ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s1

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0629

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0058

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.302343	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.302837	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.338783	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.313421	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309324	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.316899	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303595	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.316663	-2.29%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0617	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.289691	-2.00%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0239	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.303683	-2.35%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1373	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313319	-2.54%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0203	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.317219	-2.77%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0214	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.316756	-2.90%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0469	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286082	-2.76%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0961	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.298745	-2.88%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0746	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.289065	-2.93%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0499	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.311494	-3.01%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0355	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.304015	-3.12%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1169	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.314169	-3.17%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0798	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.296325	-3.22%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1234	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.314851	-3.27%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0385	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.31867	-3.27%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0119	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.320112	-3.41%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0680	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.32403	-3.53%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0370	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.31205	-3.57%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0288	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.319264	-3.57%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0147	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.316235	-3.53%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0372	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.326483	-3.62%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0093	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.327376	-3.60%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0007	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.334636	-3.78%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0028	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.328561	-3.45%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0619	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.312544	-3.37%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0831	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.267685	-3.33%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1661	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.272366	-3.30%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1405	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.276712	-3.30%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1572	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.248024	-2.04%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2080	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.245211	-1.56%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2407	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.240595	-0.60%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2077	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.263481	-1.91%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1040	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257659	-0.79%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0175	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.259669	-0.36%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0315	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.256562	+0.65%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0630	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.259589	+1.40%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0225	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.255007	+2.25%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0051	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.259063	+2.72%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0292	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.233358	+5.35%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1534	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.273556	+3.38%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0082	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.271545	+4.72%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0094	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.268651	+5.85%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0228	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.280566	+6.52%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0355	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.275192	+5.62%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.1111	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.2652	+5.41%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0640	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.270896	+4.84%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.2083	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.25592	+3.65%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.257909	+2.88%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0151	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.26079	+1.75%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0508	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.262595	+1.55%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0096	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264306	+0.69%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0087	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263072	+0.26%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0293	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.267215	-0.03%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0279	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.265781	-0.34%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0728	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269182	-0.63%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0872	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.265968	-0.57%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241114	-0.74%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0266	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214319	-0.55%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0868	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199284	-1.05%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1084	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200395	-1.09%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1136	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202496	-1.27%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0856	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200112	-1.18%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1237	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204433	-1.24%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0734	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206428	-1.23%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0347	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212992	-1.35%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0682	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218446	-1.42%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0971	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.234061	-1.74%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1520	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.232068	-1.58%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0953	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234871	-1.65%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1220	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231917	-1.56%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0871	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.230348	-1.60%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0856	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222329	-1.32%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0128	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.21914	-1.29%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0184	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213637	-1.19%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1027	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211722	-1.11%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0887	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200275	-0.85%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1465	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202752	-0.90%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1218	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205568	-0.84%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1362	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206511	-0.91%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0772	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205646	-0.85%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0737	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199331	-0.68%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0844	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.207069	-0.69%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0584	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213707	-0.74%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0345	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214847	-0.67%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0312	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218945	-0.62%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0501	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.217049	-0.48%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0102	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222374	-0.50%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0328	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218765	-0.47%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0651	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219574	-0.47%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0608	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220123	-0.44%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0154	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220081	-0.46%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0199	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.219055	-0.43%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0115	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.219165	-0.38%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0232	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.21238	-0.24%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0306	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.209728	-0.27%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0044	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.22072	-0.35%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0137	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.219511	-0.31%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0065	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.218347	-0.25%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0157	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217656	-0.25%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0025	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220905	-0.31%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0392	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220952	-0.25%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0606	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.222585	-0.23%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0321	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.215669	-0.11%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0246	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.212784	-0.05%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0252	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.212696	-0.05%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0077	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.207951	+0.02%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0256	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.203587	+0.09%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0541	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.191138	+0.39%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0853	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.20277	+0.13%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0486	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.202972	+0.13%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0107	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.204975	+0.09%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0013	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.205268	+0.08%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0044	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.212299	-0.05%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0437	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.219628	-0.21%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0641	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.220927	-0.26%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0978	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.220456	-0.25%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0386	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.217301	-0.18%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0232	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.217194	-0.19%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0055	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.214055	-0.11%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0004	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.213335	-0.08%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0348	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.219251	-0.25%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0449	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224773	-0.37%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0203	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.232113	-0.51%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0219	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.225546	-0.38%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0064	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.221561	-0.24%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0156	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.221687	-0.19%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0331	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.220295	-0.14%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0230	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.211164	+0.41%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0044	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21685	+0.30%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0066	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.212942	+0.26%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0532	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.213324	+0.29%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0311	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.211986	+1.14%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0038	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.217024	+1.13%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0065	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.227644	+0.15%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0287	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.236805	+0.00%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0917	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.251211	-0.79%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1021	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.266968	-1.60%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1707	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.271063	-1.68%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1710	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.267782	-1.59%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1630	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.259599	-1.44%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1111	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.255969	-1.32%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0564	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.266307	-1.40%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0525	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.279533	-1.54%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0453	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274595	-1.33%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0347	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.280939	-1.46%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0068	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281016	-1.43%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0121	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.279554	-1.36%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0447	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.278324	-1.23%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0412	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.284998	-1.35%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0313	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.283909	-1.28%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0065	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.281715	-1.15%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.280501	-1.06%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0193	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.286074	-1.12%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0066	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.300224	-1.37%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0315	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.303608	-1.20%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0493	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.303281	-1.28%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0353	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.306041	-1.18%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0351	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.317953	-1.26%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0743	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.3092	-0.90%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0514	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306177	-0.88%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0377	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.306915	-0.80%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0001	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.306148	-0.63%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0040	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.314212	-0.53%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0033	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.316877	-0.48%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0200	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.301108	+0.10%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0546	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.299413	+0.27%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0179	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.302379	+0.39%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0084	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.303989	+0.49%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0046	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.298271	+0.53%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0061	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.298525	+0.51%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0163	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.305946	+0.47%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0073	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.306883	+0.68%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0377	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.314263	+0.79%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0503	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.318415	+0.45%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0630	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.314372	+0.47%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0440	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.316676	+0.60%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0509	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.320966	+0.43%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0598	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.315717	+0.04%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0360	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315849	-0.14%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0466	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.317378	-0.63%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0545	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323701	-0.43%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0354	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.329559	-0.34%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0546	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.320737	-0.61%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0421	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.314227	-0.62%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0083	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.309021	-0.73%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0045	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304983	-0.69%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0252	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.297154	-1.25%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0466	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311495	-1.05%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0216	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302453	-1.00%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0569	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.296429	-1.16%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0579	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296961	-1.28%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0325	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295725	-1.16%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0330	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294807	-1.50%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0070	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.29191	-1.48%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0150	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.292255	-1.43%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0233	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.282622	-1.11%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0247	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285381	-0.94%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0062	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.291588	-0.85%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0048	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.278154	-0.45%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0403	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.274503	-0.14%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0670	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.271268	+0.14%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0599	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.280622	+0.15%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0459	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.28644	+0.19%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0080	✗	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.290616	+0.25%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0089	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.295523	+0.31%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0245	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.294234	+0.35%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0303	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.297487	+0.37%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0404	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.286809	+0.46%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0391	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.289593	+0.45%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0085	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.290815	+0.45%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0217	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.30062	+0.37%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0256	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.31571	+0.29%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0697	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.330053	+0.26%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0876	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.335952	+0.25%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0897	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.326961	+0.26%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0900	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.317138	+0.33%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0740	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.324087	+0.27%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1088	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.317488	+0.31%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0527	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.319576	+0.27%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0245	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.322636	+0.23%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0152	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.321788	+0.18%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0175	✗	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.321541	+0.11%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0500	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.319413	+0.16%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0478	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.320456	+0.17%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0182	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.315683	+0.28%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0060	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.324403	+0.22%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0055	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.330957	+0.08%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0448	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.337646	+0.01%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0458	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.345221	-0.14%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0745	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.354645	-0.24%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1097	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.346727	-0.16%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1069	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.354617	-0.25%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1575	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.358794	-0.31%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1551	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.317388	+0.28%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0043	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.298795	+0.57%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0784	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.29569	+0.51%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1761	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.305236	+0.37%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1628	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.306223	+0.37%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1500	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.311911	+0.36%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1249	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.321678	+0.27%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0944	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.329709	+0.12%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0015	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.329785	+0.09%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0552	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.332465	+0.08%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1089	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.372906	-0.51%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1836	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.369457	-0.36%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1821	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.36243	+0.09%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1625	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.361116	+0.14%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1112	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.378871	-0.24%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1247	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.383121	-0.33%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1365	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.394058	-0.36%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1539	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.400677	-0.08%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0729	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.406558	-0.18%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0728	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.37144	+4.28%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0623	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.367106	+0.66%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0680	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.366367	+0.40%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1352	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.358312	+0.28%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2043	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.349544	+1.08%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2204	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.364787	+0.63%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2345	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.388457	-0.42%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2403	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.405913	-0.63%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1944	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.420125	-0.91%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0823	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.427681	-0.93%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0214	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.422459	-0.83%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0440	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.425181	-0.77%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0747	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.429785	-0.90%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0292	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.429034	-0.94%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0222	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.433572	-0.94%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0075	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.443935	-1.13%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0433	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.427976	-1.07%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0023	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.449082	-1.13%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0056	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.458461	-0.96%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0296	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.470971	-0.64%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0025	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.477067	-0.51%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0154	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.488121	-0.53%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0264	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.508147	-0.50%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0226	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.4573	-0.26%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0375	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.444378	-0.70%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0032	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.449124	-0.77%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0073	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.450261	-0.82%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0127	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.456521	-0.89%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0235	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.449014	-0.79%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0243	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.454905	-0.83%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0308	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.479982	-0.91%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0705	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.494532	-0.99%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0594	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.486549	-1.01%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0627	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.481929	-0.96%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0562	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.487528	-0.97%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0656	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.479108	-0.85%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0931	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.463529	-0.62%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0697	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.492329	-0.72%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0976	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.47356	-0.51%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0503	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.475921	-0.48%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0237	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.43135	-0.03%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0782	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.428457	+0.04%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.0984	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.431409	+0.03%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0893	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.442413	-0.06%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0545	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.44532	-0.11%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0927	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.464325	-0.25%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0471	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.474509	-0.31%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0194	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.49361	-0.48%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1265	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.485101	-0.41%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1121	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.452348	-0.10%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0742	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.462049	-0.18%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0643	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.454562	-0.14%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0129	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.450028	-0.10%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0004	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.474102	-0.34%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0031	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.475153	-0.35%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0723	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.479756	-0.38%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0485	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.492987	-0.45%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0235	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.511849	-0.57%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0109	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.517767	-0.60%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0554	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520769	-0.67%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0790	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.530474	-0.73%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0745	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521943	-0.66%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1056	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.501803	-0.48%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0555	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.50765	-0.46%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0317	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.516794	-0.48%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0176	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.534978	-0.65%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0484	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.499005	-0.32%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0225	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.537876	-0.65%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.544379	-0.68%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0105	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.578722	-0.97%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1129	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.596089	-1.13%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1682	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.609994	-1.28%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2074	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.616497	-1.34%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2014	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.597168	-1.15%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1424	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.611867	-1.31%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1833	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.530382	-0.08%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0689	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.457034	+1.16%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1500	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.456479	+1.13%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.1997	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.473993	+0.36%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2819	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.509775	-0.12%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.2983	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.501648	+0.13%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2507	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.51337	-0.12%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3153	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.519011	-0.25%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2101	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.520642	-0.16%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0223	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.563211	-0.83%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0016	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.590637	-1.07%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0597	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.613802	-1.22%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0249	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.615216	-1.22%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0170	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.633249	-1.32%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0390	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.632461	-1.27%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0842	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.635386	-1.32%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0525	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.608826	-1.05%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0425	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.635219	-1.35%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0270	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.567353	-0.74%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0679	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.556708	-0.89%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1214	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.6023	-1.23%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1550	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.620302	-1.34%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1567	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.616419	-1.33%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1440	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.621191	-1.45%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1052	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.601005	-1.31%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1701	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.596044	-1.15%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1471	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.680439	-1.39%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0737	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.730222	-1.57%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1189	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.66901	-1.44%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0376	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.673502	-1.38%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0527	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.655019	-1.28%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0109	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.609271	-0.96%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0368	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.626606	-0.93%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1048	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.658909	-1.08%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0052	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.665727	-1.10%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0223	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.619139	-0.57%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0268	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.610402	-0.36%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0452	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.622194	-0.48%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0362	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.649528	-0.79%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0079	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.670027	-0.90%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0097	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.692182	-0.99%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0286	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.698811	-1.07%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0553	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.613159	-0.56%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0650	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.582978	-0.62%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1455	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674897	-1.00%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1012	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.705017	-1.05%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0842	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.696078	-1.22%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0741	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.728795	-0.98%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0723	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705963	-1.14%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1024	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.711748	-1.35%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0003	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.721864	-1.49%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0933	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.732846	-1.74%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0855	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.713668	-1.97%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0583	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.672385	-2.10%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0432	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.677928	-2.17%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0510	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.693858	-2.20%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1290	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.680759	-2.04%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1243	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.669066	-1.98%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0891	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.681407	-1.97%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0790	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.721282	-2.19%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0685	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.700653	-2.10%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0509	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.731764	-2.05%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0798	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.769726	-1.87%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0327	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.790815	-1.69%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0372	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.789037	-1.59%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0526	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.801117	-1.46%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0181	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.