CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s1

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +1d

assessed

83

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

48.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0384

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002251	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002247	-0.26%	0.002257	+0.17%	0.0059	✗	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002184	-0.25%	0.002253	+2.90%	0.0237	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002269	-0.27%	0.002189	-3.76%	0.0345	✓	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002341	-0.33%	0.002275	-3.12%	0.0327	✓	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002337	-0.34%	0.002348	+0.14%	0.0057	✗	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002304	-0.33%	0.002345	+1.45%	0.0220	✗	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.00244	-0.38%	0.002311	-5.62%	0.0579	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.00248	-0.39%	0.002449	-1.64%	0.0022	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002424	-0.47%	0.00249	+2.24%	0.0176	✗	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002472	-0.41%	0.002435	-1.91%	0.0023	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002433	-0.40%	0.002483	+1.62%	0.0150	✗	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002483	-0.57%	0.002443	-2.19%	0.0189	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002332	-0.46%	0.002498	+6.59%	0.0628	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002421	-0.42%	0.002343	-3.63%	0.0228	✓	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002488	-0.45%	0.002432	-2.70%	0.0094	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002593	-0.42%	0.002499	-4.02%	0.0357	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002569	-0.43%	0.002604	+0.91%	0.0178	✗	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002557	-0.53%	0.00258	+0.38%	0.0014	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002524	-0.52%	0.002571	+1.31%	0.0168	✗	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002548	-0.57%	0.002537	-0.99%	0.0021	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002627	-0.77%	0.002563	-3.21%	0.0329	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002699	-0.67%	0.002648	-2.55%	0.0187	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.00271	-0.77%	0.002717	-0.52%	0.0013	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002776	-0.51%	0.002731	-2.12%	0.0102	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.00273	-0.47%	0.00279	+1.73%	0.0216	✗	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002693	-0.52%	0.002743	+1.34%	0.0165	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.00266	-0.54%	0.002707	+1.21%	0.0192	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002714	-0.60%	0.002674	-2.05%	0.0148	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002774	-0.53%	0.00273	-2.07%	0.0052	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.00277	-0.56%	0.002788	+0.09%	0.0088	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002637	-0.52%	0.002786	+5.08%	0.0246	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00283	-0.69%	0.002651	-6.98%	0.0650	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002682	-0.54%	0.00285	+5.68%	0.0587	✗	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002573	-0.41%	0.002697	+4.38%	0.0224	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002483	-0.31%	0.002583	+3.71%	0.0383	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.00257	-0.35%	0.002491	-3.40%	0.0343	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002874	-0.53%	0.002579	-10.76%	0.0997	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002887	-0.51%	0.00289	-0.41%	0.0039	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.00302	-0.60%	0.002902	-4.50%	0.0385	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002918	-0.50%	0.003038	+3.60%	0.0402	✗	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002956	-0.56%	0.002933	-1.36%	0.0103	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002999	-0.62%	0.002973	-1.49%	0.0034	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002878	-0.52%	0.003018	+4.31%	0.0479	✗	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.00284	-0.48%	0.002894	+1.39%	0.0206	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002796	-0.44%	0.002854	+1.62%	0.0244	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002831	-0.50%	0.002809	-1.29%	0.0096	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002652	-0.35%	0.002845	+6.90%	0.0697	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002648	-0.33%	0.002662	+0.18%	0.0103	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002669	-0.37%	0.002657	-0.83%	0.0217	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002746	-0.41%	0.002679	-2.83%	0.0242	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002756	-0.43%	0.002757	-0.40%	0.0050	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002622	-0.35%	0.002768	+5.22%	0.0509	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002868	-0.43%	0.002631	-8.66%	0.0845	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002949	-0.43%	0.00288	-2.76%	0.0249	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002904	-0.46%	0.002962	+1.53%	0.0278	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002741	-0.72%	0.002917	+5.68%	0.0589	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002998	-1.29%	0.002761	-9.12%	0.0841	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002826	-1.02%	0.003037	+6.39%	0.0738	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002468	-0.46%	0.002855	+15.13%	0.1425	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002622	-0.58%	0.00248	-5.98%	0.0577	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002808	-0.85%	0.002637	-6.87%	0.0612	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002622	-0.80%	0.002832	+7.13%	0.0892	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002523	-0.72%	0.002643	+4.01%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002743	-0.87%	0.002541	-8.16%	0.1453	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003064	-1.66%	0.002767	-11.20%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002655	-1.18%	0.003116	+15.99%	0.1344	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002756	-1.52%	0.002687	-3.98%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002513	-1.19%	0.002798	+10.03%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002345	-1.03%	0.002543	+7.34%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002209	-0.92%	0.002369	+6.27%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002178	-0.99%	0.002229	+1.34%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002036	-0.92%	0.0022	+7.05%	0.0834	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001941	-0.65%	0.002055	+5.18%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001918	-0.67%	0.001954	+1.19%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001989	-1.09%	0.001931	-4.01%	0.0302	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001827	-0.63%	0.002011	+9.38%	0.0863	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001829	-0.61%	0.001839	-0.08%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001911	-0.81%	0.00184	-4.46%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001878	-0.70%	0.001926	+1.83%	0.0160	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001883	-0.77%	0.001892	-0.28%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001911	-0.99%	0.001897	-1.69%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001846	-0.78%	0.00193	+3.74%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001799	-2.02%	0.00186	+1.29%	0.0630	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.