FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1858
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1216
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.043595 | -8.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.044266 | -8.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.043171 | -9.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.043203 | -9.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.045914 | -10.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.046976 | -10.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.046774 | -11.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.04738 | -11.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.052595 | -12.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.051529 | -13.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.057685 | -13.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.056269 | -13.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.055064 | -14.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.052398 | -15.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.054404 | -15.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.058357 | -15.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.062453 | -15.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.05905 | -15.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.061253 | -15.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.05359 | -16.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.056498 | -16.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.057373 | -16.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.05488 | -16.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.050467 | -17.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.056972 | -17.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.05498 | -17.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.048279 | -17.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.048659 | -18.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.048407 | -18.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.048874 | -18.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.049295 | -19.27% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.050589 | -18.42% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.057215 | -18.79% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.054808 | -17.90% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1509 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.053505 | -16.53% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.047022 | -14.05% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.039149 | -10.49% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.043336 | -11.71% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1744 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.043027 | -10.69% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2572 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.04527 | -10.44% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.2154 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.046114 | -9.75% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.047396 | -9.43% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.04682 | -8.87% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.049021 | -8.35% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1908 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.051171 | -7.52% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1786 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.052367 | -6.60% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.2133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.051498 | -6.60% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.2868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.052291 | -5.60% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.2108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.056568 | -4.16% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.2107 | ✗ | 1.00 |