EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s1
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
51.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1339
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002469 | +0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002431 | +0.27% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002858 | +0.09% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1873 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003006 | +0.05% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0480 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003036 | +0.16% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002905 | +0.34% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003316 | +0.08% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1230 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002663 | +0.62% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2079 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003518 | +0.25% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2623 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004154 | +0.11% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1915 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.0052 | -0.56% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2020 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.00506 | -0.32% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005136 | -0.24% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005564 | -0.41% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006186 | -0.77% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005882 | -0.85% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004331 | +0.15% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3169 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004877 | +0.00% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005382 | +0.01% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006755 | -0.43% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007098 | -0.50% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006557 | -0.13% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006922 | -0.12% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009013 | -0.41% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2649 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012744 | -0.90% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013417 | -0.94% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013869 | -1.01% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013299 | -0.75% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0556 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019255 | -2.16% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017037 | -2.20% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1656 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013169 | -1.35% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011617 | -1.01% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 1.00 |