BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
30.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2786
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0370
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9995 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9371 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8662 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.276 | -5.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2791 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8236 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7264 | -4.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2237 | -6.58% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0359 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9461 | -6.81% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0461 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6486 | -5.77% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1780 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5359 | -5.53% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4233 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5034 | -5.10% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4564 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4932 | -5.21% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2369 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3296 | -4.54% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3201 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2389 | -4.52% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6219 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1592 | -4.47% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5453 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1756 | -4.71% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3253 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.184 | -4.96% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2656 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.993247 | -4.28% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4281 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3142 | -4.87% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1401 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3462 | -5.08% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0334 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2624 | -5.00% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0213 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3119 | -5.54% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0365 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0658 | -4.77% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1965 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1598 | -4.99% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1189 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.958093 | -4.34% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0874 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2225 | -7.06% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1317 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.911708 | -4.47% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4519 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.979407 | -5.63% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2872 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.858063 | -4.43% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.764977 | -4.46% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.710418 | -4.90% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.5014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.576124 | -2.40% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.614045 | -2.56% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.695008 | -3.46% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.72 | -4.03% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2629 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.677869 | -3.86% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.572074 | -1.81% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2339 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.691912 | -5.79% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.540491 | -1.78% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.503103 | -1.12% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1788 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.492686 | -1.47% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3817 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450324 | -0.17% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.438199 | +0.10% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.45191 | +0.19% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.450396 | +0.67% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.454654 | +0.54% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.458545 | +0.44% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.456744 | +0.52% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.483598 | -1.23% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0821 | ✓ | 1.00 |