CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s1

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

43.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0995

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0158

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017852	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017152	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016436	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013061	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013038	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013612	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012766	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013422	-2.48%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3160	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014151	-2.89%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2332	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013374	-2.84%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2565	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01263	-1.99%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0591	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012594	-1.98%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0611	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.0123	-1.76%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1291	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012487	-1.97%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0428	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012334	-2.02%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1179	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012385	-2.16%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1739	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012416	-2.29%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1234	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012596	-2.35%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0383	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012627	-2.53%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0275	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011629	-2.15%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0847	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.01202	-2.38%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0756	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012573	-2.60%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0028	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012285	-2.51%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0207	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011721	-2.51%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0686	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011911	-2.70%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0688	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012103	-2.67%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0663	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011544	-2.42%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0268	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.01194	-2.58%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0283	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012136	-2.84%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0662	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011929	-2.45%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0684	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011689	-2.38%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0475	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.01109	-2.13%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0800	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011257	-2.18%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0810	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011506	-2.29%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0083	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011298	-2.17%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0281	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.01129	-2.16%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0461	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011767	-3.05%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0444	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010728	-1.64%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0334	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010277	-1.70%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0564	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009857	-0.83%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1172	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.0097	-0.72%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1590	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009227	-0.48%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2262	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010171	-0.86%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1447	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010113	-0.71%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2081	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.01031	-0.62%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0646	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.00947	+0.21%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1311	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00986	-0.05%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0316	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009867	-0.02%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0112	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010099	+0.22%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0466	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009985	-0.54%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0156	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009634	-0.37%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0431	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009494	-0.15%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0827	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.00931	-0.35%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0153	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009533	-0.42%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0167	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009378	-0.56%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0310	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009227	-0.13%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0771	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009277	-0.51%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0988	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008542	-0.24%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1364	✗	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008538	-0.20%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1128	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007905	-0.24%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1679	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008017	-0.37%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1631	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008683	-0.42%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0883	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008109	-1.02%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0451	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008319	-1.50%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0187	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008283	-1.80%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1932	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008232	-1.78%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1980	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008607	-2.03%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3461	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008538	-1.90%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3086	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008341	-1.83%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2251	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008627	-2.03%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2250	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008127	-1.72%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0704	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008206	-1.96%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0055	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007687	-1.20%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0755	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007994	-1.31%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1332	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008205	-1.50%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0955	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007796	-1.44%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1227	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007694	-1.61%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1510	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007578	-1.59%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1102	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007175	-1.51%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1638	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007121	-1.58%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0802	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007269	-1.64%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0831	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007217	-1.54%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1032	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007351	-1.60%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0346	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007359	-1.75%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0695	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007316	-1.66%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0374	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007163	-1.40%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0129	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007106	-1.38%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0225	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007808	-1.61%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0211	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008029	-1.61%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0618	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007549	-1.45%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0132	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007419	-1.54%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0157	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008143	-1.71%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0504	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008085	-1.82%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0582	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008191	-1.90%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.0997	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008012	-1.88%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0218	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008134	-2.12%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0126	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007673	-1.69%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0051	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007915	-1.68%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0723	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008164	-1.88%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0096	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008174	-1.93%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0195	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007997	-1.51%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0116	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007971	-1.71%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0060	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008288	-1.80%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0170	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008966	-2.12%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1342	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008273	-1.58%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0380	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008473	-1.42%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0640	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009019	-1.75%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1087	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.01019	-1.92%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1964	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010688	-2.03%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2788	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010844	-2.04%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2631	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010466	-1.91%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1619	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010801	-1.98%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2828	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011683	-2.40%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3580	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010979	-1.71%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2806	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011212	-1.91%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1575	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010568	-1.47%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0514	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010628	-1.41%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0231	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009976	-1.13%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0173	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.01031	-1.24%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0302	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010187	-1.10%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1782	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011125	-1.77%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0721	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011025	-1.91%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0971	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010534	-1.46%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0793	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011049	-1.79%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0445	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010512	-1.29%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0153	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010351	-1.09%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011624	-1.66%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011296	-1.69%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011875	-1.86%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012317	-1.85%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012278	-1.58%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012606	-1.48%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1676	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012773	-1.44%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1885	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012377	-0.98%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0937	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014877	-1.80%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3201	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013945	-1.17%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1916	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014354	-1.21%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1716	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014847	-0.76%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2312	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013623	-0.27%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.1030	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016697	-1.08%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2496	✓	1.00