FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1275

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0557

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046112	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.046813	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.045877	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.04603	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049149	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.050443	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.050382	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.051333	-4.64%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.0849	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057092	-5.19%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1599	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.056155	-5.47%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1681	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.062539	-6.39%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2561	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.061624	-5.75%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1750	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.060563	-6.08%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1313	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.057865	-6.34%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.0938	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.060163	-6.60%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.0993	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.064368	-6.73%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0523	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.068487	-7.06%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1192	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.065109	-7.12%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0433	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.067123	-7.83%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0138	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.059454	-7.35%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0945	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.062648	-7.40%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0069	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.063447	-8.07%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0170	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.060964	-7.66%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.1110	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.056444	-7.52%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2511	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.063236	-8.39%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0916	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.060991	-8.80%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1755	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.054137	-7.80%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1677	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.054747	-8.30%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2091	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.054439	-8.83%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2470	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.055127	-8.62%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2105	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.0556	-8.94%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1302	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.057122	-7.89%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1495	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.063903	-9.29%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.060988	-8.64%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0770	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.059089	-7.82%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.051784	-5.35%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043492	-0.56%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1958	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048103	-2.00%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1362	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047612	-1.18%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2091	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.049825	-1.42%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2963	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050438	-1.29%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2339	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.051619	-1.36%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2190	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.050916	-0.90%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0996	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.052962	-0.99%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1542	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.054764	-1.02%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.0978	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055503	-1.01%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054723	-0.75%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055052	-0.61%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058762	-0.45%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0560	✓	1.00