DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0989

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001298	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000946797	-0.23%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3253	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001392	-0.34%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3967	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001836	-0.48%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2710	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002025	-0.59%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002783	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002382	-0.29%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1351	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.0023	-0.21%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0125	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002369	-0.23%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0061	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002511	-0.21%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0219	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002588	-0.16%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0362	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002854	-0.21%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0934	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003143	-0.30%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0906	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003046	-0.26%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0748	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002941	-0.21%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0043	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003028	-0.23%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0367	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003059	-0.23%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0138	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003223	-0.29%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0386	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003297	-0.36%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0142	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003178	-0.45%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0321	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002788	-0.31%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1309	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002733	-0.27%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0435	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002842	-0.32%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0324	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002927	-0.38%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0166	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002984	-0.49%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0357	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002931	-0.50%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0077	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002685	-0.35%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1661	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002884	-0.46%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0937	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.00308	-0.59%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1201	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003328	-0.89%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0677	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002979	-0.77%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0645	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.00271	-0.51%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0740	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002568	-0.40%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0298	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002635	-0.34%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0485	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002799	-0.52%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0203	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002646	-0.40%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0239	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002579	-0.26%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0212	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002743	-0.41%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0035	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.00287	-0.52%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0701	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002571	-0.06%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0094	✓	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003256	-0.66%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1791	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003144	-0.74%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0890	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002951	-0.19%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0306	✗	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003506	-0.49%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1796	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.003981	-0.80%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1254	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004004	-0.79%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0166	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004227	-0.95%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.0955	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004326	-0.96%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0424	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.003993	-0.27%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0936	✓	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003975	-0.19%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0569	✗	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004425	-0.45%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0564	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.00487	-0.84%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0348	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005039	-0.93%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0156	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005001	-0.80%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0035	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005226	-1.03%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0592	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005834	-1.40%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1527	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006103	-1.83%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0367	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.004987	-0.50%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2489	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005276	-0.54%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0685	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006508	-1.89%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0790	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005828	-1.11%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.2010	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006026	-1.19%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0221	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005891	-0.63%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1774	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005962	-0.58%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0135	✓	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.00587	-0.36%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0375	✓	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005256	+0.35%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0238	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006297	-0.20%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0276	✓	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007589	-1.06%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1515	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007095	-0.56%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.1000	✗	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007352	-0.62%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0400	✓	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006692	-0.05%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0497	✗	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006599	+0.18%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0150	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007893	-0.33%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1077	✓	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009361	-1.05%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0628	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010755	-1.61%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0756	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011218	-1.77%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0039	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011101	-1.56%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0094	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.011882	-1.67%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1100	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012194	-1.60%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0306	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.014978	-2.70%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0176	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012178	-1.97%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1430	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011577	-1.54%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0598	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.011938	-1.54%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0751	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.0115	-1.40%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0951	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011285	-0.86%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1374	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011546	-0.83%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.01213	-0.85%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013498	-1.00%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1007	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016383	-1.50%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1780	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018493	-1.91%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017182	-1.81%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.1057	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016413	-2.16%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0706	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013297	-0.92%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2147	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015522	-1.88%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1429	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011047	-0.05%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2972	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014093	-0.40%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2453	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015914	-0.51%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1395	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.016954	-0.57%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.01694	-0.53%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.022782	-1.75%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016224	-0.47%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3529	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020245	-0.57%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2413	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024144	-0.73%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025543	-0.69%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030264	-1.06%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1761	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.03372	-2.03%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009085	+0.95%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015753	+0.34%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5435	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000014986	+0.58%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0679	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016306	+0.53%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1230	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025581	-0.46%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4537	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024889	-0.60%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0810	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026553	-0.66%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0687	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033092	-1.13%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.1973	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.00002847	-0.66%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1382	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.00002863	-0.76%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.1023	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032338	-0.83%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1156	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031254	-1.10%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0358	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031793	-0.65%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0063	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033252	-0.71%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0086	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033462	-0.71%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0824	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031502	-0.50%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0978	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031564	-0.33%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0931	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031595	-0.27%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0094	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037751	-0.60%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1716	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000037899	-0.53%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0229	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029255	-0.12%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2289	✗	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000038888	-0.36%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2516	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045344	-0.50%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1945	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.00005106	-0.76%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0912	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000046888	-0.81%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0661	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.00003753	-0.32%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2373	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041649	-0.34%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000044864	-0.35%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049792	-0.42%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055645	-0.63%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050689	-0.55%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0687	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.00004482	-0.40%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000047801	-1.20%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043143	-0.32%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1403	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045749	-0.28%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0588	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060527	-0.60%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3104	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060646	-0.73%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061266	-0.59%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000056742	-0.49%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0810	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057222	-0.50%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0072	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000059603	-0.81%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0566	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057502	-0.69%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055397	-0.51%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059694	-0.53%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1184	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069288	-0.98%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1926	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063366	-0.80%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0864	✗	1.00