FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s1

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +1d

assessed

271

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0346

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004271	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004248	-0.51%	0.00429	+0.48%	0.0069	✗	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004254	-0.53%	0.004269	-0.18%	0.0134	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.00384	-0.28%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0910	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003813	-0.31%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0125	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003989	-0.35%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0519	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.00426	-0.35%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0605	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004314	-0.33%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0006	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004669	-0.46%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0845	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004607	-0.40%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0427	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004514	-0.29%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0027	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004804	-0.36%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0295	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.00481	-0.41%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0093	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004724	-0.27%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0167	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004629	-0.31%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0099	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004978	-0.49%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0453	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.00539	-0.38%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0417	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005466	-0.58%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0073	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005173	-0.39%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0719	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005253	-0.54%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0374	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005237	-0.52%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0050	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005262	-0.29%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0055	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005256	-0.30%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0157	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005328	-0.33%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0092	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005234	-0.45%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0183	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005689	-0.61%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0641	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005997	-0.52%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0473	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006485	-0.59%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0780	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.00634	-0.82%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0331	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006266	-0.80%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0197	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007188	-1.30%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1056	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006847	-0.61%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0668	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006518	-0.56%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0185	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006628	-0.98%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0101	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006845	-0.66%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0275	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.00626	-0.31%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0332	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005943	-0.07%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0521	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006037	-0.13%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0228	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006327	-0.26%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0104	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006431	-0.09%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0322	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.00652	+0.01%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0066	✗	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006447	-0.04%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0105	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006155	+0.03%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0376	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006494	+0.08%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0304	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007142	-0.07%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0936	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007173	-0.06%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0057	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007189	-0.05%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0157	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007143	-0.04%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0002	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007169	-0.06%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0053	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007111	-0.11%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0304	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007038	-0.16%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0495	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007096	-0.09%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0052	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007274	-0.16%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0072	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007162	-0.21%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0043	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007488	-0.34%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0348	✓	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007428	-0.46%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0062	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.00927	-0.94%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1897	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009128	-0.96%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0111	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008891	-0.88%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0304	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009107	-0.91%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0100	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009242	-1.19%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0200	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009215	-1.10%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0070	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009569	-1.41%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008846	-1.15%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0351	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008369	-0.68%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0256	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008023	-0.55%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0067	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008242	-0.40%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0236	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008537	-0.48%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0500	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.00855	-0.46%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0054	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008462	-0.44%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0144	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008634	-0.49%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0103	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008658	-0.52%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008873	-0.68%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0179	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008833	-0.77%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0161	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008919	-0.57%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0096	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00879	-0.70%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0211	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.00866	-0.78%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0217	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008291	-0.68%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0438	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008141	-0.41%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0293	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008139	-0.40%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008458	-0.51%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0419	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008331	-0.52%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0206	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008277	-0.42%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0022	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008292	-0.45%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0032	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008167	-0.37%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0458	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008045	-0.27%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0076	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008245	-0.29%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0226	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.00822	-0.24%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0038	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008756	-0.29%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0391	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008598	-0.26%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0075	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008462	-0.27%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0156	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008873	-0.36%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0319	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009167	-0.36%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0157	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009182	-0.30%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0075	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008971	-0.29%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0108	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008887	-0.29%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0059	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008947	-0.31%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0026	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.00894	-0.32%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0060	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009033	-0.38%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0085	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009476	-0.37%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0338	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009591	-0.41%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0053	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009387	-0.39%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0045	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009626	-0.47%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0049	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009659	-0.40%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0018	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009959	-0.46%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0225	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009244	-0.33%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0685	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009321	-0.34%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0154	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008996	-0.31%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0514	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009887	-0.50%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0841	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009472	-0.28%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0436	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009501	-0.28%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0052	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009877	-0.33%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0425	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009245	-0.30%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0578	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008899	-0.13%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0243	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009122	-0.10%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0400	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009254	-0.15%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0057	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008879	-0.08%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0352	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010374	-0.22%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1498	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011352	-0.30%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0872	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013209	-0.64%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1518	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011707	-0.34%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1441	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011923	-0.35%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012583	-0.47%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0330	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012383	-0.36%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0113	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012782	-0.39%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0159	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012416	-0.37%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0238	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012783	-0.40%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0328	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012632	-0.44%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0354	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012961	-0.42%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0072	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013033	-0.44%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0069	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012789	-0.41%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0163	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012672	-0.42%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0027	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012189	-0.35%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0320	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012364	-0.38%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0105	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.01097	-0.14%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0999	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.01146	-0.19%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0396	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011367	-0.10%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0260	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011736	-0.10%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0284	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.01166	+0.07%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0205	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011222	+0.17%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0397	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012488	-0.09%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0816	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013966	-0.21%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1090	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013377	-0.20%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0701	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014457	-0.49%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0454	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013733	-0.34%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0726	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013708	-0.32%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0064	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013663	-0.29%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0040	✗	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013731	-0.29%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0012	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014047	-0.27%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0143	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014701	-0.31%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0332	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.01509	-0.36%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0152	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015127	-0.41%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0003	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015353	-0.31%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0120	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015856	-0.34%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0342	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016479	-0.38%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0269	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015825	-0.40%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0440	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.02157	-1.48%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3093	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016749	-0.32%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2688	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016707	-0.28%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0080	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017281	-0.31%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0276	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017969	-0.37%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0312	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019696	-0.51%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0795	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019754	-0.52%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0062	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020318	-0.53%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0175	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020915	-0.59%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0181	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021926	-0.70%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0391	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021698	-0.68%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0102	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021404	-0.66%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0183	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019821	-0.56%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0825	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019815	-0.60%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0161	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019609	-0.61%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0123	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019717	-0.64%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0079	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018972	-0.76%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0335	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018369	-0.27%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0410	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.01757	-0.19%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0432	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.01741	-0.15%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0072	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017538	-0.16%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0111	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018381	-0.24%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0394	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018692	-0.33%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019404	-0.44%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0206	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.01831	-0.37%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0520	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018538	-0.42%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0107	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018453	-0.40%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0174	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018652	-0.40%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0074	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.01965	-0.48%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0684	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019146	-0.48%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0254	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019918	-0.58%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0595	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019732	-0.58%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0388	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019789	-0.54%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0194	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019292	-0.55%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0073	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018518	-0.53%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0425	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018705	-0.63%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0128	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.01775	-0.50%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0620	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016709	-0.45%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0195	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.0173	-0.52%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0008	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017937	-0.50%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0321	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018874	-0.53%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0611	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018671	-0.52%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0070	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018318	-0.51%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0350	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018229	-0.61%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0308	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018945	-0.65%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0304	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.01737	-0.50%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0703	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016697	-0.33%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0400	✗	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016833	-0.35%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0057	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016579	-0.32%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0352	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016724	-0.27%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0040	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016841	-0.24%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0245	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016473	-0.17%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0137	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016632	-0.16%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016987	-0.19%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0191	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.01823	-0.32%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.0195	-0.42%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0318	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018391	-0.33%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0533	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018996	-0.36%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0248	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019085	-0.31%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0405	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019319	-0.32%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0050	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019644	-0.36%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0072	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020816	-0.37%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0619	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021086	-0.38%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0082	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022573	-0.42%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0307	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023657	-0.47%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0310	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023559	-0.46%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0166	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.02365	-0.45%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0196	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022952	-0.41%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0308	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023347	-0.42%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0183	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023131	-0.41%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0092	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022837	-0.39%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0137	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023811	-0.45%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0584	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023087	-0.42%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0013	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023432	-0.48%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0075	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.0226	-0.42%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0527	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022136	-0.37%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0637	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022654	-0.38%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0049	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023362	-0.42%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0925	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024136	-0.45%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0207	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025193	-0.48%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0902	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026444	-0.54%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0231	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026956	-0.59%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0329	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029897	-0.86%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0700	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027564	-0.71%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.0982	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027936	-1.03%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0793	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027299	-0.63%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0441	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025539	-0.51%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1325	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025563	-0.52%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0107	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026963	-0.66%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0476	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023468	-0.39%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1266	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.025021	-0.50%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0709	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024398	-0.41%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0504	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.02388	-0.38%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0521	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022098	-0.18%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0801	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022913	-0.22%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0160	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022163	-0.06%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0214	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021127	+0.38%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020547	+0.54%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.021076	+0.52%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022661	+0.36%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0591	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023525	+0.43%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0385	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.02405	+0.61%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026756	+0.32%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0944	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.024094	+1.60%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.027058	+0.36%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028516	+0.06%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032725	-0.31%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.033057	-0.14%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033538	-0.24%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036995	-0.59%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.035006	-0.55%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0659	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.040979	-0.90%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.038615	-0.73%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0679	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.035881	-0.65%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034938	-0.54%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0139	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.03817	-0.70%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0544	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.