GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0367
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0065
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.264688 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.255927 | -1.43% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.230692 | -0.97% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1169 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214802 | -0.53% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214549 | -0.46% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216863 | -0.48% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228342 | -0.59% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.213117 | -0.51% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205758 | -0.43% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.211029 | -0.41% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230113 | -0.56% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.232578 | -0.61% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.223729 | -0.63% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.226605 | -0.74% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.221715 | -0.58% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225108 | -0.61% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.22239 | -0.52% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220566 | -0.53% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214723 | -0.55% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214331 | -0.68% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206721 | -0.50% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.206295 | -0.53% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.202227 | -0.58% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204212 | -0.72% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200707 | -0.49% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202813 | -0.51% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.208165 | -0.57% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203544 | -0.56% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193404 | -0.51% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194717 | -0.53% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.19132 | -0.48% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189953 | -0.70% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.192282 | -0.78% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187669 | -0.91% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.176884 | -1.02% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0711 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.166065 | -0.86% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0734 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.166765 | -0.82% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0047 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.168968 | -0.90% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0069 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.16872 | -0.90% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0117 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170165 | -0.89% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173145 | -1.03% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0083 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.16681 | -1.09% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0484 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.158843 | -0.88% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0599 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.165688 | -0.90% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0334 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.166761 | -1.15% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0025 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162087 | -0.86% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161484 | -0.75% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.160755 | -0.71% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.160988 | -0.75% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.157888 | -0.51% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0287 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150091 | -0.21% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0558 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.162575 | -0.44% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0793 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.173506 | -0.51% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0597 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.169449 | -0.56% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0284 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164372 | -0.32% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171034 | -0.39% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182021 | -0.37% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.196106 | -0.35% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.20328 | -0.30% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230766 | -0.32% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.245387 | -0.33% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284447 | -0.40% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1280 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277148 | -0.49% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.301868 | -0.77% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291108 | -0.71% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.279647 | -0.59% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281303 | -0.53% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290814 | -0.54% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301095 | -0.60% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320703 | -0.68% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0500 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315246 | -0.68% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314259 | -0.83% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.323391 | -1.31% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.308761 | -0.75% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294204 | -0.64% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.00 |