GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

83.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1090

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0305

actual -0.0868

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.297893	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.297497	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.29181	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.286717	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.28902	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.28654	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.29362	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.291626	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.306036	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.307799	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.315016	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.322905	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.32938	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.326508	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.309278	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.312434	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.317224	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.317143	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.311016	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.312528	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.312865	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.306144	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.308123	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.305034	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.303058	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.314018	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.325762	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.331914	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.33883	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.331056	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.346903	-1.57%	0.3105	-11.90%	0.1113	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.3531	-1.60%	0.3103	-13.53%	0.1292	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.353038	-5.78%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1459	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.324923	-4.67%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0800	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.323573	-4.89%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0690	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.330046	-8.45%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1102	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.286933	-5.11%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0476	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.289304	-4.71%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0124	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.289149	-3.23%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0828	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.286609	-2.99%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0750	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.289578	-2.52%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1107	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.297813	-2.08%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0900	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.285512	-0.55%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1634	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.291036	+0.86%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1442	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304264	+0.10%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0399	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.297849	+1.93%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0653	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.304949	+2.95%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0485	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.309657	+3.10%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0322	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.30674	+4.58%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0009	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.315357	+8.28%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0085	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.307771	+7.65%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0171	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.302979	+9.26%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0029	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.310332	+9.39%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0054	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.308365	+9.45%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0175	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.313273	+10.11%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0042	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.311924	+10.36%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0342	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.339316	+11.43%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0001	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.338329	+10.12%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0171	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.342214	+11.00%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0175	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.348076	+11.35%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0303	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.356113	+9.91%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0310	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.361824	+8.20%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0310	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.370049	+8.41%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0053	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.324576	+4.33%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0429	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.325383	-1.13%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0659	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.344485	-5.48%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0313	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.347065	-5.62%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1544	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.342043	-6.15%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1362	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.34906	-6.24%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1740	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.345945	-6.15%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1796	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.367231	-6.58%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2292	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.352545	-6.24%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1638	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.350274	-6.07%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2141	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.341847	-6.07%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1868	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.325522	-5.66%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0896	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.325151	-6.09%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1287	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.320676	-6.13%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1026	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.317214	-6.33%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0772	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.333983	-6.79%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1506	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.325103	-6.99%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1309	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.318334	-7.22%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1230	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305207	-6.93%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1106	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.299065	-6.98%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0667	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.305709	-6.99%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0950	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.308815	-6.67%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0939	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.308015	-6.48%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0974	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.326248	-6.79%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0841	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.341322	-7.19%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1214	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.350436	-6.76%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1392	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.345016	-6.94%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1086	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.33813	-6.52%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0507	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.332468	-5.74%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0037	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.337416	-5.10%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0024	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.345881	-4.81%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1108	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.308951	-4.62%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0667	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.303879	-4.06%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1818	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.305661	-4.26%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1846	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.309982	-4.56%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1608	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.317537	-4.57%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1584	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.320282	-3.79%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1389	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.3205	-3.25%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2028	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.315082	-3.66%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1786	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.329555	-2.61%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1231	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.337297	-2.29%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0763	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.340995	-1.91%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0133	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.339506	-2.55%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0233	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.344383	-3.14%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0030	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.362601	-3.25%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0661	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.364999	-3.05%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0171	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.368814	-3.39%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0525	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.373267	-3.72%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0834	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.368964	-3.92%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1154	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.371974	-4.33%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1427	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.375916	-4.76%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1278	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.375254	-4.93%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1104	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.375256	-4.72%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1215	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.361126	-4.54%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0172	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.360276	-4.52%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0326	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.372483	-4.65%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0251	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.373119	-4.65%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0079	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.363361	-4.60%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0037	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.372948	-4.64%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0483	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.38143	-4.63%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0631	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.391451	-4.76%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0645	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.396957	-4.78%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2003	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.382552	-4.92%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1839	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.353829	-4.99%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0923	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.393833	-5.10%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1969	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.4051	-5.20%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2114	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.412625	-5.30%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2271	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.466826	-5.41%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3475	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.423326	-5.43%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2238	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.430602	-5.35%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2441	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.446706	-5.44%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2611	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.448618	-4.77%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2977	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.431831	-4.61%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2385	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.440551	-4.99%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.2012	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.445023	-4.85%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1721	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.392647	-3.17%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.422803	-2.94%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.412421	-4.11%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.461159	-3.84%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.484066	-4.90%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1384	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.417539	-6.44%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.420316	-6.82%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1660	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.445292	-6.60%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0811	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.424501	-6.40%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.583892	-7.00%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2323	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.65636	-7.90%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3050	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.621578	-7.28%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2237	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.592927	-6.79%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.667911	-7.63%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3292	✓	1.00