GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0815

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0279

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.305938	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.305406	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.30145	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.296366	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.298418	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.296406	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.302602	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298312	-0.71%	0.3105	+3.34%	0.0411	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.315564	-1.03%	0.3103	-2.68%	0.0158	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.315148	-0.77%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0305	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.32581	-1.10%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0820	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.331896	-1.19%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0934	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.340706	-1.53%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1282	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.337695	-1.49%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0997	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.317864	-1.07%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0564	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.320043	-1.22%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0038	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.323406	-1.30%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0186	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.323807	-1.41%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0178	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.315615	-1.29%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0630	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.319839	-1.69%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0793	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.3209	-1.85%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0667	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.312929	-1.70%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0277	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.316111	-2.01%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0248	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.313203	-1.96%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0445	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.310455	-2.00%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0555	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.322366	-2.08%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0084	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.334998	-2.26%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0293	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.340735	-2.37%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0414	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.346308	-2.38%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0843	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334787	-2.28%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0369	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.343641	-2.50%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0735	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.350156	-2.42%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1001	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.360484	-3.79%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0943	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.331337	-2.79%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0303	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.329735	-3.08%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0530	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.34504	-4.29%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0065	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.298082	-1.43%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1159	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300148	-1.14%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1204	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.296582	-0.74%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1546	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.29443	-0.35%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2217	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297016	-0.01%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1214	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304701	+0.18%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0927	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.290988	+1.35%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2151	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.293711	+1.79%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0394	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.308484	+1.49%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0026	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.299199	+2.40%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0029	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.304285	+2.73%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0127	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.309085	+2.91%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0275	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.304017	+3.65%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0166	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.305019	+4.73%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0281	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.297121	+3.92%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0354	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.288492	+4.04%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0454	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.294708	+3.88%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0122	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.291168	+3.34%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0090	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.293117	+3.03%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0196	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.290145	+2.65%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0052	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.312267	+2.55%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0721	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.313256	+1.95%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0864	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.313725	+1.76%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1197	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.317583	+1.59%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1117	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.327569	+1.10%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1505	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.336874	+0.74%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1719	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.343802	+0.72%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1946	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311771	+0.22%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0290	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.325865	-0.98%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0407	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.356507	-2.18%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1618	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.359334	-2.29%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1596	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.355709	-2.40%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1130	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362592	-2.61%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0982	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.359421	-2.49%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0755	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.382417	-2.72%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2186	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.366095	-2.63%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1138	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.362762	-2.72%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0032	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.354397	-2.62%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0362	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.337347	-2.23%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0808	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.337965	-2.39%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1000	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.333389	-2.40%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1037	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.330236	-2.48%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1756	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.348458	-2.75%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0779	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.339483	-2.88%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0946	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.33304	-2.93%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0882	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.319248	-2.65%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0762	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.313246	-2.57%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0981	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.319927	-2.67%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0635	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.322089	-2.66%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0506	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.321161	-2.49%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1088	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.340714	-2.65%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0254	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.357306	-2.84%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0403	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.364956	-2.90%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1052	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.359344	-3.08%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1101	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.352597	-2.52%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0694	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.344544	-2.31%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0401	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.347751	-2.19%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0525	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.354237	-2.51%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0099	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.318516	-1.66%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1424	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.312314	-1.40%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1859	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.314581	-1.46%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1637	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.319672	-1.58%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1237	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.327286	-1.64%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0760	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.327662	-1.57%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0829	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.327451	-1.15%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1054	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.323345	-1.13%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0065	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.335185	-0.95%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0546	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.342024	-0.92%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0669	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.344544	-0.89%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0595	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.344967	-0.99%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0348	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.351286	-1.20%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0490	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.370213	-1.22%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1072	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.371954	-1.21%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1329	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.376726	-1.32%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1069	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.382208	-1.42%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1003	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.378464	-1.44%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0810	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.382914	-1.51%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0904	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.388429	-1.59%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0833	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.388994	-1.45%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0252	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.387978	-1.49%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0208	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.37362	-1.24%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0348	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.372792	-1.21%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0494	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.385515	-1.31%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0038	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.386335	-1.27%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0120	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.375982	-1.29%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0458	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.385198	-1.51%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0108	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.393471	-1.62%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0124	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.404283	-1.63%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0785	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.409817	-1.70%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0967	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.395923	-1.60%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0278	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.367012	-1.45%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0460	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.407948	-1.70%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0955	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.419581	-1.81%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0941	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.427539	-1.87%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0852	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.483283	-2.07%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1773	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.43979	-1.76%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0502	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.447383	-1.66%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1051	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.464789	-1.61%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2108	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.466363	-1.01%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1643	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450013	-0.59%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1136	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.459874	-0.83%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.1037	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464701	-0.64%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.412055	+1.62%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.444526	+2.05%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.43441	+1.00%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.0876	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.484611	+1.04%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506996	-0.39%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.439181	-1.60%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1773	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.441996	-2.02%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2069	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.466595	-2.13%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0522	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.444716	-1.95%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1634	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.611181	-2.65%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2098	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.69213	-2.88%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2180	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.648932	-3.20%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1140	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.615986	-3.16%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2423	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.69436	-3.97%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3861	✓	1.00