FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s1

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +30d

assessed

242

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2457

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.2379

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004303	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004285	+0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004276	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003856	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003828	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003978	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004202	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004322	-0.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004686	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004753	+2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004635	+2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.005031	+4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.005037	+4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004897	+3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.00482	+3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005276	+5.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005706	+5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005894	+7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005571	+7.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005618	+6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005564	+5.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005518	+4.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005504	+4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005586	+4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.00555	+5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.006015	+5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006235	+3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006654	+1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006612	+3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.00655	+3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.00742	+1.88%	0.00429	-41.10%	0.5222	✗	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.007022	+1.95%	0.004269	-38.02%	0.4644	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006607	+0.81%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4596	✗	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006823	+1.94%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5805	✗	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006922	+0.47%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.6092	✗	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006291	+0.18%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.5217	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.006007	+1.01%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.4137	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.00611	+1.08%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.4315	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006471	+2.01%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3659	✗	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006475	+0.60%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.4188	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.00661	+1.38%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4377	✗	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006593	+2.22%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3974	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.00634	+3.04%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3564	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006634	+2.25%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3920	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007222	+1.04%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4870	✗	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007337	+2.23%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4413	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007481	+4.02%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3936	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007516	+5.18%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3922	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007637	+6.46%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4747	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007767	+9.10%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.4318	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007639	+8.37%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4812	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007604	+7.07%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4791	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007959	+9.24%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4809	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007925	+10.42%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4761	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.008409	+11.92%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.5362	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.008444	+13.16%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4729	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.010384	+10.96%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5882	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.010162	+10.25%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4977	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009867	+10.00%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4972	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.010056	+9.43%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.5236	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.010183	+8.88%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.4281	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.010041	+7.76%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4817	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010465	+7.81%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4995	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009306	+4.00%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.4173	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008571	+1.72%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3407	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007979	-1.09%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3737	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008113	-1.95%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4250	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008312	-3.10%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4535	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.00834	-2.91%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4309	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008301	-2.34%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3999	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008467	-2.42%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.4074	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008499	-2.34%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4322	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008685	-2.79%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4904	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008665	-2.66%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4491	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008714	-2.86%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3500	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00864	-2.40%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3435	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008529	-2.28%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3414	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008172	-2.11%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.3048	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007983	-2.35%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2754	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007971	-2.46%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.3014	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.00825	-2.95%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3174	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008152	-2.66%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2972	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008094	-2.62%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2897	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008149	-2.16%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.3014	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008111	-1.05%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2433	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008137	+0.87%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2580	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008433	+1.98%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0948	✗	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008454	+2.59%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.1021	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.009152	+4.22%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1756	✗	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.009048	+4.96%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.1587	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008983	+5.87%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.1279	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.009445	+6.06%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.1588	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009717	+5.61%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.1447	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009622	+4.48%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1515	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.009356	+3.99%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1520	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.00925	+3.78%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.1367	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.009328	+3.93%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.1161	✗	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.009324	+3.96%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0716	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009409	+3.76%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0828	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009726	+2.25%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.1157	✗	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009835	+2.13%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.1082	✗	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009596	+1.83%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.1105	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009916	+2.53%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.1020	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009937	+2.47%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.1117	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010279	+2.73%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1445	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009553	+3.01%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0955	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.00964	+3.07%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.1281	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009357	+3.70%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.1247	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.010296	+3.61%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.2371	✗	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009767	+2.82%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1831	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009796	+2.82%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1457	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.010166	+2.58%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.2049	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009576	+3.28%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1560	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.009182	+3.05%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.1290	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009343	+2.33%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1997	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009471	+2.20%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.2022	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.009088	+2.28%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1417	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010443	+0.45%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2761	✗	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011318	-0.60%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.3087	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012899	-2.97%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4529	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011692	-0.46%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3603	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.01192	-0.38%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3232	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012531	-0.87%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3366	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012306	-0.98%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3323	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012692	-1.09%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3561	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012376	-0.69%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3429	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012694	-1.09%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3702	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012616	-0.57%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3345	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012885	-1.00%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3289	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012969	-0.94%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2904	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012726	-0.91%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2696	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012609	-0.92%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2633	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012201	-0.25%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2348	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012365	-0.38%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2456	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.011147	+1.48%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1379	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011594	+0.97%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2399	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011443	+0.57%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1922	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011731	-0.15%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2626	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011721	+0.59%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.2010	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011352	+1.33%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.2072	✗	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012419	-0.64%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2581	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013747	-1.77%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.3142	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.01319	-1.60%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.3021	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014169	-2.48%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3860	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013498	-2.05%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2716	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013508	-1.78%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2852	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.01352	-1.33%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3220	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013655	-0.84%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1792	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014012	-0.52%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0976	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014744	-0.02%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0103	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015219	+0.49%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1602	✗	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015276	+0.57%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1603	✗	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015341	-0.38%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1383	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.01587	-0.25%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1889	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.01652	-0.14%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1961	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.016058	+1.06%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1844	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020803	-4.98%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4042	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016593	-1.25%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1966	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.01656	-1.15%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1767	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017097	-1.38%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.2043	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017821	-1.19%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2571	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019446	-1.78%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3462	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019306	-2.78%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3726	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019855	-2.80%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3854	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020549	-2.32%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5240	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021574	-2.29%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5209	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021227	-2.84%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5292	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021004	-2.52%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4924	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019738	-0.98%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4124	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.02018	+1.23%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4243	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.020021	+1.47%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3184	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.020019	+0.88%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.2129	✗	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.019536	+2.19%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2610	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018763	+1.87%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1869	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.018109	+2.87%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.2305	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017878	+2.53%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.2376	✗	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017931	+2.07%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2457	✗	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018722	+1.61%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2774	✗	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.019115	+1.93%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2734	✗	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019739	+1.28%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2620	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018335	-0.23%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1871	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.01846	-0.85%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1899	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.01849	-0.20%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1657	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018929	+1.08%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1444	✗	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019604	-0.71%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1829	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018982	-1.33%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1958	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019495	-2.69%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0806	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.01971	-0.69%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1741	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.020089	+0.97%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1853	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019314	-0.44%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1436	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018671	+0.29%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0849	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.01888	+0.31%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0343	✗	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017974	+0.75%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0417	✓	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016552	-1.39%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.0937	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017471	+0.47%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.0846	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.018003	-0.14%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.0964	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.01857	-2.13%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0554	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018504	-1.41%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0415	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018428	+0.09%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0199	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018011	-1.80%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0561	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018553	-2.71%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0879	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017118	-1.94%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0085	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016507	-1.47%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0017	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.01663	-1.56%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0451	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016472	-0.96%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0603	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016555	-1.28%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0506	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.01665	-1.37%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0630	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016361	-0.84%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0148	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016534	-0.75%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0151	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016841	-1.05%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0100	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017958	-1.81%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0868	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019112	-2.40%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.1004	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018091	-1.95%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0682	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018681	-2.02%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0845	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.01874	-2.11%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0546	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018984	-2.05%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0737	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019306	-2.08%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0048	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020356	-2.57%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0987	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.02065	-2.44%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1099	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022121	-2.42%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1462	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023196	-2.40%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2193	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023052	-2.60%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2194	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023232	-2.21%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.3046	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022692	-1.53%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2991	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023045	-1.70%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.3141	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.02285	-1.62%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2727	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022558	-1.61%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1966	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.02333	-2.46%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2530	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022582	-2.60%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2844	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022954	-2.51%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2462	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022217	-2.10%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1651	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021796	-1.90%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1714	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022236	-2.22%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.2033	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022773	-2.93%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2760	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023404	-3.46%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3304	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024202	-4.40%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4085	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.025263	-4.98%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.3992	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025654	-5.40%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4430	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.02808	-6.88%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5024	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026173	-5.72%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4028	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.026348	-6.66%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4521	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.025773	-6.19%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3954	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.024337	-5.19%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3323	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.024307	-5.41%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2981	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.025421	-6.35%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2809	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022574	-4.18%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1885	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023875	-5.06%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2680	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023358	-4.65%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1576	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022896	-4.48%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1229	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021428	-3.21%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0361	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022071	-3.89%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0163	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021547	-2.84%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020887	-0.76%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0556	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020355	-0.40%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020746	-1.05%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.0975	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022102	-2.11%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.022906	-2.21%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023545	-1.50%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025877	-2.98%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023712	-0.01%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0759	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.02591	-3.90%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026993	-5.29%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030578	-6.85%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2170	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.031048	-6.21%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1622	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.031335	-6.80%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1233	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.034083	-8.41%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0514	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.032309	-8.21%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.037611	-9.04%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.035536	-8.64%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1138	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.033107	-8.33%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0847	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.03229	-8.08%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1664	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.035274	-8.24%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0710	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.