EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s1
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +7d
assessed
25
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4478
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0159
actual -0.4493
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002494 | +1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002464 | +1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002881 | +0.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003028 | +0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003071 | +1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002955 | +2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003349 | +1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002736 | +3.36% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.1253 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.00356 | +1.47% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.3821 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.00418 | +0.73% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3827 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005135 | -1.81% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5154 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005028 | -0.94% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.4874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005114 | -0.66% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5561 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005527 | -1.07% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006091 | -2.30% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.8128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.0058 | -2.22% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004372 | +1.08% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004898 | +0.43% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005401 | +0.37% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.0067 | -1.24% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007027 | -1.49% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.1914 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006541 | -0.36% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006886 | -0.64% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1716 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008872 | -1.96% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012426 | -3.37% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013069 | -3.51% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8911 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013501 | -3.63% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6930 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.012964 | -3.25% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.6028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.018543 | -5.78% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016484 | -5.37% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8364 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.012855 | -3.71% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.3140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011393 | -2.92% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 1.00 |