GRVT

GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #373
symbol: GRVT
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-30
predictions: 228

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0366

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0048

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.24835	0.246333	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.24485	0.24204	-1.15%	0.24835	+1.43%	0.0255	✗	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.25965	0.25621	-1.32%	0.24485	-5.70%	0.0471	✓	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.23295	0.230802	-0.92%	0.25965	+11.46%	0.1164	✗	0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.21595	0.214584	-0.63%	0.23295	+7.87%	0.0824	✗	0.11
2026-10-17	oos	0.21555	0.214248	-0.60%	0.21595	+0.19%	0.0071	✗	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.2179	0.21658	-0.61%	0.21555	-1.08%	0.0046	✓	0.11
2026-10-15	oos	0.2297	0.228099	-0.70%	0.2179	-5.14%	0.0450	✓	0.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.2142	0.212894	-0.61%	0.2297	+7.24%	0.0754	✗	0.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.20665	0.205501	-0.56%	0.2142	+3.65%	0.0436	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.2119	0.210731	-0.55%	0.20665	-2.48%	0.0216	✓	0.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.2314	0.229755	-0.71%	0.2119	-8.43%	0.0797	✓	0.05
2026-10-10	oos	0.234	0.232242	-0.75%	0.2314	-1.11%	0.0041	✓	0.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.22515	0.223431	-0.76%	0.234	+3.93%	0.0460	✗	0.05
2026-10-08	oos	0.2283	0.226385	-0.84%	0.22515	-1.38%	0.0061	✓	0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.223	0.221425	-0.71%	0.2283	+2.38%	0.0320	✗	0.08
2026-10-06	oos	0.2265	0.22479	-0.75%	0.223	-1.55%	0.0063	✓	0.06
2026-10-05	oos	0.22355	0.222021	-0.68%	0.2265	+1.32%	0.0201	✗	0.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.22175	0.220209	-0.69%	0.22355	+0.81%	0.0157	✗	0.07
2026-10-03	oos	0.2159	0.214404	-0.69%	0.22175	+2.71%	0.0325	✗	0.06
2026-10-02	oos	0.2158	0.21409	-0.79%	0.2159	+0.05%	0.0083	✗	0.06
2026-10-01	oos	0.20775	0.206364	-0.67%	0.2158	+3.87%	0.0450	✗	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.2074	0.205976	-0.69%	0.20775	+0.17%	0.0076	✗	0.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.2034	0.201984	-0.70%	0.2074	+1.97%	0.0265	✗	0.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.2057	0.204031	-0.81%	0.2034	-1.12%	0.0033	✓	0.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.2017	0.20034	-0.67%	0.2057	+1.98%	0.0274	✗	0.08
2026-09-26	oos	0.20385	0.202426	-0.70%	0.2017	-1.05%	0.0036	✓	0.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.20935	0.207779	-0.75%	0.20385	-2.63%	0.0194	✓	0.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.2047	0.203206	-0.73%	0.20935	+2.27%	0.0301	✗	0.09
2026-09-23	oos	0.1944	0.193126	-0.66%	0.2047	+5.30%	0.0582	✗	0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.19575	0.194445	-0.67%	0.1944	-0.69%	0.0018	✓	0.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.19225	0.191062	-0.62%	0.19575	+1.82%	0.0247	✗	0.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.1913	0.189893	-0.74%	0.19225	+0.50%	0.0060	✓	0.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.1938	0.192285	-0.78%	0.1913	-1.29%	0.0051	✓	0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.1894	0.187866	-0.81%	0.1938	+2.32%	0.0307	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.1787	0.177134	-0.88%	0.1894	+5.99%	0.0697	✗	-0.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.1675	0.16621	-0.77%	0.1787	+6.69%	0.0726	✗	-0.05
2026-09-15	oos	0.16815	0.166895	-0.75%	0.1675	-0.39%	0.0040	✓	-0.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.1705	0.169147	-0.79%	0.16815	-1.38%	0.0080	✓	-0.06
2026-09-13	oos	0.17025	0.168875	-0.81%	0.1705	+0.15%	0.0108	✗	-0.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.1717	0.170304	-0.81%	0.17025	-0.84%	0.0007	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.17495	0.173422	-0.87%	0.1717	-1.86%	0.0099	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.16865	0.167188	-0.87%	0.17495	+3.74%	0.0461	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.16025	0.159063	-0.74%	0.16865	+5.24%	0.0585	✗	-0.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.1672	0.165913	-0.77%	0.16025	-4.16%	0.0348	✓	-0.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.1687	0.167275	-0.84%	0.1672	-0.89%	0.0005	✓	-0.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1635	0.162378	-0.69%	0.1687	+3.18%	0.0387	✗	0.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.1627	0.161651	-0.64%	0.1635	+0.49%	0.0112	✗	0.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1619	0.160938	-0.59%	0.1627	+0.49%	0.0108	✗	0.04
2026-09-03	oos	0.1622	0.161327	-0.54%	0.1619	-0.18%	0.0046	✓	0.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.1587	0.158089	-0.38%	0.1622	+2.21%	0.0274	✗	-0.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.1504	0.150305	-0.06%	0.1587	+5.52%	0.0543	✗	-0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.1633	0.162715	-0.36%	0.1504	-7.90%	0.0802	✓	-0.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.1744	0.173685	-0.41%	0.1633	-6.36%	0.0607	✓	-0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.1704	0.169738	-0.39%	0.1744	+2.35%	0.0267	✗	-0.05
2026-08-28	oos	0.1649	0.164436	-0.28%	0.1704	+3.34%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.1717	0.171137	-0.33%	0.1649	-3.96%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.1827	0.182101	-0.33%	0.1717	-6.02%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.1968	0.196143	-0.33%	0.1827	-7.16%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.2039	0.203266	-0.31%	0.1968	-3.48%	0.0266	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.2315	0.23067	-0.36%	0.2039	-11.92%	0.1393	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.2462	0.245246	-0.39%	0.2315	-5.97%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.2856	0.284229	-0.48%	0.2462	-13.80%	0.1273	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.2785	0.277132	-0.49%	0.2856	+2.55%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.3042	0.302171	-0.67%	0.2785	-8.45%	0.1338	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.2932	0.291175	-0.69%	0.3042	+3.75%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.2813	0.279512	-0.64%	0.2932	+4.23%	0.0447	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.2828	0.281049	-0.62%	0.2813	-0.53%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.2924	0.290546	-0.63%	0.2828	-3.28%	0.0241	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.3029	0.300875	-0.67%	0.2924	-3.47%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.3229	0.320517	-0.74%	0.3029	-6.19%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.3174	0.315072	-0.73%	0.3229	+1.73%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.3169	0.314317	-0.82%	0.3174	+0.16%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.3277	0.324291	-1.04%	0.3169	-3.30%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.3111	0.308691	-0.77%	0.3277	+5.34%	0.0743	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.2961	0.293962	-0.72%	0.3111	+5.07%	0.0576	✗	1.00