DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

28.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4646

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0869

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.33423	-13.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.343914	-13.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.343821	-13.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.326858	-14.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.340961	-15.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.323779	-16.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.341746	-16.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.349388	-16.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.369722	-17.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.358472	-18.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.403818	-18.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.437527	-18.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.420203	-18.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.356808	-18.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.308697	-17.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.337081	-17.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.340022	-17.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.343642	-17.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.315666	-17.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.325984	-17.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.325207	-17.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.319515	-18.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.314065	-17.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.305259	-17.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.35767	-17.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.341602	-17.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.365323	-17.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.373224	-17.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.396655	-18.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.361388	-17.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.338423	-16.29%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1972	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.324045	-17.23%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1739	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.360911	-19.17%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0887	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.251558	-14.78%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3962	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.218183	-14.47%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5212	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.208565	-14.72%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5205	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.127079	-7.28%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0616	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.132452	-6.05%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0869	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.133908	-6.72%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1035	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.141713	-5.47%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0563	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.142321	-4.16%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1384	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.141161	-4.43%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2298	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.148992	-3.31%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1698	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.157351	-4.01%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9658	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.153201	-2.73%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8198	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.16279	-1.42%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8304	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.169618	-1.52%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7887	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149837	+0.13%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9033	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.160065	+0.95%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8165	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140368	-2.33%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9039	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.139635	-2.24%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9014	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.151134	-1.70%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8701	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.152462	-2.47%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8241	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.167737	-2.42%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7198	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.165912	-2.08%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8761	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175245	-0.71%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8034	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165906	-0.60%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9192	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147317	-0.49%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0497	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159996	-2.33%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0434	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.128529	-1.95%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1241	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.110256	-2.72%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1917	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.11739	-1.25%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1723	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09167	-6.91%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.5128	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.089907	-8.90%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0769	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.085029	-9.04%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9790	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.086792	-9.37%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.9151	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.091967	-11.15%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2450	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.084534	-9.08%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3311	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.084371	-9.02%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3654	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.086128	-9.32%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3899	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.088884	-9.89%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3486	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.088382	-9.48%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3578	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.085118	-8.83%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.4224	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.087887	-9.46%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4657	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.087967	-9.65%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.4187	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.087471	-9.72%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4585	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.087987	-10.04%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4899	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.090545	-10.24%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.3274	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.091487	-10.02%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3494	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.087888	-9.54%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.3284	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.089888	-9.84%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2989	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.094448	-10.69%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2917	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.102634	-12.04%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2347	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.085863	-9.21%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4788	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.088137	-8.84%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4243	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.093755	-9.12%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3645	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.095906	-9.38%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.3001	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.103602	-9.58%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1508	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.102706	-9.65%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2332	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.103965	-9.58%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0114	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.107697	-9.59%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1397	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.1102	-9.37%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1143	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.108982	-9.14%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2059	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.111413	-9.94%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.1932	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.110669	-10.08%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1688	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.113539	-9.96%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1644	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.116482	-10.35%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.0974	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.121202	-10.41%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2503	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.131087	-10.12%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3131	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.138435	-10.80%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3474	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.105781	-9.51%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0827	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.112142	-9.07%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1364	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.11285	-9.01%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1910	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.107858	-8.38%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1127	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.104561	-8.58%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0889	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.099705	-8.57%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0547	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.101624	-8.07%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0474	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.10463	-7.94%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0422	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.103204	-8.00%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0194	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.099179	-7.89%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0241	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.101143	-8.31%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0239	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.10215	-8.88%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0210	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.097438	-9.21%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1506	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.101658	-10.52%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1531	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.095854	-9.30%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0464	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.091979	-9.53%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0511	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.079879	-8.52%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2263	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.075898	-8.51%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.3266	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.075905	-8.59%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3298	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.075683	-8.57%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3686	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.07884	-8.50%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3750	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.079911	-8.44%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3869	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.082924	-8.67%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.3185	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.089782	-8.88%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.3053	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.086502	-9.07%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3338	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.085341	-9.28%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3604	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.08865	-9.47%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3909	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.090711	-9.68%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4282	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.091907	-9.89%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4856	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.090574	-10.21%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5495	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.090221	-10.47%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2932	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.091139	-10.80%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2993	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.092647	-11.21%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2883	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.087875	-10.88%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2497	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.093042	-11.44%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1825	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.09756	-12.42%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1245	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.091388	-11.83%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1899	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.081552	-10.90%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2814	✗	1.00