	0.00116	+35.12%	0.3429	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000919051	-0.54%	0.0008585	-7.09%	0.1035	✓	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000921312	-0.51%	0.000924	-0.22%	0.0272	✗	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.00095957	-0.56%	0.000926	-4.04%	0.0107	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000970232	-0.49%	0.000965	-1.03%	0.0040	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001138	-0.82%	0.000975	-15.00%	0.1887	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001126	-1.02%	0.001147	+0.79%	0.0076	✓	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.00098245	-0.71%	0.001138	+15.01%	0.1428	✗	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001022	-0.78%	0.0009895	-3.98%	0.0002	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001061	-1.04%	0.00103	-3.92%	0.0415	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.001017	-0.78%	0.001073	+4.63%	0.0293	✗	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000993558	-0.84%	0.001025	+2.30%	0.0017	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000893994	-0.67%	0.001002	+11.33%	0.1169	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001091	-0.81%	0.0009	-18.18%	0.2033	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.00109	-1.12%	0.0011	-0.18%	0.0388	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001062	-1.38%	0.001102	+2.32%	0.0229	✗	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001062	-0.78%	0.001077	+0.65%	0.0288	✗	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001448	-2.05%	0.00107	-27.60%	0.2802	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001483	-2.89%	0.001478	-3.21%	0.0241	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001154	-2.42%	0.001527	+29.08%	0.2609	✗	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000967026	-0.72%	0.001183	+21.46%	0.1981	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000973774	-0.74%	0.000974	-0.71%	0.0108	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.00114	-0.87%	0.000981	-14.70%	0.1511	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001201	-1.06%	0.00115	-5.27%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001175	-1.17%	0.001214	+2.10%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001177	-1.06%	0.001189	-0.08%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.00126	-1.31%	0.00119	-6.81%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001178	-1.22%	0.001277	+7.13%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001209	-1.32%	0.001192	-2.69%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001161	-1.43%	0.001225	+3.99%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001186	-1.66%	0.001178	-2.32%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001031	-1.13%	0.001206	+15.63%	0.1601	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001051	-1.15%	0.001043	-1.93%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001035	-1.11%	0.001063	+1.58%	0.0592	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001185	-1.89%	0.001047	-13.33%	0.1251	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001053	-1.19%	0.001208	+13.32%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001043	-1.10%	0.001066	+1.04%	0.0115	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001045	-1.13%	0.001055	-0.19%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001037	-1.05%	0.001057	+0.86%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.001031	-1.02%	0.001048	+0.58%	0.0182	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000981623	-0.85%	0.001042	+5.25%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.001033	-1.04%	0.00099	-5.17%	0.0476	✓	1.00