DCR

Decred · native · gru_s1

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

73.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0612

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0194

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.3188	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3188	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1149	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.0883	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.059	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.3638	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.678	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.62	-3.30%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0660	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.8188	-3.34%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0685	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.8254	-3.11%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0875	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.1379	-3.28%	14.454	-13.38%	0.0936	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.4171	-2.81%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1158	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.9806	-2.88%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1309	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.8987	-2.76%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1152	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.5557	-2.95%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0673	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.7988	-3.04%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0618	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.9417	-3.19%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0575	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8237	-2.89%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0403	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8035	-2.69%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0355	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7853	-2.57%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0012	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7215	-2.47%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0098	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9465	-2.64%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0106	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6825	-2.39%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0196	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4431	-2.10%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0392	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.1166	-2.17%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0061	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8876	-2.11%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0195	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.368	-1.88%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0458	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8561	-2.25%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0131	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7955	-2.62%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0431	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.1684	-2.99%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0229	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.522	-2.50%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0455	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.9057	-2.29%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0585	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.1013	-2.30%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0349	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3191	-2.37%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0107	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.4885	-2.16%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0192	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.4775	-1.33%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0808	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7076	-0.30%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1307	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5973	-0.57%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0030	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2879	-0.27%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0189	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.135	+0.48%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0437	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	16.0166	+0.90%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0665	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.7321	+1.12%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0707	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.7368	+1.56%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0444	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5131	+0.89%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1444	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0722	+1.79%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0468	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.8105	+1.27%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0049	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.0776	+1.17%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0233	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7749	+1.40%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0290	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6046	+2.17%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1104	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0235	+0.55%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1504	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.409	+0.17%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1743	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.605	+0.42%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0722	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1365	+0.49%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1318	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3204	+0.48%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0870	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.149	+0.14%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0752	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0275	+0.69%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0081	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8906	+0.29%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0235	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6899	+0.18%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0621	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8682	+0.12%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0522	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2133	-0.26%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9121	-0.52%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0108	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0407	+0.27%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0859	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8775	-0.65%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0777	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7519	-1.48%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0426	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4788	-2.00%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0264	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8249	-2.09%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0530	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7153	-2.12%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0289	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7765	-2.16%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0407	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7228	-2.07%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1266	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8853	-2.10%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1427	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.974	-2.22%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.0976	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.669	-2.43%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.0975	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4796	-2.38%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0421	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6299	-2.49%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0203	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4778	-2.50%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0046	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4306	-2.52%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0060	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.1992	-2.48%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0091	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.638	-2.61%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0119	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0191	-2.73%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.919	-2.65%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0180	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.8732	-2.70%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0164	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7153	-2.95%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0294	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.718	-3.34%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0319	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.0896	-3.80%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0378	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.3649	-2.44%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1218	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.2995	-2.43%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1662	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9788	-1.83%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1931	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4686	-1.85%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1704	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3832	-1.70%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1639	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4038	-1.64%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1622	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.822	-1.43%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1454	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2994	-1.37%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0225	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4277	-1.36%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0320	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5315	-1.55%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0911	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4904	-1.81%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0765	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4513	-2.08%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0650	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3126	-2.16%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0630	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9984	-2.53%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1000	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.1182	-2.84%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0713	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.328	-3.17%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0791	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.0727	-3.52%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0130	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8097	-3.18%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0609	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9826	-2.40%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1323	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.914	-2.20%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1457	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7595	-2.29%	13.336	+21.10%	0.2063	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7122	-2.36%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1963	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.745	-2.42%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2240	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9496	-2.38%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1585	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8736	-2.44%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1127	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.9993	-2.53%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0129	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1758	-2.68%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0250	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.8923	-2.60%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0138	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6746	-2.43%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0063	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5014	-2.12%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0234	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9972	-2.52%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0343	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8409	-2.39%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0298	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1883	-2.61%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0354	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9124	-2.54%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0162	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6572	-2.76%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0237	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7332	-3.66%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0573	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.8884	-2.58%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0470	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.1921	-2.78%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0631	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.142	-2.55%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0519	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5442	-2.77%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0643	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3222	-2.54%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1982	-2.45%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0303	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7079	-2.76%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0154	-3.02%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2326	-3.45%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.3791	-3.38%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9031	-2.77%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.7195	-2.60%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.845	-2.69%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5835	-2.10%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7058	-2.14%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.9657	-2.49%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.0632	-2.57%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.0868	-1.65%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9211	-1.50%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8465	-2.32%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.1407	-2.52%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1369	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.2742	-3.20%	11.962	-18.88%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.0129	-3.85%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.3527	-4.05%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0647	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.