ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s1

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0954

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0400

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.29545	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.320371	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.295542	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.291234	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.297497	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.283654	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.295782	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.268135	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.28156	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.289708	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.293764	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.292647	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.260999	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.273319	-11.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.263335	-11.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.286447	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.279157	-11.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.290521	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.271344	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.290018	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.293815	-10.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.295063	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.299627	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.288106	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.295969	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.292751	-10.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.303047	-10.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.304354	-10.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.312714	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.308447	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.294596	-8.92%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1414	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.24966	-9.84%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.3054	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.254623	-9.60%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.2207	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.259413	-9.34%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1808	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.231313	-8.64%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2694	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.228473	-8.28%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2325	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.223017	-7.86%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2860	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.247054	-8.02%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1375	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.239696	-7.70%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1825	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.241543	-7.31%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2300	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.237462	-6.84%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2377	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.238664	-6.77%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2331	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.234962	-5.79%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1703	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.238401	-5.47%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.2126	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.211777	-4.39%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2846	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.25283	-4.45%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1782	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.250317	-3.46%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1567	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.248033	-2.27%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1908	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.262146	-0.48%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1161	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.256333	-1.62%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1492	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.249921	-0.67%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1828	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259235	+0.32%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1814	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246582	-0.13%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2330	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.251894	+0.48%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1851	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.256197	-0.04%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1737	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.263743	+1.99%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1654	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.265327	+1.08%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1794	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.265114	+1.03%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1718	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.271669	+1.63%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1766	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.270358	+1.37%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1212	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.274374	+1.28%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0413	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.277575	+3.77%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0404	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241648	-0.52%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0445	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.208281	-3.35%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1812	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.191479	-4.93%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1369	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.192459	-5.01%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1149	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.194189	-5.32%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0555	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.191793	-5.29%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1447	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.195961	-5.33%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.1038	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.197945	-5.29%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0956	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.204296	-5.37%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0441	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.209571	-5.43%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0353	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.224709	-5.66%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0731	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.223241	-5.33%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0484	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.225997	-5.36%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.1963	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.223285	-5.23%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0194	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.221635	-5.32%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0349	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.213986	-5.02%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0158	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.210675	-5.10%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0115	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.205167	-5.10%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0657	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.20337	-5.01%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0342	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.19207	-4.92%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.1001	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.194568	-4.90%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0525	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.198109	-4.43%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0671	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.198736	-4.64%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0778	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.197907	-4.58%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0631	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.191561	-4.55%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1230	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.200037	-4.06%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1105	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.206251	-4.20%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0731	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.207425	-4.10%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0791	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.212122	-3.71%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0934	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.21104	-3.24%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0835	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.216848	-2.98%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0296	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.212549	-3.30%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0405	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.213104	-3.40%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0565	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.213886	-3.26%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0499	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.213485	-3.44%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0257	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.212606	-3.36%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0385	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.213378	-3.01%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0065	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.206903	-2.82%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0315	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.203303	-3.33%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0434	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.214871	-2.99%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0338	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.213922	-2.85%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1056	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.213124	-2.64%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0913	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.212201	-2.75%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0943	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.215272	-2.86%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0528	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.215947	-2.51%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0674	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.218031	-2.27%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0244	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.211161	-2.19%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0439	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.208284	-2.17%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0322	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.208116	-2.20%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0155	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.203216	-2.25%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0231	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.198686	-2.32%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.18635	-2.13%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0272	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.197998	-2.22%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0055	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.198193	-2.22%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0088	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20021	-2.24%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0442	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.20056	-2.21%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0268	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.207436	-2.34%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0203	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21474	-2.44%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0299	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.216381	-2.31%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0103	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.216133	-2.20%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0159	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.213026	-2.15%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0097	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.213098	-2.07%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0192	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.209964	-2.02%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0350	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209239	-2.00%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0324	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.21523	-2.08%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0333	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.220723	-2.16%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0182	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.22785	-2.34%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0169	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.221172	-2.31%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0298	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.21682	-2.38%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0046	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.21651	-2.52%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0203	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.214754	-2.65%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0225	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.205368	-2.35%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0318	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.210286	-2.74%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0191	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.206124	-2.95%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0825	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.205942	-3.18%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0726	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.203558	-2.88%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0539	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.20778	-3.18%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0082	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.218135	-4.03%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0163	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.226436	-4.38%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0464	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.240325	-5.08%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0950	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.255897	-5.68%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1479	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.259734	-5.79%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2017	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.256232	-5.83%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1486	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.247935	-5.87%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1111	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.243928	-5.96%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0849	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.253481	-6.15%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1185	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.265986	-6.31%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1255	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.261127	-6.17%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0327	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.267303	-6.24%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0712	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.267323	-6.24%	0.221	-22.48%	0.0950	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.265613	-6.28%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1052	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.264731	-6.06%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.0931	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.271176	-6.13%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1282	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.26985	-6.17%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1281	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.267639	-6.09%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1013	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.26662	-5.95%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0787	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.272512	-5.80%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0680	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.287403	-5.58%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1351	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.292999	-4.65%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1469	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.291484	-5.12%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1445	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.295637	-4.54%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1579	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.309521	-3.88%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2202	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.301641	-3.32%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1640	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.297033	-3.84%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1902	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.297441	-3.87%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1972	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.296575	-3.74%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1871	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.306961	-2.83%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1498	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.309048	-2.94%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1758	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.291507	-3.09%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0896	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.288248	-3.47%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0451	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.291414	-3.25%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0203	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.292526	-3.30%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0267	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.285062	-3.92%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0278	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.285138	-3.99%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0615	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.293203	-3.71%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1016	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.295368	-3.09%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0669	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.304656	-2.29%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0500	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.308023	-2.83%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.0986	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.304033	-2.83%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0608	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.307436	-2.34%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0637	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.311794	-2.44%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0755	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.304764	-3.43%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0870	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.304574	-3.71%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0646	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.304828	-4.56%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0808	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.312601	-3.84%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1016	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.320521	-3.08%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1251	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.310531	-3.77%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0929	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.304474	-3.71%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0317	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.299395	-3.82%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0251	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.295854	-3.66%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0000	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.286608	-4.75%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0001	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.301887	-4.10%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0018	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.293201	-4.03%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0081	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.286935	-4.32%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0052	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.287361	-4.47%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0029	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.286624	-4.20%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0092	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.284489	-4.95%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0019	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.281752	-4.91%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0249	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.281425	-5.08%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0391	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.271673	-4.94%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0037	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.274052	-4.88%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0052	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.280347	-4.68%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0092	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.267033	-4.43%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0358	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.262754	-4.42%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0436	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.259247	-4.30%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0692	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.268481	-4.18%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0302	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.274206	-4.09%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0207	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.279311	-3.65%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0491	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.286076	-2.89%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0365	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.284412	-3.00%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0346	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.288129	-2.79%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0405	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.275901	-3.36%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0591	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.279257	-3.14%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0632	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.281617	-2.72%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0964	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.291447	-2.69%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0577	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.307986	-2.16%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0190	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.325754	-1.05%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0202	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333191	-0.57%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0519	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.322438	-1.12%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0469	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.311028	-1.60%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0412	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.317985	-1.61%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0535	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.311144	-1.69%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0111	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.313171	-1.73%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0499	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.316187	-1.77%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0695	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.314611	-2.05%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0694	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.313531	-2.39%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1027	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.311977	-2.17%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0567	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.313493	-2.00%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0650	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.309887	-1.56%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0089	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.319677	-1.24%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0570	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.324288	-1.94%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1029	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.331076	-1.93%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1110	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.337488	-2.38%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2170	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.346925	-2.41%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2300	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.338998	-2.39%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2254	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.347097	-2.36%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2004	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.351189	-2.42%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1866	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.310065	-2.03%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1171	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.291625	-1.84%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0579	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.288516	-1.93%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0141	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.297932	-2.03%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0348	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.298766	-2.08%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0439	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.304204	-2.12%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0754	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.313678	-2.22%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1257	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.321509	-2.37%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0981	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.321389	-2.46%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0472	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.32381	-2.53%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0396	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.362722	-3.22%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1331	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.358852	-3.22%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1391	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.351086	-3.04%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1609	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.349533	-3.07%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1235	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.36624	-3.57%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1656	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.369998	-3.75%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1505	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.379431	-4.06%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1608	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.38413	-4.21%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1696	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.388994	-4.49%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1392	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.346045	-2.85%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1295	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.350499	-3.89%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0216	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.349675	-4.17%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0370	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.341688	-4.37%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0379	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.331494	-4.14%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1246	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.346385	-4.45%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1207	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.370902	-4.92%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1991	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.387904	-5.04%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1674	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.403481	-4.84%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1889	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.410731	-4.86%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1615	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.405056	-4.92%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1621	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.406663	-5.10%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0847	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.412396	-4.91%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0355	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.411863	-4.90%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0060	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.416584	-4.82%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0092	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.426422	-5.03%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0104	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.409698	-5.29%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0585	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.432679	-4.74%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1074	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.442074	-4.50%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1110	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.454831	-4.04%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0719	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.461242	-3.81%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0806	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.472673	-3.67%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1607	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.494802	-3.11%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1368	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.443368	-3.30%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2382	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.428231	-4.31%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2123	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.433086	-4.31%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2176	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.43433	-4.33%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1965	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.440876	-4.28%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2338	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.433865	-4.14%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2820	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.44001	-4.07%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2858	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.467189	-3.55%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2911	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.482138	-3.48%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0729	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.472589	-3.85%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0106	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.467469	-3.93%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0678	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.472651	-3.99%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0893	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.463883	-4.00%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0751	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.448888	-3.75%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0852	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.477994	-3.61%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0946	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.459813	-3.40%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1134	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.462089	-3.37%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0875	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.41671	-3.43%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0153	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.413274	-3.51%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0476	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.416676	-3.39%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0108	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.42783	-3.36%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0161	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.430861	-3.35%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0153	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.450536	-3.21%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0157	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.460926	-3.17%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0584	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.479201	-3.39%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1176	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.470601	-3.39%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0998	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.437682	-3.34%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0637	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.447267	-3.38%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0675	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.44002	-3.33%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0059	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.435192	-3.40%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0028	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.45947	-3.41%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1080	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.461055	-3.30%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0438	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.465657	-3.31%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0373	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.47985	-3.10%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0231	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.498081	-3.25%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0554	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.504224	-3.20%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0832	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.506195	-3.45%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1080	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.515875	-3.47%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1127	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.507466	-3.41%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0852	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.488024	-3.21%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0258	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.494437	-3.05%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.503795	-2.99%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0306	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.521183	-3.22%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0344	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.485476	-3.02%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0605	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.523689	-3.27%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0226	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.529837	-3.33%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0470	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.562395	-3.77%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1133	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.578555	-4.04%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2368	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.590605	-4.42%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2703	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.594603	-4.85%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3185	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.576844	-4.51%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2535	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.588946	-5.01%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2893	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.512817	-3.39%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1618	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.440878	-2.42%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0172	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.439557	-2.62%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0909	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.457025	-3.23%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1214	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.491888	-3.63%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0448	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.483176	-3.56%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0579	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.494337	-3.83%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0255	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.499792	-3.94%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0523	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.501468	-3.84%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0555	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.543684	-4.26%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0228	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.570846	-4.38%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0141	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.593666	-4.46%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0156	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.595801	-4.34%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0774	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.612598	-4.54%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0331	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.610718	-4.66%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0441	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.61364	-4.70%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0792	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.587336	-4.54%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0934	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.612959	-4.81%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0479	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.546186	-4.45%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0802	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.535565	-4.65%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1916	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.580568	-4.79%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2474	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.597949	-4.89%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2362	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.594101	-4.90%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2350	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.599947	-4.82%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2111	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.579466	-4.85%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3436	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.573429	-4.90%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4255	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.656017	-4.93%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3412	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.703809	-5.13%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3481	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.643619	-5.18%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3324	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.647848	-5.13%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3669	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.629703	-5.09%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2661	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.584461	-5.00%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1225	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.600134	-5.12%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0785	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.631441	-5.20%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0202	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.636772	-5.40%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0351	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.589683	-5.30%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0800	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.580014	-5.32%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0743	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.591435	-5.40%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0707	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.619016	-5.45%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0789	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.638338	-5.59%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0838	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.659612	-5.65%	0.597	-14.60%	0.1026	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.664761	-5.89%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1123	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.576022	-6.58%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1451	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.545863	-6.94%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2847	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.643598	-5.59%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2579	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.676009	-5.12%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2133	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.66406	-5.77%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1869	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.706542	-4.00%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1718	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.682156	-4.47%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1055	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.687063	-4.77%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0030	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.697326	-4.84%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0117	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.706504	-5.27%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0173	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.68373	-6.08%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0265	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.636819	-7.28%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0648	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.641479	-7.43%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0074	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.657505	-7.33%	0.603	-15.01%	0.0969	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.642265	-7.57%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0065	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.629521	-7.78%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0927	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.642288	-7.60%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0153	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.68494	-7.11%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0319	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.663699	-7.27%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0289	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.697768	-6.60%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0431	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.738642	-5.83%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0437	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.760769	-5.42%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0545	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.759322	-5.30%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0120	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.773277	-4.89%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0635	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.737488	-5.21%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0301	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.