CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0886

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0264

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002232	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002226	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.00216	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002241	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002307	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002302	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002269	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002399	-2.02%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0692	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.00244	-2.01%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0786	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002381	-2.24%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0844	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002431	-2.08%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0551	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00239	-2.19%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0071	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002435	-2.50%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0308	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002289	-2.32%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0069	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002377	-2.25%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0406	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002444	-2.19%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0330	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002548	-2.13%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0217	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002526	-2.10%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0008	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002506	-2.50%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0145	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002475	-2.47%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0211	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002498	-2.51%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0451	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002571	-2.89%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0540	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002644	-2.67%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0681	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002656	-2.76%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0337	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.00273	-2.16%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0685	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002687	-2.05%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0461	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002651	-2.07%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0461	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002618	-2.11%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0241	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002667	-2.32%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0024	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002727	-2.18%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0110	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002723	-2.24%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0210	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.00259	-2.31%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0561	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00277	-2.79%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0274	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002636	-2.25%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0089	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002539	-1.71%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0091	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.00246	-1.26%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0605	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002542	-1.43%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0351	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002824	-2.27%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0405	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002838	-2.20%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0832	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002962	-2.51%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0513	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00287	-2.15%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0740	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002906	-2.28%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1169	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002948	-2.33%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1619	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002838	-1.91%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0869	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002806	-1.70%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0324	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002768	-1.45%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0587	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.0028	-1.58%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0901	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002634	-1.03%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1157	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002634	-0.85%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1366	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002645	-1.26%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1276	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002719	-1.37%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0576	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002732	-1.30%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0414	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002596	-1.32%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0683	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002833	-1.65%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002913	-1.65%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0960	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002881	-1.26%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0840	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002713	-1.74%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0073	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002951	-2.85%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0644	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002784	-2.48%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0042	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002429	-2.05%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0801	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002571	-2.50%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1103	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002754	-2.77%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0736	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002549	-3.58%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1516	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002442	-3.90%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002645	-4.40%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002938	-5.72%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2315	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002558	-4.79%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2438	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002647	-5.39%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2048	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002424	-4.69%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002268	-4.28%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002141	-3.95%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0825	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002111	-4.02%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2526	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001978	-3.73%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4456	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00189	-3.24%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3830	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001867	-3.30%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4341	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001931	-3.99%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3052	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001782	-3.07%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2978	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001783	-3.09%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2418	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.00186	-3.46%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1762	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001831	-3.21%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1084	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001835	-3.29%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0418	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001861	-3.55%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001802	-3.12%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001747	-4.89%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0585	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.