CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s1

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2066

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0412

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017276	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.01679	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016209	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012614	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012564	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013079	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012245	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012874	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013646	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012895	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012159	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012134	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.011854	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012026	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011856	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011929	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.011956	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012174	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012218	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01119	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011558	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012078	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01179	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011231	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011475	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.01166	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011094	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011512	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011786	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011572	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011338	-5.31%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.5131	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010673	-5.81%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5045	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010854	-5.69%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4621	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011095	-5.78%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1750	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010821	-6.30%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1726	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010815	-6.28%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2171	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011389	-6.17%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0844	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010385	-4.77%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2498	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009997	-4.37%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3178	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009508	-4.34%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3275	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009367	-4.14%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2586	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008907	-3.93%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.3079	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009875	-3.76%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2019	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009825	-3.54%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2318	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010083	-2.81%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1847	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009311	-1.48%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2625	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009714	-1.53%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2169	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009727	-1.43%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2273	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010067	-0.10%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2251	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009831	-2.07%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1075	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009525	-1.50%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1711	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009453	-0.59%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2564	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009273	-0.75%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2404	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009578	+0.05%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1711	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009464	+0.35%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1872	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009449	+2.27%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2294	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009545	+2.36%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1585	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008819	+3.00%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2675	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008831	+3.24%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2830	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008111	+2.36%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.3139	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008241	+2.43%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2641	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008953	+2.68%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.2030	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.00813	-0.77%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2515	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008214	-2.75%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2039	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008085	-4.15%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1630	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008044	-4.02%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1670	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.00838	-4.61%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1417	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008325	-4.36%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0030	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008158	-3.98%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0029	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008455	-3.98%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0814	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008001	-3.25%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0414	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008113	-3.07%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0947	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007575	-2.64%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0523	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007888	-2.61%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0211	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008094	-2.83%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0046	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007697	-2.70%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0568	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007585	-3.00%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0024	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007457	-3.15%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0230	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007034	-3.45%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0732	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006968	-3.69%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1285	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007103	-3.89%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0709	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007046	-3.88%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0309	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007193	-3.71%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0075	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007226	-3.52%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0448	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007181	-3.49%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0269	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007046	-3.02%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0129	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006978	-3.16%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0233	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007688	-3.11%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1103	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007902	-3.17%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1704	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007432	-2.98%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1667	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007301	-3.11%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1094	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008008	-3.34%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1161	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.00795	-3.46%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0807	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008036	-3.77%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0240	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.00784	-3.98%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0731	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.007976	-4.02%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0555	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007465	-4.36%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1821	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007687	-4.52%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1381	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.007941	-4.56%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0993	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.007948	-4.65%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1308	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007738	-4.70%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0448	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.00772	-4.81%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0848	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008036	-4.78%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0351	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008735	-4.64%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0892	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.007993	-4.90%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0103	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008172	-4.93%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0815	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.00873	-4.90%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1271	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009883	-4.88%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2600	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010366	-4.99%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3611	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.0105	-5.15%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3793	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010107	-5.28%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3306	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010419	-5.45%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3759	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011257	-5.96%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4740	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010503	-5.98%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4679	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010735	-6.08%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4458	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.01007	-6.11%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4149	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.01011	-6.22%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4145	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009465	-6.20%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2797	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009779	-6.34%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2727	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009648	-6.33%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2804	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010605	-6.35%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3795	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010528	-6.34%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2724	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010005	-6.41%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2452	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01053	-6.40%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2472	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009961	-6.47%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2176	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009787	-6.48%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1936	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011063	-6.40%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3403	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010755	-6.39%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2612	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011328	-6.38%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2848	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011737	-6.48%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3313	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011651	-6.61%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3269	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011937	-6.70%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3897	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012074	-6.84%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3613	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011632	-6.95%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2816	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014054	-7.23%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5380	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013097	-7.18%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4080	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013468	-7.31%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3836	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013851	-7.42%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3380	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012655	-7.35%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1894	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015568	-7.78%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3296	✓	1.00