CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1256

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0718

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.0022	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002196	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002116	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002191	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.00225	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002239	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002209	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002329	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002377	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.00231	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002366	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002316	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002364	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002209	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002298	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002381	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002482	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00247	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002427	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002395	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002424	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002484	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002553	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002564	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002646	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002605	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002572	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002538	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002575	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002647	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002648	-4.93%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1375	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002458	-7.29%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.0972	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002633	-7.60%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1880	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002506	-7.05%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1032	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00238	-7.87%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0407	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002308	-7.37%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0130	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002381	-7.66%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0660	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002663	-7.84%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.0950	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.00267	-7.98%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.0915	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002791	-8.13%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1507	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002709	-7.63%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1078	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.00274	-7.83%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1359	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002799	-7.25%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1266	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002701	-6.66%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1520	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002678	-6.15%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1095	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002659	-5.34%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0779	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002686	-5.61%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0494	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002532	-4.88%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0028	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002551	-3.99%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0031	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002525	-5.76%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0254	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002604	-5.57%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0463	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002633	-4.90%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0140	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002492	-5.29%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0639	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002718	-5.63%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0106	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002818	-4.88%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0294	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002857	-2.08%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0536	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002729	-1.14%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0227	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002974	-2.11%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1236	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002794	-2.14%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0411	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002388	-3.69%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1352	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002521	-4.41%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0754	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002736	-3.38%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0349	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002459	-6.96%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1659	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.00232	-8.72%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002485	-10.20%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1270	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002776	-10.93%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2745	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002409	-10.33%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1166	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002496	-10.79%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0691	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002287	-10.05%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002146	-9.40%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1502	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002031	-8.91%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1707	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002005	-8.86%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2078	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001884	-8.33%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2686	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.0018	-7.88%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2844	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001779	-7.86%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2750	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001844	-8.32%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2071	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001695	-7.83%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3011	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001696	-7.86%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2412	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001766	-8.33%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1705	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001735	-8.30%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2374	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.00174	-8.30%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2625	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001765	-8.52%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2255	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.00171	-8.08%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2189	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001696	-7.64%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3399	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.