EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s1
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
37.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1376
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0037
actual -0.0556
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.002102 | 0.002117 | +0.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002055 | 0.002076 | +1.00% | 0.002102 | +2.26% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002443 | +0.77% | 0.002055 | -15.22% | 0.1931 | ✗ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.00287 | +0.51% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1915 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003021 | +0.52% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003053 | +0.70% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002924 | +1.00% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003338 | +0.76% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1297 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002687 | +1.53% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.1990 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003543 | +0.96% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2693 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004183 | +0.78% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1982 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005242 | +0.24% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2100 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005102 | +0.51% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005182 | +0.67% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005621 | +0.61% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0983 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006255 | +0.34% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0938 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005957 | +0.42% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004381 | +1.30% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004935 | +1.19% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1232 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.00545 | +1.27% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006832 | +0.69% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007167 | +0.47% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006631 | +1.01% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006984 | +0.78% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0609 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009034 | -0.18% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012787 | -0.57% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013464 | -0.60% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013921 | -0.63% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013325 | -0.56% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019438 | -1.23% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3721 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017226 | -1.11% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013256 | -0.71% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011666 | -0.58% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0700 | ✗ | 1.00 |