DCR

Decred · native · gru_s1

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1039

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0538

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.2774	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.3431	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.092	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.0305	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	12.9446	-10.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.2093	-10.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	13.5099	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.3228	-11.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	14.591	-10.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	14.5312	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	14.9742	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.2372	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	15.7842	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	15.6962	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.3819	-9.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	16.7162	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	16.8659	-9.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	16.8391	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	16.8458	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	16.8357	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	16.8265	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	16.9948	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.8091	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.6589	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.3541	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.1528	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.6696	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.1024	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.001	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.3924	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.8827	-6.06%	14.773	-17.80%	0.0975	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.0312	-7.34%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1011	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.2679	-7.06%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1203	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.5034	-6.97%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1441	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.5277	-7.86%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1280	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.6098	-6.86%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0470	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	13.9336	-5.55%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0117	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.8616	-4.97%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0136	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5147	-5.00%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0059	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4718	-3.65%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0118	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4556	-2.63%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0148	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.1928	-2.35%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0446	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.447	-0.20%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0221	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.4144	+0.32%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0317	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0045	+1.37%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0830	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.9325	+2.01%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0336	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.4101	+3.26%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0682	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	16.0093	+2.90%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0771	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.8977	+4.22%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1725	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9146	-0.24%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1939	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3815	-0.02%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1525	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.8766	+2.28%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1613	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2921	+1.60%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1740	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.6616	+2.87%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1401	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.5201	+2.77%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1741	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.6502	+5.16%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1767	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.4748	+4.50%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1463	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.3513	+5.02%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1786	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.7436	+6.44%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1575	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.2008	+6.66%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1175	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.8868	+6.45%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0855	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.9331	+7.13%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1840	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0297	+0.62%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2829	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.5536	-3.14%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2856	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.033	-5.80%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2519	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.3442	-6.07%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1510	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.1777	-6.61%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0822	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.25	-6.54%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1667	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.195	-6.47%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1680	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.3828	-6.24%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1358	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.4806	-6.25%	15.873	+29.62%	0.1160	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.1123	-6.72%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0536	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	11.9241	-6.72%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.1086	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.0546	-6.93%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1625	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	11.901	-7.01%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0730	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	11.8844	-6.81%	16.599	+30.16%	0.1076	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.6743	-6.68%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0794	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.1245	-6.57%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0286	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.4276	-7.15%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1144	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.3104	-7.23%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.0860	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.274	-7.23%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0528	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.0979	-7.67%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0559	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.1262	-7.84%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0783	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.6665	-6.91%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0846	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	10.9172	-6.29%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0639	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.8461	-6.35%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0256	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.5092	-6.03%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0659	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.0439	-5.49%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0365	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	10.9896	-5.10%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0334	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.0507	-4.68%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0685	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.51	-4.03%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0332	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.0344	-3.49%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0825	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.2135	-3.06%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1092	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.2466	-3.79%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0851	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.1894	-4.17%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0399	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.1951	-4.10%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0049	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	11.9854	-4.76%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0148	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.6831	-4.90%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0406	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.941	-4.15%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0512	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2183	-3.96%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0612	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.8844	-5.02%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0142	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.6153	-4.77%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1145	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.6529	-5.33%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1804	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.5494	-5.47%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1951	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.3759	-5.78%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1856	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.3025	-6.09%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1758	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.3428	-6.08%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1768	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.5266	-6.15%	12.977	+15.70%	0.2008	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.432	-6.40%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2426	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.5457	-6.55%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.2243	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.7105	-6.73%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1968	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.3895	-7.09%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.2132	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.1306	-7.40%	13.158	+20.27%	0.2193	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	9.916	-7.58%	13.606	+26.82%	0.2259	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.4099	-7.72%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0600	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.2278	-7.91%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0632	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.5641	-8.05%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0047	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.286	-8.14%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0553	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.0551	-8.26%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0797	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.1488	-8.46%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0017	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.2398	-8.38%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.1239	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.5616	-8.26%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1364	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.4688	-8.43%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1397	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	10.8795	-8.37%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1417	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.6186	-8.59%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1617	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.4725	-8.77%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1641	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	10.9886	-8.73%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1442	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.3037	-8.77%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1939	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.5336	-8.97%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1814	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.6196	-9.31%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1803	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.0817	-9.48%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1557	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	10.8694	-9.66%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.1121	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	10.967	-9.90%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	10.6572	-9.93%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	10.7495	-10.14%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	10.9856	-10.48%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.0633	-10.65%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.015	-10.37%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	10.8266	-10.54%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	11.7031	-11.02%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	12.8818	-11.20%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.0217	-11.69%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	13.7042	-12.23%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.0131	-12.43%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0382	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.