DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s1
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
75.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2179
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0183
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.001088 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.00109 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000885015 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001361 | -2.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001791 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001978 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002726 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002358 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002284 | -0.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002349 | -1.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002488 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002567 | -0.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002822 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003101 | -1.65% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003018 | -1.17% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0792 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002915 | -1.09% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002997 | -1.26% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.1050 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003028 | -1.25% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1097 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003184 | -1.53% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1783 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003255 | -1.65% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003135 | -1.78% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002765 | -1.14% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0194 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002716 | -0.90% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002819 | -1.11% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0871 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002902 | -1.21% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0849 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002956 | -1.43% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002906 | -1.35% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002677 | -0.62% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2615 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002866 | -1.06% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003049 | -1.60% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003281 | -2.29% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002954 | -1.59% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002697 | -1.01% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1652 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002561 | -0.64% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1879 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002628 | -0.61% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.4036 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002783 | -1.12% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3264 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002644 | -0.50% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1854 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002583 | -0.10% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0943 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002737 | -0.61% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1484 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002859 | -0.91% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1406 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002595 | +0.87% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1339 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003222 | -1.72% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2395 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003127 | -1.26% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1375 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002961 | +0.13% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1429 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003464 | -1.68% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3277 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003897 | -2.88% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4468 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003921 | -2.85% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3642 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004134 | -3.12% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4572 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004237 | -3.00% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3257 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003975 | -0.71% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5294 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003967 | -0.41% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.5090 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004371 | -1.66% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3720 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004773 | -2.81% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2699 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004934 | -2.98% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.3025 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004913 | -2.53% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.2049 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005105 | -3.33% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0958 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005668 | -4.22% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1470 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005937 | -4.50% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2560 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004986 | -0.52% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005261 | -0.80% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006322 | -4.68% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0571 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005748 | -2.47% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1244 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005951 | -2.41% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.00593 | +0.02% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006037 | +0.66% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.006019 | +2.17% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2657 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005537 | +5.71% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2440 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.00649 | +2.85% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1644 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007626 | -0.57% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4826 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007256 | +1.70% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3807 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007529 | +1.78% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2431 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.007021 | +4.85% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.2044 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006992 | +6.14% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1890 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008155 | +2.98% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2500 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009321 | -1.47% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2470 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010429 | -4.60% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010811 | -5.33% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2519 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010732 | -4.84% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2171 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011422 | -5.48% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3862 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011673 | -5.80% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014284 | -7.20% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2976 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.01165 | -6.22% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011288 | -3.99% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1294 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.01166 | -3.83% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011314 | -2.99% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1280 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011322 | -0.53% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1716 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011565 | -0.67% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012054 | -1.47% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013161 | -3.48% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.015658 | -5.86% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.017759 | -5.80% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016513 | -5.63% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.015851 | -5.51% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | in | 0.01342 | 0.013154 | -1.98% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015204 | -3.89% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011346 | +2.66% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014202 | +0.37% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015821 | -1.09% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016758 | -1.72% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0563 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016691 | -1.99% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0843 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022578 | -2.63% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5808 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015853 | -2.74% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.01987 | -2.41% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023733 | -2.42% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025116 | -2.34% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.02971 | -2.87% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033288 | -3.29% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009797 | +8.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016314 | +3.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015795 | +6.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000017042 | +5.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025023 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024352 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026043 | -2.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032466 | -3.00% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3759 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028048 | -2.13% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.7075 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000027924 | -3.21% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7077 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000031447 | -3.57% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.7028 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030471 | -3.57% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2198 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031048 | -2.98% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1427 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.00003241 | -3.22% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0620 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000032839 | -2.56% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0628 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.00003094 | -2.27% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0329 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031088 | -1.84% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031193 | -1.54% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1311 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000036975 | -2.65% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0572 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037198 | -2.37% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0744 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029105 | -0.63% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1163 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.00003828 | -1.92% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0473 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044743 | -1.81% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3202 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050327 | -2.18% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4931 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046376 | -1.89% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4421 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037076 | -1.53% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0694 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041169 | -1.49% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044374 | -1.44% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049134 | -1.73% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000054994 | -1.80% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050038 | -1.83% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044366 | -1.41% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047389 | -2.05% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000042744 | -1.24% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045242 | -1.39% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000059564 | -2.18% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.1939 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000059665 | -2.33% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.0973 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.00006064 | -1.61% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.00005617 | -1.49% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000056791 | -1.25% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059112 | -1.63% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057092 | -1.40% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.1984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055009 | -1.20% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058928 | -1.80% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0542 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.00006811 | -2.66% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.1910 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000062202 | -2.63% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.1891 | ✓ | 1.00 |