GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +7d
assessed
68
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
41.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1481
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0276
actual -0.0510
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.257788 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.248762 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.22515 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.210351 | -2.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.209921 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.211831 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.222785 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.208333 | -2.74% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2465 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.201551 | -2.47% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2535 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.20651 | -2.54% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.22485 | -2.83% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.227111 | -2.94% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.218625 | -2.90% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.221242 | -3.09% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.216918 | -2.73% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.220471 | -2.66% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0629 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.217954 | -2.50% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.216259 | -2.48% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0700 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.210446 | -2.53% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1073 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.209968 | -2.70% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0711 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.202871 | -2.35% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1206 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.202243 | -2.49% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.0979 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.198295 | -2.51% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1314 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.200116 | -2.71% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.197093 | -2.28% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1159 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.199012 | -2.37% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0811 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.203937 | -2.59% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0561 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.199494 | -2.54% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0401 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.18975 | -2.39% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.191344 | -2.25% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0640 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.188139 | -2.14% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0931 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.1852 | -3.19% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.187321 | -3.34% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.182588 | -3.60% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1330 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.171235 | -4.18% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1833 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.161088 | -3.83% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1927 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.161817 | -3.77% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.1965 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.163608 | -4.04% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1676 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.163414 | -4.02% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1613 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.164807 | -4.01% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1655 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.167614 | -4.19% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1255 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.16185 | -4.03% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.0988 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.154598 | -3.53% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0801 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.161208 | -3.58% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0417 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.162213 | -3.85% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0497 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.1583 | -3.18% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.157982 | -2.90% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.15748 | -2.73% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1064 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.157876 | -2.67% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0691 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.155778 | -1.84% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0287 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.149056 | -0.89% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1150 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.160657 | -1.62% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0495 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.171407 | -1.72% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0445 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.167672 | -1.60% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0291 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.163319 | -0.96% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.169619 | -1.21% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.180303 | -1.31% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.194034 | -1.41% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.201113 | -1.37% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.228087 | -1.47% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.24234 | -1.57% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3674 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.281297 | -1.51% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.272034 | -2.32% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.294688 | -3.13% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.284219 | -3.06% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.27338 | -2.82% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.275319 | -2.65% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.284273 | -2.78% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.293943 | -2.96% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.312503 | -3.22% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.307182 | -3.22% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.0986 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.305947 | -3.46% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.314035 | -4.17% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.300988 | -3.25% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.287098 | -3.04% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 1.00 |